Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday Y’all! We’ve got a nice-looking 8-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. This is a slate that brings us 2 of the top pitchers in the game facing off against each other as the Dodgers take on the Braves tonight. We’re at the point in the season where there are really only a handful of teams that are playing for anything. The Braves being one of them as they sit a game behind the Mets in the Wild Card race. We’re also at the point in the season where many pitchers are up against their innings “limit” so we’ll need to consider that when selecting them for DFS purposes.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
I’m out on Chris Sale tonight. I’m not paying a premium for a pitcher against the Dodgers. Sale can throw a gem here as he’s one of the best in the game. I don’t see this as a ceiling game for him though and I’m not paying nearly $11k for someone that isn’t in a ceiling-type game.
I’m also going to be out on Jack Flaherty who’s the second most expensive pitcher on this slate. While the Braves are a watered-down lineup these days thanks to injuries, they are still very competitive. Outside of his gem against the Guardians earlier this week, he hasn’t really been the Flaherty we saw earlier in the season. That said, as a Mets fan, I’d love nothing more than to see him throw a gem tonight. Go, Jack!
Joe Musgrove ($8.7k on DK/$9.4k on FD) vs. San Francisco Giants
Last night we saw a struggling Dylan Cease return to glory against this Giants team, twirling a 10-k gem against them. This is a Giants team that is struggling offensively of late, especially against righties. This is a high-strikeout team against righties. The projected lineup tonight for the Giants has a nearly 27% K rate vs. righties over the last month. The team as a whole has struck out 29% of the time over the last week.
This shouldn’t take anything away from Musgrove though as I’d use him in most matchups. While he did struggle in his last outing against the Giants, he did suffer from a bit of bad luck as the Giants had a .455 BABIP in that game. He still struck out 7 and has 15 K’s across his last 2 outings. I’m looking for Musgrove to bounce back and get some retribution against the Giants.
JT Ginn ($7.2k on DK/$7.4k on FD) vs. Chicago White Sox
And the next contest on the “Beat the White Sox” will be JT Ginn. We saw Brady Basso throw a solid game against the White Sox last night in just his second start of his career, going 5 innings while not allowing a run. We should see another strong outing from an A’s starter tonight as this White Sox team is just historically terrible.
Oustide of Luis Robert and Andrew Benintendi, there probably isn’t another bat in this lineup that would crack another lineup in MLB. It would likely struggle against most AAA pitchers. Ginn has shown some flashes so far of being a decent arm as he struck out 7 Mariners in early September. He also struck out 5 Tigers in his last outing. Look for Ginn to follow in Basso’s footsteps and throw another strong outing here.
Another pitcher that I really like tonight will be Logan Gilbert against the Rangers. At the end of the night, I may very well just go with Gilbert/Musgrove as my 2 pitchers on DK. Outside of a rough outing vs. Boston, Gilbert has thrown gems in 3 of his last 4 outings, and the last time he faced the Rangers he struck out 9 over 8 innings.
Without Seager, this is a very average Rangers lineup and I would not be shocked to see Gilbert as the highest-scoring pitcher on this slate. My reasoning for highlighting Ginn above is to give you a value arm if you want to fully spend up on bats. Outside of the pitchers I’ve mentioned so far, there isn’t much to go with tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Houston Astros vs. Tyler Anderson
Overall, the full season has been pretty good for Tyler Anderson. His 3.50 ERA for the season is one of the best numbers of his career. That said, he’s been performing way above what the rest of the numbers say how he should be performing and we’ve seen some kinks in the armor recently. Over the his last 5 outings, he’s been tagged in 3 of them for at least 4 runs.
He’s mostly a low-strikeout pitcher who relies on his fielders to do his dirty work for him. Of late, Anderson has shown a lack of control as he has at least 2 walks in 6 of his last 7 games. Against a strong Astros lineup, if he continues to be wild the Astros are going to wait on their pitches and it could be an early exit for the Angels southpaw. I’m looking for the Astros to put up a whole bunch of runs today.
Core Plays: Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena, Yordan Alvarez, Yainer Diaz
Secondary Plays: Kyle Tucker
Value Plays: Mauricio Dubon, Jake Meyers, Victor Caratini
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Brandon Pfaadt
Brando Pfaadt is coming into this one in less-than-top form. Over the last month, Pfaadt has really struggled as he’s pitched to an ERA of 7.52. He’s allowed at least 4 ER in 4 of his last 5 outings and in the one game that he didn’t, he still let in 3 ER. To make matters worse for Pfaadt tonight, he’ll be facing off against a very strong Brewers lineup and a Brewers lineup that is typically way better vs. righties than it is lefties.
Against righties this season, the Brewers have a .321 wOBA and a .733 OPS. The projected lineup tonight for the Brewers has a .175 ISO against righties over the last month. I would not be shocked to see the Brewers put up a massive number against Pfaadt tonight. This matchup also plays right into their hands as Pfaadt has given up a .448 wOBA to righties over the last month and the heart of his lineup is righty.
Core Bats: Willy Adames, William Conteras, Jackson Chourio
Value Bats: Garrett Mitchell, Joey Ortiz, Rhys Hoskins
Other bats I like tonight will be both sides of the Coors game, I absolutely love the A’s vs. Chris Flexen, Dbacks vs. Tobias Myers, and Padres vs. Mason Black. The Angels vs. Justin Verlander are also in play. Verlander looks to be in the twilight of his career and if this is it, what a career he’s had.
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