After a great regular season with a ton of member wins capped off by a long time member taking down $500,000 and a ton of ladder prop bets won we made it to the playoffs. There are a ton of different slates on DraftKings and FanDuel with a 2 game Saturday only, 2 game Sunday only, a 4 game Saturday/Sunday, then of course there are a ton of showdown slates mixed in. Each slate has a different strategy and almost becomes like a showdown slate where the objective first is being unique and fading some of the ownership. As always keep an eye out on weather as we are now into the thick of January.
Some possibly surprising lines in the prop market to factor into your research.
- Jared Goff has the highest passing prop sitting at 275.5 yards.
- Lamar Jackson has a rushing prop set at 50.5 yards.
- Christian McCaffrey has an anytime touchdown prop sitting on average at -350 to score. David Montgomery is second at -110, followed by both Jahmyr Gibbs and Josh Allen at +100.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown leads both the receiving yardage (90.5) and reception (7.5) prop market.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Teams to win as underdogs in the Wild Card round are 1-17 straight up in the Divisional Round since 2011 — this week that is the Packers, Bucs and Texans. The lone win? Titans in Baltimore vs. Ravens in 2020.
- Playoff Shanahan: 4-0 ATS at home
- Playoff Baker: 3-0 ATS
Saturday Only Slate
DFS Ranks:
- Jackson
- Stroud
- Purdy
- Love
- McCaffrey
- Jones
- Singletary
- Edwards
- Hill
- Cook
- Samuel
- Collins
- Flowers
- Aiyuk
- Doubs
- Beckham
- Wicks
- Bateman
- Agholor
- Hutchinson
- Metchie
- Kittle
- Likely
- Schultz
- Musgrave
- Kraft
- Jordan
Sunday Only Slate
DFS Ranks:
- Allen
- Mahomes
- Goff
- Mayfield
- Pacheco
- Gibbs
- Cook
- White
- Montgomery
- Edwards-Helaire
- Edmonds
- St. Brown
- Diggs
- Rice
- Evans
- Godwin
- Palmer
- Shakir
- Williams
- Reynolds
- Watson
- Kelce
- Kincaid
- Laporta
- Otton
- Knox
- Gray
As I hope you been following in Discord my focus has primarily been on bets and I already have some placed in Discord which I have placed below and will be adding throughout the week when I see value.
Divisional Round Bets
- Cade Otton over 28.5 receiving yards
- Zay Flowers over 45.5 receiving yards
- Isaiah Likely over 35.5 receiving yards