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Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Jacobs Above Average Plays had a break-even night with the Patriots winning and covering and the Bruins losing in overtime. He has two more above average plays, and an above-average lean to finish your weekend stacked with cash.

Take Pittsburgh Steelers vs NY Jets UNDER 37 (1:00 pm EST, Sunday 22 December 2019)

We have a great matchup today between two teams who have performed above average this year, despite a bunch of hurdles. Both of these teams have been plagued by the injury bug all year. The Steelers are down to their third-string quarterback, Duck Hodges, who last week passed for only 202 yards and four interceptions. They were missing most of their offense in that game, having only 229 yards of total offense. However, their above-average defense kept them in that game. They lost to the Bills 17-10. The Jets have dealt with injuries on both sides of the ball all year, winning them only five games. Last week, the Jets got blown out by the Ravens on the road, losing by twenty-one points. The one thing that has been above average about these teams this year is the number of low scoring games they have both played. Pittsburgh has gone under the total in every single road game this year. Overall, they have gone under the total in eleven games. The Jets at home this year have gone under the total in five out of seven games and score an average of just nineteen points per game.

These are two teams who are above average at going under the total. The last eight games between these two teams in New York went under the total in every single game. The Steelers are also 16-5 to the UNDER, dating back to last year. The Steelers have gone under the total in twenty-three out of twenty-seven games when favored on the road. Take UNDER 37 in what should be the most boring game of the day.

Take Baltimore Ravens -10 vs Cleveland Browns (1:00 pm EST, Sunday 22 December 2019)

These two teams met earlier this year. I think it was the only game the Browns looked good against an above-average team all year, getting the win 40-25 on the road.  Since that game in week four, Cleveland has won just three games, averaging 20.8 points per game. Their defense has also been sub-par, especially against the run. The Browns have allowed 135.21 yards per game on the ground, giving up almost five yards per run (4.9). To think that, at the beginning of the year, people believed they would be above average across the board. The Browns number one receiver, Odell Beckham Jr., has only had 67 catches and 910 yards on the year – He hasn’t looked like what we are used to seeing from him. The Ravens. on the other hand, have far exceeded expectations for the year. Last week, quarterback Lamar Jackson had one of the most perfectly balanced games I have ever seen.  Throwing for just 212 yards on fifteen of twenty-three completions, Jackson passed for five touchdowns and rushed for 86 yards. Jackson was the Ravens rushing leader last week, as starting running back, Mark Ingram Jr., rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown. They are scoring an above-average 33.71 points per game and are giving up just 18.36 points per game. Baltimore has covered seven of the last eight games, and of course, won them all straight up too.

I really like Baltimore to win and cover this game. If Baltimore wins this game, they can wrap up the number one seed in the AFC, which would allow them to rest players next week. The Ravens have won and covered nine of the last eleven games verse the Browns. Last, of all, the Browns stink against above-average teams. Cleveland has covered just three times in their last twenty games verse teams with a winning percentage of 70% or higher. Lay the points with Baltimore to wrap up the number one seed and get their revenge.

Trend Based Lean: Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles 1st Quarter UNDER 7.5 (4:25 pm EST, Sunday 22 December 2019)

In the Cowboys last eighteen regular-season road games, they are 17-1 under the total in the first quarter. I’m leaning towards this due to the fact that Philly has a depleted offense due to injury. Dallas QB, Dak Prescott, hasn’t practiced all week due to a shoulder injury – I think it takes him at least a quarter to get back to his above-average self.

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