Ivan Herrera 
Welcome back to another exciting season of CFB! We are starting Week 10 action on Saturday with a big 12-game slate. We are starting to enter conference matchups, which always make for great environments.
The purpose of this article is to break down the college football main slates, both on the DFS and betting sites. The article includes my favorite plays at every position as well as honorable mentions. You can also find my favorite bets under my Dragos Best Bets section.
The QBs:
Darren Grainger (GAST): $7,000
Grainger is my favorite QB under 7.5K on the main slate. Grainger has been very consistent this season, aside from his performance against a Troy defense that has been good all season. In his seven games against opponents not named Troy, Grainger is averaging 26.7 points on DraftKings. This weekend, he was involved in one of my favorite games against JMU. The JMU pass defense is the 5th worst pass defense, allowing 288.9 yards per game through the air. Grainger, who comes in with a completion percentage of over 70%, should be able to pick apart the Dukes defense. His running ability is also a huge plus in this matchup, as JMU is one of the best rush defenses in the nation, so GAST should dial up some QB runs to try and open up JMU’s defense.
Who to pair him with: Robert Lewis, Tailique Williams
Dillon Gabriel (OU): $8,900
I debated a lot about who I should write up, Gabriel or Travis, but I think Gabriel has a much easier matchup against Oklahoma State’s 90th-ranked pass defense than Travis going up against Pitt’s 54th. Gabriel comes into this game with at least 23.3 DK points in every game this season. His eight rushing touchdowns have been a big help for him in DFS, and against a bad OKST defense, he should be able to use his legs to help the Sooners bounce back after losing last week. Over the past five weeks, the Cowboy defense has allowed 254 rushing yards to opposing QBs. Gabriel should be able to use all of his tools to get past OKST in a game that should be a shootout.
Who to pair him with: Nic Anderson, Jalil Farooq, and Drake Stoops
Jordan McCloud (JMU): $8,100
The QB opposite of Grainger is also very much in play. McCloud is probably the best QB the average fan has never heard of. Coming into the matchup against GAST, McCloud has had at least 250 yards and three touchdowns in four of his last five starts. Similarly to his GAST counterpart, McCloud gets a favorable matchup against the 6th worst pass defense. The GAST pass defense has allowed over 250 yards to every opposing QB aside from Louisiana’s QB. McCloud will be the best throwing QB that GAST has seen so far, so I expect him to be able to find holes in the GAST secondary.
Who to pair him with: Reggie Brown, Elijah Sarratt
Honorable Mentions: Jordan Travis (FSU). Kyron Drone (VT). Carson Beck (UGA). Zac Larrier (AF). Alan Bowman (OKST).
Value QBs: NONE! Not going lower than Bowman at $6,200.
The RBs:
Emmanuel Michel (AF): $6,400
Besides WR Reggie Brown, I don’t think there is a better play this weekend than Michel. Air Force comes into the game with the best rushing offense in CFB, and Michel plays a big role in that. Michel has accounted for 29% of the Air Force’s rushing yards and for 33% of their rushing touchdowns. He leads AF in both categories as well as being one of two AF rushers with over 100 carries this season, the second being starting QB Larrier. The matchup against the Army’s 116th-ranked rush defense paints a picture of a huge day for both Michel and Larrier.
Jawhar Jordan (UL): $6,700
Jordan has been one of the best DFS running backs this season averaging 23.9 points on DraftKings. His worse game (not including the game he was injured after 2 carries) was against NCST who is known for having a smothering defense. This weekend he gets to face a VTech rush defense that has not been great against the run. They are allowing 4.26 yards per carry which is the 4th most on the slate. Jordan looked like he had no ill effect coming back from injury last week against Duke where he rushed for 163 yards and two touchdowns.
Ollie Gordon II (OKST): $7,200
Gordon has become a star DFS RB over the past four weeks. He is averaging 26 carries for 214.3 yards and two touchdowns over the past four weeks. Then you had his 11 receptions for 142 yards and a touchdown, he’s a top RB on any slate. OKST should continue to run Gordon hard as they play their rivals Oklahoma this week who is coming off a loss. The 60.5 game total bodes well for both offenses to be able to go off.
Honorable Mentions: Jonathan Brooks (UT). Audric Estime (ND). Marcus Carroll (GAST). Bhayshul Tuten (VT). Quinshon Judkins (MISS). Nicholas Singleton (PSU).
Value RBs (5K and under): Raheim Sanders (ARK)
The WRs:
Reggie Brown (JMU): $5,000
I normally don’t use a WR who I included above in this section, but Brown is my favorite WR on the slate. I’m not sure why DK priced him at $5,000, but here we are. Over the past three games, he has had 19 receptions for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Through eight weeks, he has averaged 7.6 targets and 4.5 receptions per game. He should be in for a huge day against one of the worst pass defenses in the nation. With his price, you should be able to build almost any type of lineup, but if you need $400, his partner in crime, Sarratt, is worth a look as well.
Ladd McConkey (UGA): $5,800
McConkey has seen a large uptick in production since superstar TE Bowers suffered a potential season-ending injury. In the game and a a half since Bowers went out, McConkey has 10 receptions for 193 yards and a touchdown. His price doesn’t reflect the potential he has shown without Bowers in the lineup. Expect QB Beck to target him early and often, as the game against a strong Missouri side can turn into a shootout.
Xavier Worthy (UT): $6,700
Worthy’s price went down $100 this week after having an average day last week against BYU. This week, Worthy and Texas take on a middle-of-the pack pass defense in Kansas State. Last week against BYU Worthy, he had four receptions for 27 and failed to score a receiving touchdown, but his DFS day was saved by a punt return touchdown. Despite not showing results on the receiving stat sheet, Worthy was targeted nine times against BYU by the new starting QB. He should see a similar target share, as KSU can pull up an upset against Texas if the Longhorn offense stalls at any point.
Honorable Mentions: Marvin Harrison Jr (OSU). Keon Coleman (FSU). Luther Burden III (MIZZ). Jamari Thrash (UL). AD Mitchell (UT). Ainias Smith (TA&M). Dominic Lovett (UGA).
Value Plays (4.9K and under): Ben Sinnott (KSU). Ja’Tavion Sanders (UT). Cade Stover (OSU).
Drago’s Best Bets:
- Texas vs Kansas State Over 49.5
- JMU vs Georgia State Over 53.5
- Air Force -18
- Nebraska -3
- Georgia Tech ML
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