This 9/17 MLB DFS slate has me oddly excited. It was a great weekend of NFL DFS, and another winning weekend for yours truly. Although the big money screenshots are alluring, the everyday DFS player understands it is all about your ROI (Return on Investment). Taking down a large field GPP is nice, don’t get me wrong, but the most successful players in the industry rarely do this. What they do accomplish on a regular basis is a solid 3-to-5 times ROI. It’s all about the long haul. So, with Harborlights’ “Isolation Ritual” playing in the background here is tonight’s picks.
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On the Defense
Once again on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate the Mets are at Coors Field with an implied total of 13.5. Lucky for us we have some nice mid-priced options on both sites to complement Justin Verlander, for example, if you were to do so on a two-pitcher site like DK.
JustinVerlander vs. Texas Rangers
$12,000 FD / $12,800 DK
With a Coors Field game, and plenty of starting pitching on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate to take a chance on, Verlander could be low owned. The Rangers are striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 87. In his last four starts facing Texas he literally put up video game numbers, completely dominating them to the tune of 35 strikeouts over 26 innings while only allowing five earned runs. There is little doubt he is the top option tonight.
MilesMikolas vs. Washington Nationals
$7,200 FD / $7,900
Much like last night I completely expect this game to be low scoring. Dakota Hudson certainly posted a great start last night, but for DFS purposes put up a dud, netting one strikeout. On this 9/17 MLB DFS slate the K upside is certainly in question with the Nationals only striking out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, but Mikolas has pitched well in his only start versus the Nats this season. He had four strikeouts over six innings while only allowing one earned run. For the salary he makes an excellent option to pair with Verlander tonight on DK, or as a great large field GPP play on FD.
Adam Plutkovs. Detroit Tigers
$7,800 FD / $7,700 DK
Although I prefer Mikolas the Detroit Tigers often offer a bevy of strikeout upside facing most pitchers, and this 9/17 MLB DFS slate is no different. Over Plutko’s three starts versus the Tigers this season he has dominated them twice. Both times with excellent fantasy numbers. With the Tigers striking out 26.6 percent of the time versus RHPs, and Plutko having shown in the past he can handle this lineup, a fine option has presented itself.
BrettAnderson vs. Kansas City Royals
$6,500 FD / $5,300 DK
It is time to step up on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate and take a chance. The Royals are striking out 28.5 percent of the time over the last seven days and carry a low .309 wOBA versus LHPs. Anderson is certainly no Sandy Koufax, Bob Feller, or Bob Gibson but does have that Denny McClain kind of vibe where he comes out to play now and again, and this game certainly seems like it could be the case. I plan on using him tonight in some large field GPPs on DK to free up major salary.
| Name | Team | W | L | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | GB% | HR/FB | ERA | xFIP |
| Justin Verlander | Astros | 18 | 6 | 206 | 12.01 | 1.66 | 1.49 | 34.70% | 15.70% | 2.58 | 3.29 |
| Miles Mikolas | Cardinals | 9 | 13 | 170.1 | 7.19 | 1.59 | 1.32 | 47.50% | 16.20% | 4.28 | 4.13 |
| Adam Plutko | Indians | 6 | 4 | 97.2 | 6.08 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 30.70% | 14.50% | 4.42 | 5.56 |
| Brett Anderson | Athletics | 12 | 9 | 166 | 4.61 | 2.6 | 1.08 | 54.60% | 14.10% | 4.07 | 4.84 |
On theAttack
For obvious reasons the Mets / Rockies game is the chalkstack of the night. But if one was so inclined to do so on this 9/17 MLB DFSslate you could look elsewhere, like here.
BlakeSnell vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The algorithms on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate all have the pricing adjusted for the Dodgers facing Blake Snell. The thing is the reports are he is only going to be throwing around three innings. This opens the door for the sub-par Rays relievers to handle the workload. On some of these bats you can certainly take a chance the Dodgers have a big night.
Dodgers vs. LHPs
| Name | PA | BB% | K% | SB | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
| Cody Bellinger | 213 | 14.60% | 16.90% | 4 | 0.385 | 0.597 | 0.397 | 150 |
| Edwin Rios | 7 | 14.30% | 28.60% | 0 | 0.429 | 0.5 | 0.397 | 149 |
| Gavin Lux | 5 | 0.00% | 20.00% | 0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.387 | 143 |
| A.J. Pollock | 96 | 6.30% | 19.80% | 2 | 0.385 | 0.545 | 0.386 | 142 |
| Justin Turner | 177 | 8.50% | 19.80% | 0 | 0.356 | 0.582 | 0.384 | 141 |
| David Freese | 107 | 15.00% | 26.20% | 0 | 0.383 | 0.516 | 0.379 | 138 |
| Max Muncy | 169 | 11.20% | 29.00% | 2 | 0.361 | 0.527 | 0.372 | 133 |
| Chris Taylor | 152 | 11.80% | 23.70% | 2 | 0.351 | 0.545 | 0.363 | 128 |
| Russell Martin | 64 | 14.10% | 20.30% | 1 | 0.359 | 0.415 | 0.338 | 111 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 165 | 8.50% | 16.40% | 3 | 0.339 | 0.442 | 0.325 | 103 |
| Corey Seager | 174 | 8.00% | 25.30% | 0 | 0.31 | 0.378 | 0.297 | 85 |
| Will Smith | 57 | 8.80% | 40.40% | 1 | 0.281 | 0.423 | 0.29 | 80 |
| Joc Pederson | 49 | 2.00% | 30.60% | 0 | 0.245 | 0.271 | 0.223 | 36 |
| Tyler White | 104 | 13.50% | 30.80% | 0 | 0.26 | 0.213 | 0.222 | 36 |
| Jedd Gyorko | 36 | 11.10% | 19.40% | 1 | 0.25 | 0.188 | 0.207 | 25 |
| Matt Beaty | 34 | 2.90% | 17.60% | 1 | 0.176 | 0.156 | 0.154 | -9 |
JorgeLopez vs. Oakland Athletics
The Athletics are fighting harder than Rocky Balboa, atleast in the first three movies. Although Lopez has posted a few decent startsas of late, 41.1 percent of the baseballs still exit the bat at 95+ MPH. Upagainst a team like Oakland who often puts the ball in play, on this 9/17 MLBDFS slate a Dodgers / Athletics stack would certainly be a nice option.
Athletics vs. RHPs
| Name | PA | BB% | K% | SB | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
| Seth Brown | 47 | 10.60% | 21.30% | 0 | 0.489 | 0.683 | 0.483 | 212 |
| Matt Olson | 353 | 11.60% | 25.80% | 0 | 0.385 | 0.588 | 0.398 | 154 |
| Mark Canha | 321 | 13.40% | 24.00% | 2 | 0.408 | 0.532 | 0.395 | 153 |
| Marcus Semien | 517 | 11.40% | 14.30% | 10 | 0.366 | 0.523 | 0.371 | 136 |
| Ramon Laureano | 331 | 6.00% | 26.90% | 9 | 0.344 | 0.535 | 0.363 | 131 |
| Matt Chapman | 465 | 9.90% | 22.80% | 1 | 0.34 | 0.498 | 0.351 | 122 |
| Robbie Grossman | 409 | 12.70% | 17.40% | 8 | 0.35 | 0.362 | 0.311 | 96 |
| Chad Pinder | 181 | 3.90% | 24.90% | 0 | 0.272 | 0.408 | 0.285 | 78 |
| Jurickson Profar | 378 | 8.20% | 14.60% | 5 | 0.27 | 0.395 | 0.281 | 75 |
| Josh Phegley | 231 | 4.80% | 20.80% | 0 | 0.271 | 0.373 | 0.273 | 70 |
| Khris Davis | 365 | 7.70% | 29.60% | 0 | 0.266 | 0.339 | 0.259 | 60 |
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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick
Alex Bregman has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .188 over the last seven days. With Lance Lynn dominating the Astros this season, and Bregman having little success over eight at bats, under all the way.
With Choo batting .183 lifetime off of Verlander over 93 plate appearances, and his complete dominance this season of the Rangers, under all the way.
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