...
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 

MLBMA Daily Notes 5.9.19 PIT at STL

OFFENSE

STL vs RHP (Last 7 Games)

  • 209 PA
  • .200/.284/.335 Triple Slash
  • .619 OPS
  • .135 ISO
  • .270 wOBA
  • 70 wRC+

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

PITTSBURGH

Custom MLBMA Charts Exclusively at WINDAILYDFS.COM

My argument for the Pirates today is better explained by the chart than the mediocre team stats I omitted above. The outlying statistics are just average, which is actually a huge step in the right direction after a dismal start to the season. They improved their week-by-week rolling averages again for the second week in a row, and if you go all the way back to April 25, you can see a progression of higher lows being made on the path to recapturing their MAs from below. They just regressed back to the mean, which we will look for today.

STARTING PITCHERS

Joe Musgrove Away 2019 (4 Games Started)

  • 22 IP
  • 1.23 ERA / 2.18 FIP
  • 0.91 WHIP
  • .200/.244/.275 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .228 wOBAA
  • 2.03 ERA 1st Time Through Order
  • 2.77 ERA 2nd Time Through Order

Michael Wacha 2019 (6 Games Started)

  • 31.1 IP
  • 21 BB
  • 5.17 ERA / 5.53 FIP
  • 1.63 WHIP
  • .254/.362/.475 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .352 wOBAA
  • 4.38 ERA 1st Time Through Order
  • 10.13 ERA 2nd Time Through Order
  • Bottom third Xstats (below)
M. Wacha, Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS

The PIT bullpen has a 6.31 ERA & 1.64 WHIP over the last seven games, and we want no part of that.

THE PLAY: PIT F5RL + PIT F5ML

We have to be wary anytime we’re facing a quality hitting team like STL, but there’s a lot to love about Musgrove against the Cardinals. Wacha has been wild and I think this a good opportunity to get some plus money for a change. The safer play is always to take the half run and lesser odds, but there’s valid support for my very popular weighted split between RL & ML. Remember, play small. If you can’t succeed betting $10, why would you bet $100, or $1000? Hone your craft and your style before getting aggressive with your account. This is experience talking.

Let’s Get It.

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00