MLBMA Daily Notes 5.8.19 MIA at CHC

OFFENSE

MIA, Away vs RHP (Last 14 Games)

• 196 PA
• .257/.306/.335 Triple Slash
• .641 OPS
• .078 ISO
• .282 wOBA
• 72 wRC+

CHC, Home vs RHP (Last 14 Games)

• 209 PA
• .254/.361/.480 Triple Slash
• .841 OPS
• .226 ISO
• .355 wOBA
• 123 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

Jose Urena, 2019 (7 Games Started)

• 39.2 IP
• 5.45 ERA / 4.96 FIP / 4.63 xFIP
• 29 K
• 1.54 WHIP
• .366 wOBAA
• 47.8% Hard Hit Rate

Kyle Hendricks (3 Home Starts)

• 21 IP
• 0.86 ERA / 2.05 FIP / 3.46 xFIP
• 0.76 WHIP
• .179 wOBAA
• 32.1% Hard Hit Allowed

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

MIAMI

• 9.15 ERA (28th)
• 7.01 FIP (30th)
• 5.88 xFIP (28th)
• 1.98 WHIP (27th)

CHICAGO

• 3.38 ERA (8th)
• 3.58 FIP (11th)
• 3.00 xFIP (3rd)
• 0.88 WHIP (4th)

THE PLAY: CHC ML

This one is a totally lopsided, three-phase advantage for the Cubs tonight, opening the door for a few different paths to play. If you follow along on Twitter, you know I am very much a profit grinder. I’ll often spread bets out and always take a hedge to ensure a profitable venture. Given the nature of the breakdown, CHC RL -1.5 (-115) is on the table as a straight play as well. I’m also going to package CHC ML with my earlier breakdown, BOS ML.