Allan Fabrykant 
ALLEN V CRAIG
UFC 295 has come and gone and after the crowning of two new champions last week we have an exciting Fight Night card tonight. There will be 14 fights with some great matchups throughout the card. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 2:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is highly recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event. These fighters are both active, and they can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now, let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 82 Allen vs Smith
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Jordan Leavitt vs Chase Hooper
Neither of these guys are particularly good at striking but Chase Hooper has only one strategy and it’s about relying heavily on his Jiu Jitsu game. The UFC has fed him a lot of beatable competition over the years to build him up in the organization but Jordan Leavitt could prove to pose some problems since he has enough of a Jiu Jitsu background and enough strength to avoid any trouble and has enough skill on the feet to pose problems for Hooper early. I doubt this fight ends in a finish but Hooper being listed as a favorite in this one doesn’t make sense to me. Leavitt is a solid value choice.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Jordan Leavitt UNANIMOUS DECISION.
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Payton Talbot vs Nick Aguirre
Talbot is an unbelievable talent coming off an impressive performance in the Dana White Contender Series where he fired off 145 significant strikes in a 15-minute war against Reyes Cortez Jr. Prior to that fight Talbot had a 100% finish rate winning all fights via KO. Aguirre on the other hand amassed a 7-0-0 record against unknown (and suspicious) competition outside of the UFC, then in his UFC debut he proceeded to get outclassed for 15 minutes by Dan Argueta. Talbot is a clear favorite for a reason here. I would definitely recommend locking him into your lines tonight!
MY UFC DFS PICK: Payton Talbot SECOND-ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Denis Tiutilin
Christian Leroy Duncan is a solid prospect coming off his first career loss against a very solid opponent in Armen Petrosyan. In that fight Duncan gave a good account of himself and was able to win a round on two of the judges score cards. Tiutilin on the other hand has had a very rough go in his UFC career. Over his four career UFC fights, Tiutilin has lost three, getting finished in every one. For an abysmal 10-8-0 record. With Duncan’s speed advantage on the feet and powerful striking, I think he is in a decent bounce back spot for his career and I see him getting an early KO in this fight.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Christian Leroy Duncan FIRST-ROUND KO (possible SECOND-ROUND KO)
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Brendan Allen 5 ROUNDER
Michael Morales
Uros Medic
Amanda Ribas
Jonathan Pearce
Jose Johnson
Mick Parkin
Lucas Alexander
Ailin Perez
Trey Ogden
Rafael Estevam
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Christian Leroy Duncan KO (Double Chance KO/Decision) -320
Payton Talbot (Double Chance KO/Decision) -550
Mick Parkin (Double Chance KO/Decision) -170
