Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Monday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Sunday was a good finish to the week as we hit our big underdog Boston Red Sox but missed on the favored Royals. That leaves us with a 25-18-10 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the dozen underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Monday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians
Game one of a three-game series is set to begin at 7:05 pm with the Indians holding a 7-3 season series edge.
Righty Matt Manning (1-0, 3.38) is the Tigers probable starting pitcher tonight and has allowed four earned runs with four strikeouts over his last 10.2 innings pitched. He’ll face a Cleveland offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .162 ISO and wRC+ of 87 this season against right-handed pitching.
Righty Eli Morgan (0-2, 10.32) should make the start tonight and over his past 11.1 innings pitched has allowed 13 earned runs with 15 strikeouts. He’s up against a Tigers offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .154 ISO and wRC+ of 93 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Tigers +114
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
The division rivals meet for game one of a three-game scheduled series and Milwaukee has a 6-3 season series edge. Game time is set for 8:10 pm.
Righty Kyle Hendricks (10-4, 3.84) is set to make the start tonight and over his previous 18 innings pitched has allowed two earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’s up against a Milwaukee offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .149 ISO and wRC+ of 83 this season against right-handed pitching.
Right-hander Freddy Peralta (7-2, 2.11) should make the start tonight and has surrendered three earned runs with 22 strikeouts over his last 17 innings pitched. He’ll face a Cubs offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate, .176 ISO and wRC+ of 91 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Cubs +135
Good luck today!
