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PGA DFS Picks: The American Express

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for some winners at the American Express in Palm Springs and helping you bring in the big bucks!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Full tournament field of 156 golfers
  • Cut: Top 65 and ties play on Sunday at PGA West’s Stadium course – as the pro-am event goes three days and spans the three courses.
  • Played at three courses
  • The PGA West Stadium Course is used twice (once during the first three rounds and on Sunday), with La Quinta Golf Club and The Nicklaus course at PGA West used for the other two.
  • All three courses ranked inside the top 10 easiest on tour last year with the latter two being the two easiest.
  • Easier-to-hit fairways and Bermuda turf and greens, shorter courses for Par 72s
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, SG: Approach, Par 5 scoring, Birdie or Better, Driving Distance

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Rickie Fowler (DK $11,500, FD $12,000) – Rickie is thebiggest name in the field this week and he finished T5 in his last start at theSentry Tournament of Champions. A win here in his native SoCal could help kickoff a big year for him.

Tony Finau (DK $10,500, FD $11,300) – Finau is a long hitter who can makebirdies in bunches and remains one of the most talented players in the field.Lock him in your core plays this week.

Charles Howell III (DK $10,100, FD $10,500) – He hasn’t missed a cut in his last 11 appearances in this event, and he’s notched three top 20s since 2016. Plenty to like here as he’s a West Coast swing performer.

Scottie Scheffler (DK $9,500, FD $10,400) – Scottie pops on allour metrics and is a good fit for this course. He didn’t play last week so he’sfree of trauma heading into the desert.

Also consider: Sungjae Im, Paul Casey, Byeong Hun An

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $9,400):

Francisco Molinari (DK $9,200, FD $11,000) – He’s more of a GPP play on FanDuel because of the price but makes for a great bargain and cash game play on DK, and he may fly under the radar.

Matthew Wolff (DK $9,000, FD $10,700) – Wolff might get popular this week. The 20-year-old phenom ranked second in SG: Off-the-Tee and ninth in SG: Putting at the Sentry en route to a T11 finish.

Abraham Ancer (DK $8,900, FD $10,200) – Ancer is one of my favorite cash or GPP plays and I’m going back to the well after he disappointed at the weather-disrupted Sony. He’s just too good not to spike some Top 10s in fields where only 25 of the world’s top 100 are teeing it up.

Brian Harman (DK $8,600, FD $9,900) – He’s my lefty of choice this week and he finished T11-T3-T20 here from2016-2018 before an untimely MC last year here during a rough patch.

Harris English (DK $7,700, FD $9,600) – English will also be very popular, as he’s snagged several Top 5 finishes this season. I’ll be watching ownership to determine fade equity.

Also consider: Jason Kokrak, J.T. Poston, Brendan Todd, Kevin Kisner, RorySabbatini, Lucas Glover

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

Sebastian Munoz (DK $7,400, FD $9,300) – Goingright back to the well with Munoz after a bizarre week. He’s should fare wellhere with the Bermuda greens and the price is reasonable.

Bud Cauley (DK $7,300, FD $8,700) – Cauley is another golfer who fits the Bermuda profile but fell victim to rough conditions last week. I’m buying based on course fit and talent. He’s never going to be elite, but at this price, we’re looking for a Top 10.

Talor Gooch (DK $7,100, FD $8,500) – Gooch barely made the cut last week but he’s a 90-1 shot to win this week – better odds than defending champ, Adam Long. He’s got top 10 upside at a low price.

Henrik Norlander (DK $7,100, FD $9,000) – Norlander closed with a two-under 68 on Sunday at the Sony Open to finish -7 and tied for ninth – his second consecutive top 10. I like him in all formats at this price.

Jhonattan Vegas (DK $6,800, FD $8,800) – He can go low and excels at Par 5s – and he won here back in 2011 suing a different mix of courses. I’ll have some shares in GPPs, but he’s not safe for cash.

More value golfers for GPPs: Brian Gay, Adam Long, Bo Hoag, Bronson Burgoon, Hudson Swafford, Sepp Straka, Maverick McNealy, Wyndham Clark

$6K punts: Mark Wilson, Rafael Campos

The PGA DFS Fades:

Phil Mickelson (DK $8,700, FD $10,100) – Everybody’s talking up “Tournament Host” Phil, but he just doesn’t play a lot of golf anymore and there’s a LOT of talented players out here. I may stick him in one or two large-field GPPs if I land on him in that price range, but I’d much rather have Harman or Ancer, especially in cash games.

Brendan Steele (DK $7,500, FD $9,400) – I really didn’t like what I saw on that final hole Sunday night. It reminded me of Justin Thomas at Kapalua, and we know how he fared last week. Steele isn’t as good as he played last week, so I’ll be fading him in my lineups despite his second-place finish in the Sony Open.

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (studs/scrubs)

R. Fowler

T. Finau

M. Wolff

B. Burgoon

S. Straka

R. Campos

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):

F. Molinari

M. Wolff

A. Ancer

B. Harman

T. Gooch

H. Norlander

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3(large-field):

B. An

S. Scheffler

H. English

R. Sabbatini

S. Munoz

B. Gay

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