Allan Fabrykant UFC on ESPN 47
VETTORI V CANNONIER
After a trip up north which saw Canadians go 6 for 6 at home, we are back state-side in Las Vegas, Nevada for tonight’s UFC Fight Night Card! Today’s card will kick off at 7:00 PM ET. There are some incredible matchups on tonight’s card, and the UFC has an action-packed lineup tonight on ESPN. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12 fights that will end with a top 5 middleweight fight with a lot of title implications. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 47 Vettori vs Cannonier
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Lucas Almeida vs Pat Sabatini
Sabatini has logged a few fights in his UFC career and begun to string together some wins before a brutal KO 1st round KO at the hands of Damon Jackson where Sabatini ate a kick and was never able to recover. Almeida on the other hand is an alumni of the Contender Series, and although his fight there did not go to plan he had a very successful UFC debut against Mike Triziano a year ago where he secured a third-round finish and a fight of the night bonus. That whole fight from Almeida was excellent and despite getting dropped by Triziano in the first, he was able to come back and get knockdowns in both round two and then in round three which led to the finish. I think this fight will be close but from what I have seen out of both fighters, Almeida is stronger on the feet and will be able to trade more in the pocket, whereas Sabatini will try to take the fight into the ground and grind out a decision win. Although Almeida’s takedown defence hasn’t been tested too much throughout his UFC career, I think his extremely high output will end up overwhelming Sabatini early and will eventually open up a spot for the KO.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Lucas Almeida SECOND-ROUND KO.
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva
This matchup is a bit of a joke. There is an extreme difference in the level of competition between these two. Tsarukyan is a top ten lightweight who has the potential to compete for a belt while Joaquim is not even top 50 and has fought twice in the last four years. On top of that, Silva is 4-3 in his UFC career with losses to Ricky Glenn and Vinc Pichel. Tsarukyan is going to put on a show today, and my only question on this fight is how and when Tsarukyan is going to finish the fight.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Arman Tsarukyan FIRST ROUND KO.
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Manuel Torres vs. Nikolas Motta
Motta looked promising coming out of the Contender Series but he was lacking a killer instinct, it was even mentioned by Dana White before Motta got signed that he had opportunities to finish and let them slide. Torres on the other hand is the exact opposite, he’s an aggressive fighter who doesn’t mind trading in the pocket in search of a knockout. As was seen in Torres’ Contender Series fight and his UFC debut. I think much like the Almeida fight, Torres’ high output will simply overwhelm Motta and I don’t see this one getting past the first round, depending on Motta’s durability, I can see the fight ending earlier as well. Also of note, Torres is extremely well rounded, if Motta ends up defending the right hook well, Torres is more than capable of taking Motta to the ground.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Manuel Torres SECOND-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND KO).
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Marvin Vettori 5 ROUNDER
Christian Leroy Duncan
Tereza Bleda FADE
Muslim Salikhov
Alessandro Costa
Cristian Quinonez
Denys Bondar
Ronnie Lawrence
Modestas Bukauskas
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Arman Tsarukyan to Finish (KO) -425
Alessandro Costa to Finish (KO) -120
Manuel Torres to Finish (KO) +105
