Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Wednesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Tuesday was a tough day as we pushed with the underdog Red Sox and lost the Mets game. That leaves us with a 23-14-6 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the eleven underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Wednesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Angels
Game two of a two-game scheduled series begins at 4:05pm today with the Giants winning game one, giving them a 2-1 season series lead.
Kevin Gausman (8-1, 1.51) is set to make the start today and over his past 19 innings pitched has allowed four earned runs with 20 strikeouts. He’s up against an Angels offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .177 ISO and wRC+ of 105 against righties this season.
Righty Shohei Ohtani (3-1, 2.70) will likely make the start tonight and is coming off a five game absence. He’ll face a Giants offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .196 ISO and wRC+ of 111 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Wednesday Pick: Angels +102
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Game three of a three-game series is set for 10:00pm with San Diego looking for a series sweep. The Padres have a 6-3 season series lead.
Righty Trevor Bauer (7-5, 2.45) is scheduled to make the start tonight and over his past 19.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 23 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Padres offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .177 ISO and wRC+ of 105 against righties this season.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove (4-6, 2.28) will likely make the start tonight and over his past 18.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 19 punchouts. He’ll meet a Dodgers offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .171 ISO and wRC+ of 119 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Pick: -100
Good luck today!