It’s the end of November and tonight, we have a huge fourteen-game slate. There are lots of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Given the size of this slate, I highly suggest against running full three-man lines and instead recommend pivoting to two-skater pairings.
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11/30 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Chicago Blackhawks (+185) at Detroit Red Wings (-225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+380) at Boston Bruins (-500) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-142) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-225) at Montreal Canadiens (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (+160) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-192) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
New York Islanders (+164) at Carolina Hurricanes (-198) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (-155) at Philadelphia Flyers (+130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Buffalo Sabres (-105) at St. Louis Blues (-115) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Minnesota Wild (+102) at Nashville Predators (-122) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Colorado Avalanche (-205) at Arizona Coyotes (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Edmonton Oilers (-122) at Winnipeg Jets (+102) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (-135) at Calgary Flames (+114) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Washington Capitals (-110) at Anaheim Ducks (-110) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vegas Golden Knights (+100) at Vancouver Canucks (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
11/30 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Boston One – “Pavel Zacha ($5,300), David Pastrnak ($9,800)” – Two-Man Only
The Bruins have been struggling as of late and the Sharks have overall been writing the ship. However, the odds don’t lie and tonight Boston comes in a -500 home favorite. There has been some rearranging of lines due to the B’s recent struggles. While the graphic above does not represent it, the struggling Brad Marchand was allegedly moved down to the third line. However, this is why we stick to a two-man pairing, which we would anyway given the size of this slate.
Both Pavel Zacha and Pasta also share time on Boston’s top power-play unit along with their even strength correlation. If there was ever a get-right spot, it seems like this might be it for the Bruins. Zacha has 16 points in 21 games so far this season “7 goals, 9 assists” while Pasta has been a stud per usual with 31 points in the same 21 games “13 goals, 18 assists”. Pasta is priced through the roof but Zacha’s price helps to offset this a bit.
11/30 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Arizona Two – “Nick Bjugstad ($3,900), Lawton Crouse ($4,400)” – Two-Man only
Because of the price of Pasta, we are going to have to sneak in a lower-priced two-man here. That said, we aren’t looking to sacrifice upside, only the floor. It’s time to embrace the call of the wild and a team we don’t normally see on here but let’s roll out some Coyotes. Not just any Coyotes, but Arizona’s second line. I think you take Nick Bjugstad to fill a center slot and from there pick one of the two wings. Lawton Crouse has 13 points in 20 games but ten of those have been goals. Matias Macclli by comparison has 16 points in 21 games but thirteen of those have been assists. Therefore, it seems like Crouse is the one getting fed the puck and is the priority of the two unless you need the $800 savings.
Currently, over the last ten games, this line is 10th in the NHL in terms of SATF (107). Aside from Arizona Two, I also like pulling from Florida Two “Matthew Tkachuk is expensive but a two-man line of Sam Bennett ($4,400) and Carter Verhaege ($5,700) is doable. The Panthers are -225 favorites in Montreal and there is a projected 6.5 total so hopefully some goals can be captured from that game as well.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Conor Timmons – Toronto -$2,500 – He has only played three games so far this season and has done nothing of note. However, John Klingberg is out and Mark Giordano will be out as well. Connor Timmons should see some power-play time with the second power-play unit for the Leafs along with a bump in ice time. Best of all, he is the minimum price. The Maple Leafs are hefty -192 money line favorites hosting the Kraken with a 6.5 projected goal total. Another cheap option is Ben Hutton ($2,700) who should continue to see added ice time for Vegas but I think Timmons has more offensive prowess (14 points in 27 games last year).
Luke Hughes – New Jersey – $3,800 – Luke Hughes continues to quarterback the Devils top power-play unit. With Dougie Hamilton questionable for tonight’s game, he may also see some extra ice time. However, most importantly he is sub $4,000 as we continue to spend down on defenseman in order to spend up elsewhere.
Goalies
Jeremy Swayman – Boston – $8,600 – For a little extra money, Boston is a -500 favorite here, something you don’t see in the NHL too often. Jeremy Swayman is already confirmed in the net very early for this one as he seeks to redeem himself from a poor showing Monday night. His 2.38 GAA and .924 SV % are outstanding as Boston seems to continue to be stacked/blessed at goalie.
Connor Hellebuyck – Winnipeg – $7,500 – For the price, worth a gamble in tournament formats. We know Edmonton can rack up shots so this play is high risk, high reward. However, Connor Hellebuyck has put up strong numbers (2.61 GAA, .908 SV %) this season and the game isn’t too far off of a pick-em with the Jets at home.
11/30 NHL Best Bet
Dallas 60 Minute Line (+110) – DraftKings -I hate turning to a favorite above -120 but the Stars should win this one. So since we’re looking for a bit more juice than the -135 money line we can take them to win in regulation.
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