Allan Fabrykant Hope everyone had a good DFS Weekend and a happy belated Thanksgiving to all our Canadian readers. Tonight we are presented with an seven-game 10/15 NHL DFS slate, so let’s get underway.
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10/15 NHL DFS Centers
Auston Matthews (FD $8,800 | DK $8,100) – Clear cut chalk of the night, unavoidable nonetheless. It looks like the Wild, who played in Ottawa last night, will be icing their starter Devan Dubnyk, who has held a GAA of 4.55 and a save percentage of .862. Not to mention that the Leafs have been averaging four goals a game (fourth in the league) and 35.2 shots per game (fifth in the league) with Matthews (6G, 1A) as their lead scorer. Matthews can’t stop putting the puck in the net and I doubt he’d spoil a golden opportunity to pad his stats.
Paul Statsny (FD $5,100 | DK $5,100) – Although the Golden Knights and the Predators are fairly evenly matched at first look, the stats tell a different story. While Vegas has been relatively good at keeping the puck out of their net, the same cannot be said for the Preds, who are averaging 4.2 goals against per game, tying them for third worst in the league along with the aformentioned Nashville Predators. Both the Preds and Golden Knights find themselves at the around top of the league in both goals scored and shots on goal per game. Vegas in particular has benefitted tremendously from the production of their second line, centered by Paul Statsny, with Max Pacioretty and Mark Stone on the wings.
Honorable Mention: Sean Couturier
10/15 NHL DFS Wingers
Andrei Svechnikov (FD $5,500 | DK $6,400) – A goal and seven assists in six games. This has truly been a tremendous start for the young winger. Svech will get an opportunity to improve his stats tonight at home in PNC against a shocking goaltender in Jonathan Quick, who in three games has allowed 19 goals for a 6.44 GAA and a .793 SV%. Carolina is a strong target tonight in general and given the strong start from the phenom he will be a prime option tonight at his price.
Patrik Laine (FD $8,000 | DK $8,000) – I wish he was just a little cheaper since he has been playing so well it would be great to be able to fit him with more great options in tonight’s slate. Laine has been leading his team with 11 points in just seven games, earning a move to the top line in the process. He will be up against solid goaltending in Antti Raanta but Laine is just too talented and will get the better of his countryman. His price (and his linemates’ prices) turns me off a bit given the risk but will be well worth it as a GPP play
HM: Oskar Lindblom
10/15 NHL DFS Defensemen
Ivan Provorov (FD $4,700 | DK $5,400) – Provorov has been seeing anywhere from 22-25 minutes in Philadelphia’s first three games, averaging a point per game in those contests. Provorov is the most stackable defenseman in tonight’s slate as he pairs well with both top lines on the Flyers. Last season, Provorov’s stats took a dip, however, given his hot start this season, there is no reason why he can’t reach the pace he set seasons prior. Not to mention, the Flames do give up a lot of goals and Provorov will be on the second power play unit.
Quinn Hughes (FD $4,300 | DK $4,000) – Hughes is beginning to hit the stride that was expected of him at the start of the season, with three points in four games, leading the Canucks defensemen in scoring. He has been averaging over 20 minutes a night and will be facing off against a weak defensive side in the Red Wings while skating on the second power play unit.
HM: Rasmus Andersson
10/15 NHL DFS Goalies
Frederik Andersen (FD $8,600 | DK $8,400) – The fact is the Wild just havent been scoring this season, residing among the bottom of the league in goals per game. The Leafs have been allowing goals in bunches but given their high favorability tonight it look like the Leafs are set to put on a clinic in front of the hometown fans
Petr Mrazek (FD $7,600 | DK $7,900) – Carolina is heavily favored in tonight’s matchup and given Mrazek’s price he will be a hot commodity tonight. With a perfect 5-1 record the surging Canes hold one of the leagues better goals against average, while also letting in a moderate amount of shots. The teams are tied in Corsi leading them to have similar offensive production to this point, but the Canes have the edge in both Fenwick and Shooting For Percentage.
HM: Connor Hellebuyck, Thatcher Demko (First start of the season)
10/15 NHL DFS STACKS
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 – This is the most stackable line in the slate and given that they will be up against some atrocious goaltending they ought to have high ownership. This line has had slightly better production than Torontos top line and at a much more affordable price. I like two-player stacks from this line for cash (Matthews with one of his wingers) and possibly a three-player stack from this line in a GPP (Matthews, Johnsson and Nylander)
HM: Carolina Hurricanes 2 (Svechnikov, Staal, Pesce)
10/15 NHL DFS Game Stacks
Tampa Bay vs Montreal – Both teams have strong offensive production and have had shaky goaltending from their “well-established” starters. Both have high implied totals and given that Montreal is a little undervalued its is possible to game stack this matchup. Tampa’s top line is the only one I’d consider stacking in this game and there is some leeway with Montreal as their top line as well as their third line both look suitable in a game stack. Given current point totals I’d give the edge to Montreal’s third line, take into account that Montreal’s top three lines generally see similar minutes as the talent is spread out around the roster.
10/15 NHL DFS Punts
Erik Haula (FD $5,500 | DK $5,800) – On top of facing off against garbage goaltending, Haula has truly been spectacular this season. With five goals in six games, he has truly made a statement on Carolina’s third line, his production raises the value of his linemates Necas and Dzingel and his performance has earned him a spot centering Carolina’s second powerplay unit alongside Svechnikov and Hamilton. With a 27.8% shooting percentage (not gonna last) he is well worth the price.
Ilya Mikheyev (FD $4,100 | DK $4,000) – Mikhevey has been another standout third liner this season and will also be facing shaky goaltending tonight. While averaging around 16 minutes of ice-time per night Mikheyev has found himself with five goals through the Leafs first six games along with a goal and an assist last game against the Red Wings. The Gagarin Cup finalist has had success plying his trade in the NHL and at his price he is worth the risk.
HM: Sean Walker, Anthony Mantha
10/15 NHL DFS Cash Plays
Auston Matthews – See Above ^^
Dougie Hamilton (FD $6,200 | DK $6,700) – Everything is appealing about Dougie, except for his price. It makes it difficult to fit in other high quality options, however in a cash situation Hamilton is more than optimal in a two-player stack with someone like Haula or Svechnikov. Dougie leads all Canes defensemen in scoring and is tied for the lead in overall team scoring with four goals and four assists, while seeing around 23 minutes of ice time per game. As mentioned previously, Carolina will be facing off against some less than satisfactory goaltending and hold one of the highest implied goal totals of the slate.
