Emely Sharman 
Qualifying always plays a huge part in assembling a NASCAR DFS lineup at Restrictor Plate tracks and that’s what we have this weekend. The Coke Zero Sugar 400 will be Saturday night at Daytona. We will take a quick look at which values have changed after qualifying and who to target.
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Value Increased
There were a lot of low priced drivers who also qualified low that I mentioned in my main preview article. We will take a look at those who have increased values after qualifying.
Ryan Preece has been a good Restrictor Plate driver early in his career and he could be a quality choice after qualifying 26th. He has huge Place Differential upside.
David Ragan qualified one spot lower in 27th and has been pretty good on Restrictor Plate tracks over his career. If he can crack the Top 15 he will be a great value at a low price.
My favorite bargain priced driver did not change after qualifying. Michael McDowell qualified 28th and has shown in the past he can make his way to the front from there. I would not be surprised if McDowell ends up as a Top 5 NASCAR DFS driver Saturday night.
Brendan Gaughan qualified in 39th and has been a bit of a Restrictor Plate specialist in the past. He is a lesser known name because of his limited schedule, which could keep him lower owned. He has huge upside starting so far back.
Austin Dillon qualified 21st and won the Daytona 500 in the past. He has decent value with his price and this starting position.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will start 19th and has one of the highest Driver Ratings over the past few years. He should provide good value.
Value Decreased
There were a lot of big names who qualified well and became risky plays for Saturday night. These guys could all run well but the risk of wrecking puts them lower in my ranks.
Joey Logano will start on the pole and that is concerning. Although he could lead a lot of laps, the leader often doesn’t run the fastest lap at Daytona. Fast laps are worth more than laps led, which limits his upside.
Kyle Busch is starting second and has all of the same concerns as Joey Logano. He is even higher priced which will make me stay away from him even more than Logano.
Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, and Martin Truex Jr. fill out the Top 5. Their values all took a hit after qualifying.
More big names are in the Top 10 and sixth through 10th goes as follows: Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliot, Kurt Busch, Alex Bowman, and Ryan Blaney. These drivers are in a better spot than those in the Top 5 but are still risky plays.
Top NASCAR DFS Plays
Michael McDowell ($5,700)
Brendan Gaughan ($7,200)
Erik Jones ($8,800)
Avoid
Joey Logano ($10,200)
Kyle Busch ($11,000)
Alex Bowman ($8,600)
Wild Card NASCAR DFS (High Risk – High Reward)
Ryan Blaney ($8,300)
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