Allan Fabrykant 
FIZIEV V GAMROT
After a spectacular showcase of the UFC’s Mexican talent (including a very controversial majority draw call, watch Dana’s reaction here). We are back with an action-packed Fight Night card. Today’s fights will kick off in Las Vegas at 4:00 PM ET!! Many hot prospects and rising stars will be taking part in today’s action and I can’t wait to break down the big fights! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight, there will be 11 fights ending with a Lightweight fight between two surging talents looking to break into the top 5 of the division. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 79 Fiziev vs Gamrot.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Charles Jourdain vs Ricardo Ramos
This is one of my favorite matchups in the entire card. Canadian, Charles Jourdain is facing off against Brazilian Ricardo Ramos. Two fighters with very different paths that have ultimately led to the same place. Both have seen some UFC success and are beginning to enter their prime. Charles is coming off an easy win against Kron Gracie while Ramos is coming off one of the craziest knockouts of 2022 (watch here). A big point to note is that Ramos could have fought in March of 2023 but came in eight lbs over the weight limit and the fight got canceled. Now, Ramos’ 15-month absence from the octagon could play a role in this one. When it comes to skill both these fighters have some clear edges over their opponent. for Ramos, it’s his ability to surprise. With two spinning elbow finishes, Jourdain will constantly have to be on high alert for any wild attacks. Ramos however will have more of a challenge competing against Jourdain’s strong suit, his gas tank, and his adrenaline. Sometimes it honestly seems like Jourdain gets more energy as the fight goes on and his ability to turn on the pace late in a fight when his opponent is losing steam has been an incredible asset for him leading to some dramatic decision wins and a few late finishes (watch some of the highlights here). Jourdain’s path to victory is clear, keep the fight on the feet, keep a consistent high intensity, and avoid the takedowns, if he can do that, he will have a massive edge in this fight.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Charles Jourdain UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible THIRD-ROUND KO).
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson
This fight is very lopsided in my opinion. Waterson has lost five of her last six fights with her only win coming via a controversial split decision back in 2020. Rodriguez on the other hand has picked up a couple of losses against top talents but has otherwise been running through the competition in the Strawweight division (including a five-round demolition against Waterson, which was actually the card’s headliner back in 2021). This fight is going to be much of the same as their first bout, largely taking place on the feet and if Waterson is lucky, she may secure a takedown. For the most part, Waterson will be a step behind for the entire fight, leading to a clear decision win for Rodriguez. I can see Rodriguez’s strike count getting very high which makes her a key option for your DFS lines.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Marina Rodriguez UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible THIRD-ROUND KO).
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Andre Fialho vs. Tim Means
This matchup is very interesting as both fighters are coming into this fight on three-fight losing streaks. Fialho has suffered three straight KOs while Means has mostly lost via Submission lately. Statistically, both these fighters are very similar but the key difference in this one is their age, Tim Means is 39 years old!! A whole, 10 years older than his opponent. Honestly, I think Tim’s age has caught up with him and he is simply not the fighter he used to be. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an early finish and a retirement from Tim Means, after four straight losses at nearly 40 years old, it’s time to hang up the gloves. Means has looked a lot slower than he used to lately and although he still has some fight in him, the wars he’s been through have definitely taken their toll.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Andre Fialho FIRST-ROUND KO (possible SECOND-ROUND KO)
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Rafael Fiziev (as the odds suggest, this fight is very close, I can see either fighter taking it and I definitely recommend landing on one of them for your DFS lines. Fiziev is my top choice, but if you’re running more than one line, I would recommend having exposure to both main-event fighters)
Bryce Mitchell (I think that Bryce is going to win with his superior Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but realistically this is a much closer fight than -200. I think both fighters have some clear paths to victory. If you’re looking for underdogs with value Dan Ige is definitely worth a look)
Bryan Battle
Dan Argueta
Jacob Malkoun
Mohammed Usman
Mizuki Inoue
Tamires Vidal (FADE) [This one is closer than the odds suggest, I would rather just stay away from it altogether]
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Mohammed Usman (Double Chance KO/Decision) +115
Bryan Battle -188
Marina Rodriguez (Double Chance KO/Decision) -250
