MLBMovingAvg 
After poring over this 9/7 MLB DFS slate it seems to me as though we have one of them nights with several pitchers in great matchups, which for DFS purposes is like finding a needle in a haystack. So, with a whole day of baseball action ahead of us, and some tricky pricing, I bring you today’s pitching picks.
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On the Defense
JustinVerlander vs. Seattle Mariners
$12,500 FD / $12,400 DK
Justin Verlander usually comes at a high salary, and this9/7 MLB DFS slate is no different. So, unless you have access to a DFS paymentplan for salaries he is going to be tough to fit in tonight, especially on DK. Regardless,he is facing a Mariners team striking out 24.8 percent of the time versus RHPs.That last time Verlander faced the Mariners he had 10 strikeouts over sixinnings while only allowing one earned run. This is without a doubt the safestplay on the slate, and the most difficult to use.
JakeOdorizzi vs. Cleveland Indians
$8,900 FD / $10,200 DK
With Andrew Heaney only being $900 less on DK than Odorizzihe shines as the clear cut second SP1 option on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Despitethe tribe fairing well this season versus RHPs carrying a .329 wOBA, they stillwhiff more than 20 percent of the time. With Jake from State Farm posting a1.06 ERA with 19 strikeouts over 17 innings this season versus the Indians, Iam all in here tonight.
Tony Gonsolinvs. San Francisco Giants
$6,400 FD / $8,600 DK
Two things are self-evident on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate, TonyGonsolin is the first guy since Tom Selleck to make the moustache look goodagain, and his price on FD is extremely low facing a Giants team with a wRC+ of58 over the last seven days. Over his last 24 innings pitched spanning fivestarts, moustache Tony has only allowed five earned runs while striking out 19batters. This includes a start in Colorado. On DK tonight, with no Coors Fieldgame on the slate, I would try and find a way to pair him with Odorizzi leavingyou with $3,900 per player to start with.
AustinVoth vs. Atlanta Braves
$7,000 FD / $7,200 DK
Here is where we enter the high-risk portion of this 9/7 MLBDFS pitching article. Although the Braves are striking out 23.3 percent of thetime versus RHPs, they also post .328 wOBA which is 11th in MLB. Theamount of innings Voth will pitch tonight is my biggest concern as he has onlypitched more than five innings twice in his first five starts. Luckily for usone was versus this Braves team where he struck out seven batters over sixinnings while only allowing two earned runs. I will be using hm tonight as mySP2 in GPP play.
JeffHoffman vs. San Diego Padres
$5,500 FD / $5,100 DK
Talk about a boom-or-bust GPP play on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Hoffman is facing a Padres team tonight striking out 26.5 percent of the time versus RHPs, with a low .298 wOBA. In his last state facing the Padres in Colorado Hoffman went five innings allowing one earned run with only two strikeouts. With an extreme park shift tonight in San Diego I am totally going to take a shot here and bat load a lineup or two.
| Name | Team | W | L | SV | G | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | GB% | HR/FB | ERA | FIP | xFIP |
| Justin Verlander | Astros | 17 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 193 | 11.98 | 1.63 | 1.54 | 0.202 | 34.60% | 16.10% | 2.56 | 3.41 | 3.31 |
| Jake Odorizzi | Twins | 14 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 142 | 9.63 | 3.11 | 1.01 | 0.296 | 35.10% | 9.60% | 3.61 | 3.66 | 4.54 |
| Austin Voth | Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9.39 | 2.35 | 1.17 | 0.295 | 40.60% | 11.10% | 3.91 | 4 | 4.64 |
| Tony Gonsolin | Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 7.07 | 1.93 | 0.96 | 0.222 | 45.10% | 8.80% | 2.89 | 3.68 | 4.71 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Rockies | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 45.1 | 9.13 | 3.77 | 2.58 | 0.346 | 35.30% | 22.00% | 7.35 | 6.3 | 5.17 |
On the Attack
TylerBeede vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
After a tough loss last night in this historic rivalry, theDodger bats are going to come out swinging tonight. Beede has allowed four ormore earned runs in in five of his last eight starts, never surrendering lessthan three. With the Dodgers onlystriking out 20.9 percent of the time versus RHPs (26th in MLB), anda .342 wOBA, Beede is going to get walloped.
Notable Bats
Cody Bellinger absolutely mashes opposing pitchersand is batting .316 over the last seven with two home runs.
Joc Pederson is batting .727 with five home runs andnine RBI over the last seven days while posting a wOBA of .379 versus RHPs.
Matt Beaty has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .167 with one home run over the last seven days but comes at a reduced price and currently has a .372 wOBA versus RHPs.
Yusei Kikuchi vs. Houston Astros
In Kikuchi’s last two starts versus the Astros he has allowed nine earned runs over nine innings. With Houston coming in 1st in MLB offensively versus LHPs posting a killer wRC+ of 138, which is a full 12 points higher than the Twins coming in at 2nd, all bats are in play here.
Notable Bats
Jose Altuve has an incredible .486 wOBA versus LHPs,with a wRC+ of 215. He is a top play any night versus lefties.
Alex Bregman is batting .435 with a home run and sevenRBI over his last seven games while posting a .436 wOBA versus LHPs thisseason.
Robinson Chirinos comes in at a value most nights inan expensive Houston lineup. He also has a .400 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of157. Easily my top catcher play of the night.
DylanCovey vs. Los Angeles Angels
How about a pitcher who has allowed eight earned runs overhis last 4 2/3 innings, including a start versus the Tigers? Yup, here he is.With a whole lot of action heading towards the Astros and Dodgers offensetonight, the Angels should provide some value facing a scrub like Covey.
Notable Bats (besides Mike Trout)
Brian Goodwin may not be a flashy name but he doeshave a wOBA of .356 versus RHPs. He is also batting .333 with a home run andseven RBI over the last seven days while finding himself in the lineup on aregular basis as of late.
Kole Calhoun is another player that also comes in at a nice salary most nights and as a bonus has a home run off Covey in a small sample size. He also has gone nine straight games without putting one in the seats, which I see changing tonight in the cleanup spot.
| Name | Team | W | L | SV | G | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | GB% | HR/FB | ERA | FIP |
| Tyler Beede | Giants | 3 | 9 | 0 | 20 | 96.1 | 8.5 | 3.74 | 1.87 | 0.325 | 44.10% | 19.40% | 5.61 | 5.42 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | Mariners | 6 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 144.1 | 6.55 | 2.87 | 2.06 | 0.298 | 45.40% | 19.50% | 5.36 | 5.79 |
| Dylan Covey | White Sox | 1 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 52.1 | 6.02 | 3.96 | 1.89 | 0.291 | 41.60% | 18.60% | 6.88 | 6.1 |
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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick
With Beede in a tough start tonight in Los Angeles, and Bellinger having the ability on a nightly basis to draw walks, and mash baseballs, I am going with the over here.
Although Posey’s splits favor RHPs, he has yet to face mustache Tony, which often leads to an 0-for-something.
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