UFC on ESPN 43
VERA V SANDHAGEN
After a wild weekend in London, the UFC will be back state-side in San Antonio, Texas for an absolute banger of a card! Today’s action will kick off at 4:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11 fights that will end with two Bantamweights looking to secure a top 5 spot and reintroduce themselves back into the title conversation. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 43 Vera vs Sandhagen
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Trevin Giles vs Preston Parsons
Giles is coming off an impressive win against Louis Cosce and holds wins over Ryan Spann, James Krause and Roman Dolidze, pretty decent resume, especially compared to Preston Parsons who’s only UFC win came against Evan Elder and was on the receiving end of a brutal first round KO from Daniel Rodriguez in his UFC debut. I will say that Parsons is a more active fighter than Giles which is most likely why the bookmakers are giving him a shot in this one, and of course Parsons does have a chance but I do think that Giles has advantage, especially as the fight goes on and Parsons high activity level drains his energy late in the fight. On what is essentially a pick-em fight I like the DFS value that Giles provides.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Trevin Giles UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible THIRD-ROUND KO).
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Chidi Njokuani vs. Albert Duraev
Both of these fighters are coming off losses following respectable winning streaks. Duraev has a good win under his belt in Roman Kopylov but in terms of strength of schedule, Njokuani is leaps and bounds ahead of Duraev. On top of the sub 30-sec KO against Power Bar Barriault, Njokuani also holds a first round knockout over Dusko Todorovic after some brutal elbow at the end of the round. When he’s locked in Njokuani is a very dangerous man and Duraev has shown that he is not good at fighting off high pressure early. So, when he puts heavy pressure on Duraev, he will fold very quickly. I expect this to be over in one round.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Chidi Njokuani FIRST-ROUND KO.
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Manel Kape vs. Alex Perez
Perez has had quite an unsteady ride since his losing bid at a title shot. 8 Cancelled fights and 1 loss to Alejandro Pantoja. Perez has had just the one fight in over two years and that contrasted with Kape who fought months ago and is currently on a three-fight winning streak. I have also seen strong striking fundamentals from Kape with a lot of power behind his shots. Even his jabs have some heat behind them. I think it’ll take Kape a round to settle in but once he finds his groove he’s going to get the job done.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Manel Kape SECOND-ROUND KO.
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Cory Sandhagen 5 ROUNDER (Cory is the better all around fighter but there is good value on a Vera knockout. For DFS it may be worth the risk but for a parlay I would avoid this fight altogether)
Holly Holm
Nate Landwher
Maycee Barber
Tucker Lutz
Steve Peterson
CJ Vergara
Victor Altamarino FADE
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area, As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP, you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Manel Kape to Finish +110
Chidi Njokuani to Finish +100
Nate Landwher -220