Best Ball Stock Report Week 7
Investment: $1,641 Projection: $1,540.51
My projection for profit has decreased from last week, from +37.44 to -100.49 on Draft Kings. For the first time all season, I am in the red. What a bummer. I am at a very low % in some mid to late-round marvels such as Thielen, Mostert, and Swift. Just a reminder, how I calculate being overweight and underweight on players is 1/12 = 8.33%. 12 is the number of teams that participate in best ball drafts.
Hits:
Trey McBride (20%) – the Arizona TE had his best week of the young season turning 5 targets into 4 catches for 62 yards. A common TE3 across one fifth of my best ball teams. This might be the beginning of the transition from Ertz to McBride. McBride is younger, faster, and more athletic than Ertz. As the tank for Caleb Williams rolls on, many NFL owners were scratching their heads when it was leaked that the USC QB wants partial ownership as a part of his contract. Aaron Rodgers wanted the same, but unfortunately this is against league policy.
Chuba Hubbard (19%) – with Miles Sanders missing in Week 6 due to injury, Chuba garnered most of the backfield snaps and produced nicely with just under 100 total yards with a TD. Backup Raheem Blackshear only garnered 5 carries, which bodes well for Hubbard’s usage if Sanders misses more games.
Drake London (14%) – a recent miss in my early season stock report, this 2nd year WR has quickly transitioned to a hit. London has seen 21 targets in the last two weeks as he has clearly emerged as the top Atlanta pass catcher. If he can just find the end zone more often his stock will go through the roof!
Michael Pittman (12%) – with Anthony Richardson being announced out for the year, this Indy WR has been a first-read target on many of Minshew’s drop backs. In the past, we have seen Minshew’s tendency to lock into one WR. And I am crossing my fingers that the WR he locks into is Pittman.
Misses:
Devonta Smith (12%) – this speedy Philly WR has been plagued by drops and inefficiencies in the early going. This common-round pick has quieted down after 2 nice weeks through the first 6 games. Last week he only turned 11 targets into 5 catches. This week is a projected shoot out on SNF against the Dolphins. Fingers crossed that he gets back on the right track and sky rockets my portfolio into the black.
Dameon Pierce (10%) – after handling 100% of the RB carries in Week 5, he was in a near-even split with Devin Singletary in Week 6. And this had nothing to do with garbage time touches or injury. Not great. In what appears to be a backfield split, it will be interesting to see how the touches are divided coming out of the Texans’ Week 7 bye. With some injuries on the O-line, it was justified that Pierce got out to a slow start. With Tunsil and the rest of the O-line back on the field, Pierce has run out of excuses for not producing.
Cooper Kupp (3%) – Puka who? Back to being the alpha Dog, Kupp has had two monster weeks in a row. High usage and high targets, he and Stafford are back to being best of buds. In the first round, I wanted to “make a stand” and not have even % distribution amongst all the first rounders.” I targeted Kupp as my stand and through his first two healthy games I am biting my lip.
Raheem Mostert (2%) – the Achane (10%) injury has opened up even more usage for this 31 year old RB. I am still happy with my Achane %; I believe he will be ready after the mandatory 4 week IR stint. But I do wish my % owned on Mostert was a bit higher. McDaniels has proven in the early going that he is frontrunner for NFL Coach of the year as he seems to be a step ahead of every defensive coordinator.
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