UFC Vegas 66
CANNONIER V STRICKLAND
We’re back in Vegas for the last card of the year, and damn, do we have a banger on our hands! Tsarukyan, Albazi and Kape are all on the same card. Today’s action will kick off at 4:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights that will end with two fighters getting a chance at a title shot in the middleweight division. Now, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both very active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 66 Cannonier vs Strickland.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Bryan Battle vs Rinat Fakhretdinov
Don’t get me wrong, I think we have a close fight in this matchup but after looking at some of Fakhretdinov’s fights… and more specifically, his opponents, I am shocked that he’s coming into this one as the favourite against Battle. In Fakhretdinov’s last fight back in June, he was widely expected to get a massive KO to start his UFC career. Instead, he held Michailidis down for 13 minutes of a 15-minute fight, going 5 for 10 on takedowns and only 45 strikes. I have been thoroughly impressed by Battle from everything I’ve seen from him in the Octagon, where in just three fights, he already has a sub-1-minute finish, a submission and a three-rounder where he stopped 7 of 8 takedowns and landed at nearly a 2 to 1 clip over his opponent, Tresean Gore. Battle has proven himself to be a strong fighter with a bright future in the organization and Fakhretdinov has not. There’s a chance that Rinat takes control of this fight like he did the last one, but I’m in on Battle tonight, especially as an underdog.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Bryan Battle SECOND-ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Amir Albazi vs. Alessandro Costa
Wow… what an unfortunate matchup for your UFC debut. Costa has had a lot of hype around him in South America after embarking on a seven-fight win streak, including a split-decision win in the Contender Series back in July but the UFC are giving him a top-ten Flyweight in his debut. This is going to be a real trial by fire, Costa has never faced anyone near the skill level of Albazi who already has three UFC wins, including two first-round submission finishes. Albazi has looked scary good, and I can definitely see him fighting for the title one day once Figueredo and Moreno sort out their business early next year. (On a side note, one of Albazi’s first-round submission wins came against Figgy’s brother, who is worse but has a very similar style so that kind of competition would definitely not be out of the realm of possibility for Albazi if he puts on a statement performance here tonight) Realistically, I see very few scenarios where Costa survives past the first round on his short notice debut. I hope to see him again in the UFC against more even competition
MY UFC DFS PICK: Amir Albazi FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION (possible THIRD-ROUND SUBMISSION).
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Cody Brundage
Oleksiejczuk’s UFC career has had some ups and downs, but against weaker competition, he always shows up and shows up big. He has already racked up four first-round knockouts in just 9 UFC fights and I think he is in a prime position to pick up another tonight against Brundage. Oleksiejczuk has extremely fast hands and a nasty left hook that he has used quite well in the past, but he is also very good at mixing up his attack, going high and low to always keep opponents on the back foot. Oleksiejczuk also holds an extremely high output rate with over two strikes landed per minute (SLpM) more than Brundage. I don’t see this fight lasting too long, and I would highly recommend having some shares of Oleksiejczuk in your DFS lineups tonight!
MY UFC DFS PICK: Michal Oleksiejczuk FIRST-ROUND KO.
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Sean Strickland 5 ROUNDER
Arman Tsarukyan
Julian Erosa
Bobb Green DEEP GPP
Cheyanne Vlismas
Jake Matthews
Said Nurmagomedov (I’m considering fading this matchup since I think this will be a grapple heavy contest and the chance for a finish is low so keep that in mind and play Nurmagomedov with caution on DFS)
Hayisaer Maheshate (Would’ve been more comfortable on Maheshate if he didn’t miss weight but 2.5 lbs, play with caution, I will most likely fade and it may be worth even having shares of Garcia given the significant effects of a bad weight cut)
Manel Kape
Sergey Morozov (Most likely fading this matchup as Morozov’s main path to victory is the same as it usually is, grappling)
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will not be building any UFC Parlays, due to recent events involving suspicious betting patterns in a recent UFC fight. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Tsarukyan -200
Albazi -450
Kape -260
Oleksiejczuk -280
MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!
Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!