Jared Levitt 
TGIF! It’s Friday folks, we almost made it to the weekend! Tonight, we have ourselves a nice sized 9-game slate of MLB DFS. What a wild ride we’ve been on so far through the first month of the season. We’ve seen a little bit of everything and tonight will continue that trend. We have an ace with a strong matchup and we also have some really solid spots for bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Sonny Gray ($10.1k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
While the White Sox offense has shown some more punch lately with Tommy Pham (see what I did there) in the lineup, they are still an average-at-best lineup that lacks serious firepower. They are also a lineup that has really struggled this season vs. righties. They have just a .280 wOBA and .119 ISO vs. righties this season. Those are the types of numbers we want to target, even when just an average pitcher is on the hill.
The White Sox will be facing off against a pitcher that is way better than average in Sonny Gray. Gray has been spectacular this season as his K/9 is well above his career average as is his BB/9. Through 4 starts, Gray has 36% K rate and just a 4.5 BB rate. He’s been superb and there’s nothing about this matchup with the White Sox today that makes me think he’ll regress.
Ronel Blanco ($8.2k on DK) vs. Seattle Mariners
I’ve been picking on the Marines all season with righties and more often than not it’s been successful. I’m going to attack them again tonight with Ronel Blanco. Blanco has been a model of consistency this season He’s pitched at least 5 innings in every start and has had at least 4 K’s in each as well. Over his last 3 starts, he’s started to strike out more hitters as he’s combined for 19 across the 3.
He’ll be facing off against a team in the Mariners that has struck out 29% of the time vs. righties this season. Over the last week, the Mariners have continued to strike out a ton as they have a 37% strike-out rate across 182 AB. That’s just terrible and we’ll get to attack with a pitcher that’s just $8.2k tonight. That salary will thankfully balance out Gray’s price tag.
Other pitchers that will be in my pool tonight will be Tanner Bibee vs. Los Angeles, Marcus Stroman vs. Detroit, and Tanner Houck vs. Minnesota.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Boston Red Sox vs. Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack will always hold a special place in my heart. It was 2019 and Pete Alonso had just won the NL ROY. All Paddack did was whine that he didn’t win and his career has suffered because of it. Paddack is off to a career-worst start to the season. 2 of his 5 starts this season have been clunkers and I think that happens again tonight vs. a solid Red Sox lineup.
Paddack is coming off one of those clunkers, a start that saw him give up 4 runs vs. an awful Angels lineup. He’s already given up 5 homers on the year and his HR/9 continues to be high. Both sides of the plate have given him troubles this season so I won’t be overly particular about splits.
Boston has a bunch of guys seeing the ball well right now. Granted, some of these numbers may be inflated thanks to their 2 touchdown performance the other day, but Tyler O’Neill, Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran, and Wilyer Abreu all have OPS’s over .900 over the last week and they all have 6 or more hits. They should all continue their strong play in this solid matchup tonight. Abreu is probably my favorite of that group as he’s by far the cheapest and also will get the platoon advantage tonight. This entire lineup for me is in play tonight.
Oakland Athletics vs. Ryan Weathers
Don’t look now, but the Athletics are playing some good baseball right now. Over their last 10 games, they’re 7-3 and have also won 4 consecutive games. They should be able to add to that streak tonight as they face off against Ryan Weathers and the last-place Miami Marlins. Weathers is coming off his worst start of the young season.
In that outing vs. the Nationals, he gave up a season-high 6 ER in just 4 innings of work. Throughout his young career, control has always been an issue for him and this season is no different. His BB/9 is a very high 4.5. That’s terrible and that has led to a WHIP of 1.48. He’s allowing way too many runners on to have any level of success. We want all the righties here as righties are his Achilles heel.
That means I’m going to look at guys like Tyler Nevin, Esteury Ruiz, Brent Rooker, and Shea Langeliers. My favorite of this group has to be Tyler Nevin as he has been a hits machine of late. Over his last 24 AB, Nevin has amassed 10 hits and 3 homers. He’s just $2.6k on DK tonight and will be a free square in my opinion. He should continue to smash in this matchup.
I also really like Langeliers here. He’s fairly priced for a catch at $3.7k and he too has been crushing the ball. He has 5 barrels over the last week. His only knock is that he’s been extremely unlucky. His BABIP over the last week is .133. I’m looking forward to some positive regression for him tonight. A’s are risky, but they are cheap and should do well here.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Cardinals vs. Brad Keller, Braves vs. Gavin Stone, and Royals vs. Michael Lorenzen.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
