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The PGA Tour is in Bermuda this week where approximately 125 golfers are set to battle at the Bermuda Championship. This event is only in its third year and its previous winners were Brian Gay and Brendon Todd. If that tells you anything, it’s that short hitters can flourish on this 6800 yard Par 71. I’m looking for accuracy off the tee, APP and short game, but we will have much more on course dynamics on tonight’s live PGA show with Spencer and Joel. One last thing to keep in mind is that it is likely to be windy this week so you’ll want to be dialed into our Win Daily Discord to ensure you’ve got the right end of the wind splits (if there is one). And now, let’s get to the Bermuda Championship Initial Picks.
Christian Bezuidenhout (10700) – CBez can get hot on APP and he’s Top 10 PUTT, ARG and long Par 3s. Plenty to like in this elite range but as you will see it’s CBez and Seamus at the top of the list with Mito as a close 3rd.
Seamus Power (10200) – A great ball striker who has the short game to match. He’s top 10 in this field in most categories I valued. The one potential issue is he’s not elite in terms of Fairways Gained but everything else checks out as elite. Honorable mention to Mito Pereira in this range as he is also elite in most categories and likely to be the most popular in this range.
Hayden Buckley (9900) – I’ve been going back and forth on a couple new kids on the block in this range, namely Hayden and Chad Ramey. Both seem good to me but I think Buckley may have the better upside as the BS is elite (much like Ramey) and he may have found something with the PUTT as of late.
Adam Hadwin (9400) – I’m cautiously optimistic that Hadwin will have the APP necessary to contend in this tournament and we know he’s likely to find fairways. Add to that he has been great with the short game and you’ve got a good option here.
Ryan Armour (8100) – Back to back 8th place finishes during the only two times this tournament has been played. It makes sense as Armour is the ultimate fairway finder and is Top 20 in PUTT, short Par 4s and long Par 3s. He’s also inside the Top 40 on APP. Great value here at the Bermuda Championship.
David Lipsky (8000) – A golfer who is often overlooked but who has a ton of PGA Tour experience in both big and small events. I think that will pay off in this field. He also rates out within the Top 25 on APP. None of the other metrics are elite but I like his experience and his likely low ownership.
Mark Hubbard (7900) – I’m not a Hubbard guy but I can’t deny the value here as he rates out very well in almost every category including being inside the Top 20 in 4 of my major metrics: APP, PUTT, ARG, Fairways Gained.
Russell Knox (7700) – Let’s be real, no one is clamoring to roster Russell Knox, but if there were a tournament to roster him it’s this one. He’s got back to back Top 20s at the Bermuda Championship and his APP game has been very good over the last 6 months. The PUTT can be a problem but he’s gained in that department in 3 of his last 5 tournaments.
Jason Dufner (7200) – The PUTT is an issue for Dufner but his APP and ARG play truly make up for it. I think this is a tournament where Dufner holds some sneaky upside and he’ll be a great pivot off some more popular options in this range.
Brian Stuard (7100) – My model puts an emphasis on hitting fairways and short game and Stuard certainly checks those boxes. The problem is that his APP game has been lacking as of late as has the PUTT. He’s getting love in models because of some incredible spike weeks, but overall the picture isn’t super bright. With that said, I do like the potential upside so I’ll take a few shots unless he’s super popular.
Bo Hoag (7000) – This feels like more of a Bermuda Championship hunch play even though he does rate out well in my model. He finds fairways and is great on APP. His short game is slightly below average but I believe in him as a player and I think he’ll be a nice pivot in this range.
Cam Percy (6900) – I’m simply not a fan of this range and I don’t think you should dip your toes in here too much, but I do think Percy has some upside if his PUTT can manage to be decent.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 44-13. Check out Discord Wednesday night.
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