(Updated 12:53 PM EST)
Keston Hiura ($2,900 FD & $3,600 DK): is batting fourth and Milwaukee is favored at -115 with a nine under, over. Screams value.
(Updated 12:19 PM EST)
Since when can you stack a game that has a 10 under/over, and still be able to afford premium pitching? Well that’s what we have in the Baltimore, San Francisco game as there are some cheap guys that I think can run this score up while staying at low salaries. Stephen Vogt for example, Always has the ability to homer and in Baltimore today that’s exactly what I expect him to do. At a low price of $2,300 on FanDuel, it’s worth it to me to invest in some Vogt today. Same goes for, Mike Yastrzemski and Dwight Smith Jr. on Baltimore at a price of $3,000 and $3,300 on FanDuel batting in the two and three holes. Just make sure when grabbing all this value to lock in the main guys being Mancini, Nunez and Villar.
Can I convince myself that Cincinnati can get to Scherzer, so they can then get to Washington’s horrific bullpen?
The only pro that I see for investing in Cincinnati is mainly the advantageous hitting environment that Great American Ball Park provides, in addition to a hot-ish day in Cincinnati with the wind blowing out at 10 mph. I would love to say with confidence that Scherzer will get touched up but with no statistical evidence all I can say is that if the Reds do hit Scherzer they will then be the must have team as Washington’s bullpen is the worst in the league by far. Not to mention, Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is a hitters park and the right field porch is as short as can be. Also, the wind should be blowing out to right at around 10 mph. So, this is a boom or bust play for sure! Why not have sides of both scenarios?
Adrian Sampson ($6,600 FD & $6,900 DK): is an interesting pitching play today for GPP purposes only. He faces a Kansas City team that has struck out the sixth most in the majors over the last week with 65 strikeouts and have yet to face Sampson. I like to look up, “last seven days” splits because muscle memory is a huge part of baseball and if you’re striking out over your last six or seven games your more likely to keep the pattern going in the right matchup. Not to mention, they haven’t faced Sampson yet which bodes well for a pitcher who can blow up your lineups pretty quickly, in the wrong matchup. Sampson pitches much better at home than he does on the road as he’s sporting a 3.52 home ERA compared to his 6.00 away ERA. Sampson is allowing a .287 BA at home and a .330 on the road. It is clear that this young pitcher is more comfortable at home and if you’re going to take a chance on him today might be the day to do so.