Welcome back to another exciting season of CFB! We are starting Week 11 action on Saturday with a big 12-game slate. We are starting to enter conference matchups, which always make for great environments.
The purpose of this article is to break down the college football main slates, both on the DFS and betting sites. The article includes my favorite plays at every position as well as honorable mentions. You can also find my favorite bets under my Dragos Best Bets section.
The QBs:
Noah Fifita (ARIZ): $6,000
We are starting off with the value play of the day. There is no reason Fifita should be 6K against CFB’s third-worst passing defense. The freshman has been great in his five starts since starter de Laura went down. He has thrown for at least 300 yards in three of his five starts. The Buff’s pass defense is allowing 300.7 yards per game through the air this season. Fifita has faced three bottom 30 pass defenses this season and has combined for 877 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions. He has averaged 25.2 points on DraftKings in those three games as well. Colorado can’t stop anyone at this point, so Fifita is going to be in a lot of my lineups. Arizona has Fifita as their QB1 going into this game, with the now-recovered de Laura as their QB2. If de Laura gets the start, then pivot $100 down to him.
Who to pair him with: Jacob Cowing, Tetairoa McMillan
John Rhys Plumlee (UCF): $7,500
Plumlee is in a great spot this weekend and should be the best game for DFS purposes. The Big 12 has been known for years as the conference with no defense, and the OKST/UCF matchup will prove that true. The Cowboys pass and rush defense and UCF’s rush defense all rank in the bottom 35 of CFB. That’s where running QB Plumlee comes in. The Cowboys are 108th against the pass and 95th against the run. Plumlee, in two games against the bottom 35 defenses, has thrown for a combined 520 yards and rushed for 69 for a total of 589 yards. The game has the highest total on the slate and should be a fun, fast-paced game for DFS.
Who to pair him with: Javon Baker, Xavier Townsend, Kobe Hudson
Michael Pratt (TUL): $8,200
Pratt was one of my favorite QBs last season, but I have not had the chance to really use him this season. But that changes this weekend as Pratt takes on Tulsa and their 127th-ranked pass defense. Tulsa’s pass defense is the second worst on the slate, only behind Colorado, whom I have already mentioned attacking above. Pratt has been consistent in DFS, having a season low of 15.8, which was last week in an ugly game against ECU. Prior to that, he had five games with at least 21.3 points. Tulsa’s defense shouldn’t give Pratt similar issues to what he saw with ECU, so Pratt is a great play this week.
Who to pair him with: Lawrence Keys III, Chris Brazzell II, Jha’Quan Jackson
Honorable Mentions: Cameron Ward (WSU). Michael Penix (UW). Jalen Milroe (BAMA). Alan Bowman (OKST). Haynes King (GT). Jordan Travis (FSU).
Value QBs: Fernando Mendoza (CAL). Hudson Card (PUR)
The RBs:
Ollie Gordon II (OKST): $7,900
The nation’s leading rusher gets to take on the nation’s fourth-worst rush defense. Gordon has been unstoppable the last six games he has played. He has averaged 185.8 yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game in that span. This weekend against UCF, he will face a team that allows 211.8 yards and 2.6 touchdowns on the ground per game. This is going to be a showcase game for him, as he will take another step closer to securing the Doak Walker Award for best RB in CFB.
Jaydn Ott (CAL): $7,500
Cal has not been involved in many main slates on DK this season, so I haven’t had much chance to write up Ott. But this week I will definitely be using him, as he is one of the best backs in CFB. Ott takes on a bottom-half Washington State Cougars defense that gives up 160.1 yards and 2.4 rushing touchdowns per game. Ott comes into the matchup against WSU averaging 106 yards and 1.3 touchdowns. Cal should use Ott early to not let the game get away from them like it did last week against Oregon.
Makhi Hughes (TUL): $5,800
Hughes has been a strong replacement for current Titans rookie Spears as the lead back for the Green Wave. Hughes comes into the game as the 22nd-ranked rusher, averaging 97.4 yards per game. He is currently on a five-game streak of 105 rushing yards or more. He gets a middle-of-the pack rush defense in Tulsa, as they rank 61st against the run, allowing 143.4 yards per game. He is by far the toughest matchup of the three RBs I wrote up, but he is a good RB that Tulane should be able to use as Tulsa will be focused on stopping QB Pratt.
Honorable Mentions: Blake Corum (MICH). Will Shipley (CLEM). Tahj Brooks (TTU). RJ Harvey (UCF). Dillon Johnson (UW). Devin Neal (KU).
Value RBs (5K and under): Jonah Coleman (ARIZ). Tyrone Tracy (PUR). Devin Mockobee (PUR)
The WRs:
Brennan Presley (OKST): $5,800
Presley has had a nice bounce back after starting the season a bit slow. Over the past four games, Presley has had 28 receptions for 277 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 21.6 points on the draft. Like I mentioned a few times above in my article, the Oklahoma vs. UCF game is one that I really like for DFS purposes. Presley comes in averaging 7.4 targets per game, which leads the team. Presley is going to get you a lot of 10-15 catches since he runs a lot more shorter routes, but he will see enough targets against a bad UCF pass defense to have a great DFS day.
Rome Odunze (UW): $8,900
Odunze has climbed up the WR draft board this season thanks to some of the best WR play in CFB. He ranks 5th in receiving yards (989) despite being ranked 22nd in receptions (56) and 27th in targets (79). Of players who have played a minimum of five games this week on the slate, he is the leader in fantasy points per game with 24.9 on DraftKings. But this will be the toughest defense he has had to go up against all season. The Utah pass defense ranks 34th in CFB and the 5th best pass defense on the slate. I expect the Huskies to come out playing like Oregon did against Utah and use their best weapon early and often to make Utah play a faster-paced game than they would like.
Eric Singleton Jr. (GT): $4,700
We are saving a lot of salary for a consistent WR. Over the past two weeks, Singleton has had 13 receptions for 197 yards and a score. Despite being the Yellowjackets WR2, he is leading the team with 55 targets and is two receptions behind WR1 Rutherford (37 to 35) for the team lead. Clemson has a strong defense, and I expect the Tigers to lead the majority of the game, so Singleton will have plenty of opportunities this game with the Yellowjackets playing from behind.
Honorable Mentions: Luther Burden (MIZZ). Xavier Weaver (COL). Keon Coleman (FSU). Rashod Owens (OKST). Ja’Lynn Polk (UW). Lincoln Victor (WSU). Squirrel White (TENN). Jeremiah Hunter (CAL). Jermaine Burton (BAMA).
Value Plays (4.9K and under): Jake Brinningstool (CLEM). Michael Harrison (COL)
Drago’s Best Bets:
- Oklahoma State vs UCF Over 65.5
- Penn State +4.5
- Texas Tech +4
- Alabama -11
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