Daniel Wehr 
We have a nice split slate today which includes a Reds at Cardinals doubleheader. So, make sure you keep an eye on the catching situations. To make things a bit nicer we also have Coors Field to consider. If you are playing the early slate the pitching situation is rather pricey on DraftKings so some risks will have to be made to afford them decent bats. With an exciting day in 8/31 MLB DFS upon us, I bring you today’s pitching picks.
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$8,700 FD / $9,200 DK
Dakota Hudsonvs. Cincinnati Reds
With limited pitching options, and high pricing, Hudson stands out for me as the top choice on this early 8/31 MLB DFS slate. Besides facing a Reds team striking out 25.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, they are also 20th in MLB in wRC+. In Hudson’s last three starts facing the Rockies, Brewers, and Royals he has not allowed an earned run. At home today where his ERA is over a point lower at 2.97, I am all in on Hudson.
Jason Vargasvs. New York Mets
$6,300 FD / $7,500 DK
Without going too heavy into this limited 8/31 MLB DFS slate, which is also subdivided further between the two sites, in GPP play on DK I am throwing in Vargas. Now make no mistake here, there is a ton of risk, and this play has more to do with track record than the actual numbers for the team he is facing. The Mets batter LHPs quite well to the tune of a .348 wOBA, and wRC+ of 118. As much as I hate it, If I am going to take a chance outside of Domingo German, or Trevor Bauer today to save money on DK, I am looking here despite the huge blowup risk. After all, Vargas has had four straight dominant starts in a row allowing two earned runs over his last 22 2/3 innings.
StephenStrasburg vs. Miami Marlins
$11,200 FD / $11,200 DK
Anyone who knows me has a look of astonishment on their face right now, including my editor, that Clayton Kershaw is not my top dawg tonight. But with a spotted past versus the Diamondbacks, and having a negative ballpark shift, as usual, why not just attack the Marlins?
The Miami Marlins are striking out 25.9 percent of the time versus RHPs, and are 30th in MLB in both wOBA, and wRC+. Strasburg has completely dominated the Marlins in two out of three starts this season, even striking out 14 over a 7 1/3 inning shutout the last time. With the Marlins whiffing 28.4 percent of the time over the last seven I see no reason not to make the fish take a huge bite of Strasburger on this 8/31 MLB DFS slate.
Brock Burkevs. Seattle Mariners
$7,600 FD / $7,200 DK
Who is Brock Burke? Since getting the callup Burke has posted two back-to-back quality starts, facing the White Sox on the road, and Angels at home. Over these two starts he struck out nine batters over 12 innings while only allowing one earned run. On this 8/31 MLB DFS slate he gets the benefit of a Mariners team striking out 24.3 percent of the time versus LHP with a low wOBA of .317. Now factor in the Mariners batting .186 over the last seven days and this one seems to easy.
Dylan Bundyvs. Kansas City Royals
$7,300 FD / $7,300 DK
In case you have not been paying attention, Orioles pitching has been pretty good as of late. Believe me, I am just as surprised as you. The last time Bundy faced the Royals he threw seven innings of one run ball while sending seven batters back to the dugout shaking their head. With Kansas City in a bit of slump as of late I can’t see any reason Bundy does not come out and put up similar numbers on this 8/31 MLB DFS slate.
Tim Melvillevs. Pittsburgh Pirates
$6,200 FD / $7,200 DK
Jerry Colvin, did you just put a pitcher from Colorado at home in this article? The answer is yes, yes, and one more yes. On this 8/31 MLB DFS slate, or any slate for that matter, I like to throw a “what if” into a large field GPP. Plus, it may be nice to have another player besides Mike Trout to make Melville puns about.
At the end of the day taking chances is how you win in DFS. Tim Melville, in his first two starts, has 10 strikeouts over 12 innings while only allowing one earned run. This includes facing a Braves team at home with similar numbers versus RHPs as the Pirates. Despite all the risk, and the Pirates’ .339 wOBA versus RHPs, good young pitchers often dominate teams the first time they face them, and I see no reason so far why this should not be the case today. Just remember, this is far from cash game friendly.
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