Allan Fabrykant UFC Vegas 72
SONG V SIMON
After a crazy finish to last week’s card, we are back in Las Vegas to catch today’s UFC Fight Night! Today’s action will kick off at 4:30 PM ET. Lots of new faces are fighting on this card on what I think will be one of the more underrated cards of the month!! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11 fights that will end with a matchup between two top 10 fighters in the UFC Bantamweight division. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 4:30 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 72 Song vs Simon.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Marcus McGhee vs Journey Newsom
We are starting off our article with the first of two short-notice matchups. Originally Brian Kelleher was set to face off against Journey Newsom and had been touted as a moderate favorite, but he pulled out on short notice. Thankfully, Marcus McGhee answered the call on short notice after coming off an impressive finish in LFA earlier this year. McGhee is a solid power puncher with great accuracy, and he can stand toe-to-toe trading shots if needed. Throughout his short career, he holds a 100% finish rate but has shown to be a bit troubled by strong grapplers, which Newsom is not. Usually, I wouldn’t give a second look to the fighters making their debut on short notice, but McGhee does have a lot of positive attributes in his fights and his opponent, Newsom, has not been on the best of runs with only one win through 5 UFC fights which includes two decision losses and a first-round knockout. I think for the odds we are being given on McGhee; he is a worthy pick for our Value Target of the night.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Marcus McGhee SECOND-ROUND KO.
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Josh Quinlan vs. Trey Waters
Quinlan was initially scheduled to fight Ange Loosa, and he was going to be an excellent underdog play for us, but with his replacement, Trey Waters, Quinlan is now coming in as a -175 favorite. It is true that we have not seen a ton from Quinlan at the highest level, with two first-round finishes in both the Contender Series and his UFC debut, but clearly, what we have seen has been pretty impressive. One thing I want to point out about Quinlan’s game is that he has an insanely high strike output, it is definitely a small sample size, but he comes out of the gate hot, and he is going to put some pressure on early. His opponent, Waters, an LFA Welterweight champ, is making his UFC debut after fighting for his new title two weeks ago. I think it was a no-brainer for Trey Waters to take this fight on short notice, but there is a clear difference in skill level here.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Josh Quinlian FIRST-ROUND KO.
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Martin Buday vs. Jake Collier
Collier has been as bad as it gets. He has lost six of his last four fights in the UFC, with his only two wins coming against Gian Villante and Chase Sherman. It doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence, to say the least. Not to mention, in his last two fights, he lost to Old Man Andrei Arlovski and got knocked out via Ground n Pound to Chris Barnett. I think it’s safe to say that when the 11-1-0 Buday knocks Collier out, his time in the UFC will be done. Buday’s only loss came against a top UFC heavyweight, Juan Espino, back in the Spanish regional scene. I don’t usually like to look at records to determine fights, but the difference between these two in their strength of schedules is so significant. It simply tells the story of how this fight is going to go.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Martin Buday FIRST-ROUND KO.
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Ricky Simon 5 ROUNDER
Caio Borralho (Overall, Caio Borralho is a much more advanced fighter, but Oleksiejczuk is very durable and can sometimes put enough pressure to steal a fight. I am siding with Caio, but I would not be shocked if Oleksiejczuk wins, and he has really good odds in what I think is a close-ish fight)
Julian Erosa
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Charles Johnson
Stephanie Egger FADE
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Rodolfo Vieira (By submission)
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Marcus McGhee to Finish +250
Josh Quinlan to Finish -125
Martin Budy -125
