Jared Levitt 
It’s Tuesday and that typically would mean that we have a large slate of games. Tonight is not different as we are blessed with a 12-game slate of MLB DFS. With this being such a large slate, it brings us many options both on the mound and for stacks. We have an ace pitching against a disappointing team today and we also have some pitchers on the mound that have been straight-up struggling. This should be a very fun slate to play.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Freddy Peralta ($10k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Freddy Peralta is coming off his lone poor start on the year. Out of his 5 starts this season, 4 have been really good. Through his 5 starts, Peralta has a 12.07 K/9 and a 2.86 BB/9. Those walks are the lowest it has ever been as he’s shown great command of the strike zone this season. His K’s are also at the highest level in a few years. Peralta has been doing a great job of inducing swings and misses as well. His 13.8 swinging strike rate is the highest of anyone pitching tonight.
The matchup is pretty good for him too. The Rays haven’t been playing as the Rays of the past. Yes, they’ve had some injuries that have slowed them down, but their starts are also struggling. Their star player Randy Arozarena is hitting just .148 on the year. Peralta should get back into form tonight against a weak-hitting Rays lineup.
Reynaldo Lopez ($9.5k on DK) vs. Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners continue to strike out in large numbers. Over the last week, the Mariners have a 37% strikeout rate. Against righties this season, they have a strike-out rate of nearly 30%. Until they figure out how to not miss the ball when swinging, they’re a team that we should continue to target competent starters. We have that in Reynaldo Lopez tonight. While he’s not typically a pitcher who has the strikeout pedigree of a Peralta, he is someone who can hold his own.
He hasn’t had less than 5 strikeouts in any start this season and over his last 3 starts, he has 19 K’s. Against a team like the Mariners who have been striking out a ton, those games where he typically gets 6-7 K’s could turn into 8-9 K’s very quickly. Look for Lopez to continue his solid pitching tonight in a plus matchup.
Other pitchers that will be in my pool night: Mitch Keller vs. Oakland, Spencer Turnbull vs. the Angels, and Simeon Woods Richardson vs. Chicago.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Minnesota Twins vs. Mike Soroka
I’m going to go ahead and say the quiet part out loud. Mike Soroka is cooked. After missing a couple of years with his Achilles injury, Soroka just isn’t the same pitcher that he was when he broke into the league back in 2018. This year has been an extreme struggle for him. The xFIP of 5.86 is extremely concerning, as concerning as all of his outings have been. While he pitched a little better in his last outing, he still gave up 2 homer to this same Twins team. That makes it 7 homers allowed through his 6 starts.
He’s also been allowing way too many runners on base. His WHIP of 1.69 is the highest of his career and by a decent margin. You just can’t be successful allowing almost 2 runners on base each inning. I’m not overly concerned with splits here as both sides have a .500 slugging percentage vs. him this season That said, I give a slight lean to the lefties here as they have an OBP of .408 vs. him.
That will lead me to go to guys like Carlos Santana, Eduoard Julien, and even the struggling Alex Kirilloff. My favorite of the trio is going to be Carlos Santana. He’s been red hot at the plate with 4 homers over the last week and 11 RBI. If we can continue to get that level of production out of him in this matchup, he’s going to end up being one of the top value plays on the slate as he’s just $3.1k on DK.
Julien has also been hitting the ball well, with 6 hits in his last 19 AB and 2 homers. Should Trevor Larnarch make the lineup, he too should be a nice value play at $3.8k. His 1.269 OPS over the last week ranks second on the team. This whole lineup should be in play tonight.
Washington Nationals vs. Jon Gray
I only play GPP’s so the stacks I play are often a little on the risky side. I rarely play stacks like the Dodgers or Braves, especially when they are chalky. If you want to go get the top, you need to be different. Tonight, I’m going to be different and I’m going to play the Washington Nationals. If we look at what they have done over the last week, it’s pretty remarkable. Only 3 teams have scored more runs than them over the last week.
Yes, they played the Marlins a bunch, but as hitters, they still need to execute and put up solid AB’s. They are doing, and they are doing that more often than not. The matchup tonight isn’t a bad one as Gray has been giving up some pretty hard contact of late. Even though the numbers aren’t bad for him, he’s someone we can attack due to the amount of hard contact he typically gives up.
One of my favorite bats on this slate is going to be CJ Abrams. I can’t tell you how many trade offers I received for him in my fantasy keeper league this year, but I stayed strong and didn’t bite. He has a ton of upside and he’s been showing this season. The third-year SS for the Nats is already up to 7 homers on the young season. This is after setting a career-high of last 18 last season.
Another bat I like here is going to be Nick Senzel. Senzel has been hitting with some power recently as he has 4 bombs over his last 20 AB. He’s always risky, but at $2.5k on DK he’s someone that has upside at an extremely low price. Other bats I like here are Jesse Winker, LaVictor Lipscomb, and Jacob Young. This is a cheap stack that has some high upside. It’s a high-risk/high-reward stack.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Reds vs. Yu Darvish, Phillies vs. Tyler Anderson, Brewers vs. Tyler Alexander, and Astros vs. Carlos Carrasco.
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