Adam Strangis NBA Tuesday 1/26 Core Four
Thank goodness last night’s slate is behind us. We had stars sitting, games getting postponed after lock…anything you could imagine. Surely, there will be some chaos tonight but it can’t be as bad as last night. There’s a three game slate on tap and we already know there’s two big name players out in Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Let’s see what else we’re dealing with in the NBA Tuesday 1/26 Core Four to keep in the green tonight!
Injury Report
Clippers – Paul George (O), Kawhi Leonard (O), Patrick Beverly (O)
Hawks – Clint Capela (Q), Trae Young (Q), Danilo Gallinari (Q), Cam Reddish (Q)
Wizards – Could still be down to basically nine players
Rockets – Christian Wood (D)
DeMarcus Cousins ($6,000 DK/$7,200 FD) – The DK price is laughable here as we’ve seen just how much Cousins can do when Wood is out. His true shooting rate is just 44.4% without Wood over the course of 199 minutes. The usage is 26.9% and the FPPM is 1.44. The ceiling when the shot is working is near 60 DK, as evidenced by the last game. Oh, this would be a good time to mention that he’s logged 30 and 33 minutes the past two games and gets Washington. They play at the fastest pace in basketball and don’t have a single big to hang with Boogie. This is beyond a smash spot and I’m locking him in and not looking back, even with Victor Oladipo back.
Bradley Beal ($9,900 DK/$10,300 FD) – I’m going right back to the well here on Beal. Not only did he manage 45 DK as a floor game, he only shot 30% from three and took just three free throws. Beal sits fourth in the league in free throw attempts at 8.9 per game. Houston is in the top 10 in pace, making this a dynamite spot overall since both teams are in the bottom 12 in points surrendered. Now that he has a game back under his legs, I fully expect Beal to get right back to flirting with 60 DK.
Jerome Robinson ($4,000 DK/$3,600 FD) – Robinson is in play if Raul Neto plays and if Neto can’t go, Robinson likely has an even higher ceiling. He played some minutes at the three last game (shouts to the man Ghost for that information) so the minutes should be safe. I would suspect Russell Westbrook still is on some type of limitation after just 25 minutes. Robinson put up 15 shots across 35 minutes. That’s plenty and the Wizards are going to continue to be shorthanded tonight again. With a minimal price raise on DK, we could be looking at another 7x game. I also am totally on board for Alex Len on DK with his salary barely moving and getting 20 minutes.
Update – Westbrook is limited tonight again, so Robinson is full go inn my eyes.
Lou Williams ($5,800 DK/$6,000 FD) – We have very little to go on with PG and Kawhi both off the floor. The highest are Reggie Jackson and Luke Kennard, both around 70-ish minutes. Since we got news the Clippers would be missing their stars, the role players are priced VERY aggressively. Sweet Lou has taken a step back this season, but we know the scoring upside he has any given game. If he doesn’t start, this would be adjusted. As of now, he does have a 26.4% usage in 33 minutes without the two studs around and someone has to be the primary scorer. He’s $1,000 cheaper than Reggie Jackson, which doesn’t make a ton of sense to me.
We’re moving to Marcus Morris since Lou is still not starting. I’m not comfortable enough with him to make him a core piece.
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