Jason Mezrahi 
I will keep this short and sweet. If you have been following my run in Discord for the past 3 months of NFL and NBA prop betting you would have your next 10 years of membership paid in full. If you haven’t followed along today is a good day to start trailing some NBA Prop bets.
We went 1-1 last night missing out on a 2-0 night after Kyrie Irving feel short of one rebound or assist as we played the over 9.5 rebounds + assists and he ended with 9. LaMelo Ball crushed his 32.5 points + rebounds + assists number early in the second half so lets look ahead to Tuesday.
The place I start my research process daily is reviewing the entire NBA Player Prop Model here. I will publish this after locking my first bet and will be adding more throughout the day if I find value elsewhere.
Michael Porter Jr over 15.5 Points -125 DraftKings
Coming off a 25 point game versus Indiana about a week ago and eclipsing 15.5 in 7 of his last 10 games I like the number DraftKings provided at 15.5. FanDuel already bumped his number to 16.5 and I wouldn’t be shocked to see all books adjust up here. We have a healthy 239 over under with a 4.5 point spread so we can expect a high scoring tight game in Indiana. Our model also has him at 17.56 which gives me the extra confidence I need to lock this bet. I will be putting 1 unit on the over.
Josh Giddey over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -140 Bet365
In 2 games this year Giddey went for 32 and 35 combined points + rebounds + assists. Josh Giddey has averaged 14.0 points, 8.0 rebounds and 6.1 assists in 7 games against the Trail Blazers in his career. Our model has him 23.84 which also is a good sign to validate the play. Add in a nice over / under of 233.5 and we found our second bet of the day for 1 unit.
OG Anunoby over 4.5 Rebounds -140 DraftKings
OG has really flourished on the Knicks and has been a nice addition to the starting lineup. With news that Malcolm Brogdon is also coming to town the Knicks may be a tough out in the eastern conference as they continue to add grit to their lineup. It also makes me think a trade could come today with all the rumors so you never know if more minutes may swing OG’s way. Regardless Anunoby has gone over this number in 7 of the last 10 games and our model has him right at the number of 4.5. I will be putting 1 unit on OG here
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