This Sunday July 21st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.
MLB DFS Stacks: Red Sox Roll; and the Indian’s find a Spark.
Sunday Stacks
Boston Red Sox vs Asher Wojciechowski (R)
The Red Sox are an obvious play here. They have the highest implied team total on the slate (7.5) and just exploded last night for 17 runs. While I don’t expect them to duplicate last nights performance, I will be happy with half. They are rolling, and there is no reason to jump off the train now. The usual suspects are in play.
Devers .262 ISO, .426 WOBA (4,500 FD, 5,500 DK); Xander .246 ISO, .414 WOBA (4,200 FD, 5,600 DK); Betts .231 ISO, .406 WOBA (4,400 FD, 5,400 DK); Vazquez .205 ISO, 348 WOBA (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK); JD .176 ISO, .343 WOBA (3,800 FD, 4,500 DK). Deeper analysis for all my favorite players can be found in my position rankings below.
Cleveland Indians vs Glenn Sparkman (R)
The last outing Glenn Sparkman pitched a gem, which should lower the Indians ownership. The three games combined before that he got bombarded for a combined 17 earned runs by WAS, TOR and CLE. The Indians got shut out at home last night and for a team with World Series aspirations I think they put up plenty of runs to ensure the W in a nice bounce back spot.
Lindor .243 ISO, .380 WOBA ($4,000 FD, $5,100 DK); Santana .286 ISO, .410 WOBA ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK); Perez .225 ISO, .325 WOBA ($2,600 FD; $4,100 DK); Naquin .199 ISO, .356 WOBA ($3,300 FD, $4,400 DK); Mercado .164 ISO, .256 WOBA ($3,600 FD, $5,300 DK)
St. Louis Cardinals vs Anthony DeSciafani (R)
I am purposefully trying to find lower owned stacks and this fits the bill. Paul DeJong is thriving lately, Paul Goldschmidt is priced way to low on FD, Tyler O’Neil carries a whopping .405 WOBA hitting clean-up and Tommy Edman is batting lead scoring double digits in four games in a row. They also are in a positive hitting environment vs an arm they are very familiar with in DeSclafani. I like it.
Paul DeJong ($3,600 FD, $4,200 DK); Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK); Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400 DK); Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) See below for further analysis on each player.
Position Rankings and Values
Catcher: Mitch Garver ($3,500 FD, $5,400 DK) This is being written before the lineup drops buts let’s cross our fingers and hope we wake tomorrow with Garver leading off again. He boasts a .300 IS0 and .381 WOBA vs righties. He is also hot with three homers in his last four games. If the Twins have faith in him to lead off and start breaking down Daniel Mengden, I do too. It worked last night right?
Catcher Value: Ryan Lavarnaway ($2,000 FD, $3,800 DK) Here is a tip.. go look at his last (and only) MLB box score and you tell me if you think he is worth playing at min price on FanDuel. Spoiler alert: He had two homeruns, one double, six RBI’s and one walk. Obviously he is not going to put up 63.6 FD points again in only his second game, but he is going to get you something for that price. This is pretty close to a lock for me.
First Base: Carlos Santana ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK). Carlos boast a team leading 17 home runs this season vs righties while also having the highest team ISO (.286) and WOBA (.410) of all the Indians. If you have room to pay up here, he is a guy with huge upside and lower ownership. Don’t stack Indian’s without him.
First Base Value: Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK) The price for Goldy has officially gotten too low. He has been showing flashes of his previous 2018 form recently and who better to hand him a breakout game than his old friend Anthony DeSciafani. Goldy is getting on base over 50% of his ABs vs DeSciafani and at his current price tag I love the upside. DeSciafani has struggled with the long ball in his last two starts giving up a combined four home runs. I would like to see Goldy add to that total. I also like the fact the he is hitting in front of another value option I like in the outfield, Tyler O’Neill.
Second Base: Niko Goodrum ($3,000 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets Jacob Waguespack and his 5.93 ERA at home. I like what I am seeing out of Goodrum lately. He appears to be focused and is clearly the lead bat to fear on Detroit. IF the Tigers are putting up runs, you can be sure he is a part of it.
Second Base Value: Brock Holt ($2,300 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets on base, which is all you need at near min price (on Fanduel) when the rest of the Red Sox lineup should be churning in runs. Double digit Fanduel points is very doable.
Short Stop Stud: Francisco Lindor ($4,000, $5,100 DK). He is batting lead off on one of my favorite stacks of the day. Hitting .248 ISO, .380 WOBA vs righties. The Indians go as Lindor goes, and today that goes well. Don’t let Glenn Sparkman’s last start fool you, the Indians put it on him starting with the first at bat.
Short Stop Value: Paul DeJong ($3,800 FD, $4,200 DK). This is about as cheap as it gets for me today at SS. DeJong has two homers is last three games and is hitting .341 vs righties this season with the third most homers on his team. When he gets focused, I play him.
Third Base: Rafael Devers ($4,500 FD, $5,500 DK): Devers tends to get hot and stay hot. He has a .262 ISO and .426 WOBA with 15 HR’s vs lefties this season. He is literally the Red Sox best bat right now which no one would have predicted. Today he gets another pitcher he can take advantage of in the unproven Asher Wojciechowski. While Woj isn’t terrible (his K stuff is there) he still has a 5.74 ERA and has given up at least one homer in every one of his few starts this season. Boston has the highest team total on the main slate and he is in the right place in he lineup to clear the bases and hopefully put on in the stands.
Third Base Value: Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) Tommy Edman is batting lead off and has scored double digits in his last four games. He carries a .220 ISO and .311 WOBA on the season and those number could very well increase with his new place in the batting order. I like him to keep up the production this afternoon.
Outfield Stud: Mookie Betts ($4,400 FD, DK) Batting leadoff and highest team total on the board. Betts is capable of breaking any slate while also having a very safe floor, especially today vs. Asher Wojciechowski. Nothing to not like here.
Outfield MidRange: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3,900 FD, $4,800 $5,400 DK): 10 Homers, .405 ISO and .450 WOBA vs lefties this season. He faces Tyler Anderson, who has a 5.72 ERA in AAA, in a spot start for the Detroit Tigers. Anderson gave up two homers in his last MLB start to the White Sox. I like Gurriel Jr. getting to him here.
Outfield Value: Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400, $5,400 DK) He is hitting .260 IS0 with a .405 WOBA. Last night his 8 game hit streak got broken but I like him to rebound here today. He has not had two games in a row without a hit since late May. I like the matchup vs DeSciafani (mentioned under Paul Goldschmidt above) and am looking for a couple RBI’s with a chance of a dong.
I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.
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