Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday! We finally made it to the weekend and oh what a weekend it’s going to be. I won’t be writing tomorrow so wanted to wish all the dads here a very happy Father’s Day! I’ll be focused on this afternoon’s 7-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate is void of any true ace. There are a bunch of average pitchers on this slate, none of which will be considered a must-play. We don’t have a single arm over $10k and just 2 over $9k. Ownership should be spread out.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Charlie Morton ($8.6k on DK) vs. Tampa Bary
This year’s version of the Tampa Bay Rays is hot garbage. I started my article yesterday with the hot garbage line and I’m keeping it because it’s accurate. The Rays were dominated by Chris Sale last night and they’ll get dominated by Charlie Morton today. This is a high-strikeout Rays team. The projected lineup today for the Rays has a K rate over 27% against righties this season. Both Brandon Lowe and Randy Arozarena are having down years and that’s contributed to the Rays woes.
This shouldn’t take away from the fact that Charlie Morton continues to pitch well, even into his AARP years. He owns a respectable 4.12 ERA on the year with an xFIP lower than that. He’s known to throw some duds, but I like this spot for him. With how bad pitching is today, I’m going to side matchup over ability. This is a solid matchup.
Jack Flaherty ($8.9k on DK) vs. Houston Astros
I don’t normally like to attack the Astros with pitching but without Kyle Tucker in the lineup, they really aren’t as scary as they normally. I’m more so going with Flaherty today because he offers more of a floor than a ceiling and that floor is going to be higher than most other pitchers on this slate. He’s been brilliant in his new home in Detroit. Throughout his career control has really what has brought Flaherty down. His control has been impeccable this season.
His BB/9 is at a career low of 1.24. That is nearly 2 walks lower than his career average. This has caused an uptick in K’s as he’s been able to last longer into games. I don’t think we quite see the massive amounts of strikeouts from him today, but I do think we see a solid outing from him.
I honestly don’t have any interest in anyone else today. The next best pitcher would be Grayson Rodriguez but he gets the Phils. I’m also not paying nearly $10k for Justin Verlander today, even with the matchup. He has more starts of late giving up 4 ER than he does giving up less than that.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Baltimore Orioles vs. Taijuan Walker
Taijuan Walker is having arguably the worst season of his career. His ERA of 5.40 is by far the highest of his career. His xERA is the highest that it’s been since all the way back in 2018. The strikeouts for Walker continue to tread down and his walks continue to tread up. To make matters worse for Walker, he’s also giving up just a ton of hard hits. He’s yet to have a start this season without allowing at least one barrel.
Walker has had more starts this season giving up multiple barrels than he has given up just 1. His barrel % is nearly double his career average. He’s getting pummeled this season and we’ll want to continue to stack against him. With Walker, we want to prioritize getting lefties into our lineup. The Orioles are going to throw out 6 lefties today. It’s a match made in heaven.
Core Bats: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander
Secondary Bats: Ryan O’Hearn, Jordan Westburg
Value Bats: Cedric Mullins, Colton Cowser
San Francisco Giants vs. Patrick Sandoval
I ended up going with the Giants last night and they put up 6 runs vs. the Angels. I like the spot again for them as they take on Patrick Sandoval today. Sandoval is nothing more than an average pitcher. In 2 of his last 4 starts, he’s given up at least 5 ER. He’s a low K pitcher who gives up a decent amount of hard contact at more than 35%. He gets a tough matchup today as the Giants are one of the better teams in the league against lefties.
They have the 9th best OPS in the league vs. lefties and have a strong wOBA of .327 vs. them. That ranks 7th best vs. lefties. They should be able to put up a healthy amount of runs vs. Sandoval today. I’m going to be mostly focused on the righties here as they have been putting him to work over the last 30 days.
Core Bats: Heliot Ramos, Jorge Soler, Matt Chapman,
Secondary Bats: Wilmer Flores, Michael Conforto
Value Bats: Austin Slater, Patrick Bailey
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Adam Mazur, Reds Vs. Bryse Wilson, and Braves vs. Ryan Pepiot
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