Dave Gloeckner 
We had a solid 3-1 week in our plays in last week’s article. The Colts let us down, but we were able to fade the Lions on Turkey Day to get our revenge. Speaking of that game, in my opinion that last play by the Bears is as much on the QB as it is on the coach. But it’s easier to fire the coach so I totally get what Chicago did on Friday. But looking forward here, we still have a healthy set of games to choose from and we’ll look to keep our streak going and finally climb over the hurdle that’s been so tough for us, that is 0.500.
As for Survivor, the Commanders were a ticking time bomb. We’re seeing their flaws and now they are fighting for their playoff lives.
NFL BETS WEEK 13 (2024 SEASON RECORD: 28-30-1, article plus discord game bets)
NEW YORK JETS +1 vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
I realize the Jets are the laughing stock of the league right now. Well, maybe the 2nd most laughable team behind their city partners in the Giants. But take it from someone who has been betting the Seahawks, this is a prime spot for New York to play spoilers. Seattle has struggled to score of late, managing just 36 points in the past 2 week. But coincidentally, they’ve won both of those games by limiting their opponents to 23 points. Some of that has been better play, but the other has been some fortune too as they’ve been outgained in those contests.
But the two wins have propelled them to 1st place in the NFC West and their stock is rising. The Jets were last on the field suffering a brutal defeat to the Indianapolis Colts by a score of 28-27. They’ve now had a week off, but people just remember the bad and their stock is at a low point. Which attracts me to the loveable losers. The money is pouring in on Seattle at an 82% clip. It just looks too easy. And when that’s the case, we zag and fade the money.
ARIZONA CARDINALS +3.5 at MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Speaking of another NFC West team, we bring you the Arizona Cardinals who are a confounding team. Riding a 4-game winning streak, the Cardinals laid an egg last week in Seattle scoring just 6 points. And that was coming off a BYE! On the other side, Minnesota is returning home for the first time in 4 weeks. They won all three road games, but struggled to do so winning the three by a combined 18 points. And their competition wasn’t necessarily the cream of the crop as Jacksonville, Tennessee and Chicago have a combined record 9-25.
The factor I’m looking at in this one is Minnesota versus good offenses. Versus teams in the top half of the NFL in offense according to DVOA, the Vikings are 1-2 SU. The Cardinals rank 11th overall in DVOA and averaged 342 yards/game (14th). I think the Cardinals can erase their poor game in Seattle by putting up points in Minnesota and creating turnovers from Sam Darnold, who has 10 INT’s on the season.
CAROLINA PANTHERS +6 vs TAMPA BAY BUCS
The Panthers have shown an increased ability to compete since reinserting QB Bryce Young back into the starting role. They almost pulled off a miracle last week against Kansas City. In fact, they’ve covered three straight games and won 2 of those. While Tampa looked good last week, their defense is not good enough to lay a big number. They play much better as a dog as they’ve lost 3 games outright as a favorite this season.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3 at CINCINNATI BENGALS
This is the one game that I’m with the public on. The Bengals pass D is so bad and Pittsburgh has shown an ability to move the ball through the air with Russell Wilson at QB. They will turn those dreaded FG’s to TD’s this week which gives me confidence in this bet. The Bengals are turning into the Chargers and finding ways to lose. I have a bad feeling they’ll do that again this week against a team that finds ways to win.
BONUS DISCORD BET (Posted by 12pm on Sunday): TBD
SURVIVOR PICK
DENVER BRONCOS
I hate going against my boy Jameis, but the Broncos present so many issues and I don’t think Cleveland has enough to overcome those. The snow was an equalizer from the Browns against the Steelers. They won their Super Bowl. But now back to reality and I see the Broncos rolling in this one.
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