Jared Levitt 
I don’t know about you, but I’m very thankful it’s the weekend. I’m even more thankful that we have ourselves a very solid slate of slate of MLB DFS today. It’s also very nice and early so by dinner time, we’ll know if we took the bag. This is a really good look slate starting at 1 pm EST. We have some top pitchers in great spots and also some great spots for offense.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Zac Gallen ($10.4k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants
This is going to be the first time this season I pay more than $10k for a pitcher. Zac Gallen has proven so far that he’s more than worth it. Gallen will be making his fifth start of the season. If they are anything like the first 4, he should smash again. He’s now given up just 4 ER through those 4 starts, 3 of which came in 1 of the starts. He’s posted 2 starts with 0 ER allowed and after striking out just 3 in his first outing of the season, he’s now had at least 6 K ‘s in 3 straight.
His K rate is up to 29% on the season and he has yet to give up a bomb. There is little in this Giants lineup that truly scares. Their best hitters are righties and that’s where Gallen shines. Between Matt Chapman and Jorge Soler, it’s almost guaranteed that he gets 4 strikeouts today. Look for Gallen to continue with this strong start to the season.
Javier Assad ($7.9k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
We went with one high-priced pitcher, now we’re going to save some money with Javier Assad. Assad has also been strong to start the season. Through the first month of the season, Assad has just a 2.16 ERA and a strikeout rate of 28%. He’s done this all while also allowing just a 23% hard-hit rate. If he can continue to limit the hard contact, and he should against this Marlins team, he’ll continue to post strong numbers.
This is a Marlins lineup that has mostly struggled vs. righties this season. They have a wOBA below .300 vs. them and just a .133 ISO. This is a great spot Assad to continue his strong start. An outing of 6 innings, 2 ER, and 5-6 strikeouts is very much in the realm of possibility today.
I’m not going to stray at all from these 2 today in terms of pitching. They are my core and I’m sticking to it.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Chicago Cubs vs. Jesus Luzardo
This is probably going to greatly upset our boy Ghost, but so far to start the season Jesus Luzardo has really struggled. Maybe it’s his supporting cast that’s getting him down, or maybe it’s just his stuff. But regardless, he’s been bad so far this season. Through his first 4 starts, Luzardo has an eye-opening 7.65 ERA. While that’s probably inflated, his FIP of nearly 6 says it’s pretty indicative of how he’s been pitching.
He’s really been struggling with the long ball as he’s yet to have a start this season without allowing one. He’s also struggled with his command as his 4.50 BB/9 is the highest it’s been in a few years. Until he figures out his command, he’s someone that we’ll want to continue to pick on. Since he’s been pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate this season, I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits.
I’m starting my Cubs stack with the legend, Michael Busch. Bush has been superb this season. Over his last 19 AB, Busch has 7 hits and 3 homers. We’ll want to make sure he’s in the lineup in game 1 of the DH, but if he is, even though this is a L/L matchup I do like him quite a bit.
Next up for me will be Nico Hoerner. Hoerner has also been swinging a hot stick, with 9 hits in his last 23 AB. While the power hasn’t been there for him, he’s been productive as he has 4 RBI and 5 runs scored over the last week. He also typically hits lefties well. Other guys I like in this one are going to be Miguel Amaya, Dansby Swanson, and Cody Bellinger.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Harrison
One has to wonder if the Diamondbacks will have anything left in the tank after putting up 17 runs vs. Blake Snell and the Giants bullpen. I think they do as they’ll be facing another lefty, and a very beatable lefty to boot. The second-year starter for the Giants hasn’t been anything special to start the year. He’s making his fifth start tonight and his first 4 have been average. He’s allowed at least 3 ER in 3 straight. 2 of those starts were against far inferior lineups in the Nats and Marlins. The Diamondbacks are in a much different class than those 2. Against lefties this season, they’ve been great with a .369 wOBA and an OPS of .845.
One of my favorite hitters on this slate is Ketel Marte. He’s off to a spectacular start to the year. Over the last week, he’s been incredible as he had 14 hits in his last 31 AB. He’s also scored 8 runs over that stretch. I much prefer using Marte when he’s hitting from the right side as he typically crushes lefties. Against lefties this season, Marte is hitting .375 with 3 homers and 7 RBI. He’ll be a lock for me today.
Other players I like in this matchup are Blaze Alexander, Christian Walker, Lourdes Gurriel, and Randal Grichuck. Of that group, Alexander is probably my favorite. He’s been productive over the last week with 8 RBI (I know, 5 were last night) and 6 hits. This is a spot he should continue to do well in.
Other stacks I like today are the Dodgers vs Jose Butto, Astros vs. Trevor Williams, and Tigers vs. Baily Ober.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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