adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 
Are you excited for NFL Week 7 DFS? I cannot believe it has gone by this quickly. It is nice to have almost half a season of games to work with for data. We will go through each matchup game-by-game in the main slate, and I will give my best buys via DraftKings prices.
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Early Games
Cardinals at Giants
According to the FanDuel Sportsbook, this game has the second-highest total on the main slate. Quarterbacks Kyler Murray ($6,700) and Daniel Jones ($6,100) are both in play. The Cardinals rank third-worst in fantasy points allowed to the quarterback and Giants rank fifth-worst in fantasy points allowed to the quarterback. Both quarterbacks have some rushing upside, making them much better targets.
Texans at Colts
In his one game played in Indianapolis, Deshaun Watson ($7,000) threw for 375 passing yards and two touchdowns. This is a game that is going to feature a lot of scoring considering T.Y. Hilton ($5,900) averages over 100 yards per game when he plays the Texans. Hilton is a must-play in Week 7.
Jaguars at Bengals
This is a game that has two great quarterbacks for Week 7 GPPs. Garnder Minshew ($5,400) and Andy Dalton ($5,400) are cheap with favorable matchups. The Bengals are down two starting cornerbacks so Minshew is primed for a bounce-back performance. They also allow a 69 percent completion percentage. No quarterback has scored less than 18 fantasy points when facing the Bengals this season. Dalton, on the other hand, will face-off versus a Jaguars defense that over the past three weeks allowed 1.7 passing touchdowns with a 95.1 passer rating. This is an excellent week to get back on the D.J. Chark ($6,000) bandwagon. From a cash perspective, Leonard Fournette ($7,000) is an absolute lock. Cincinnati gives up the second-most fantasy points to the running back position. Fournette touches the ball too much to not be featured in Week 7.
Rams at Falcons
The perfect recipe for a struggling offense is the opportunity to face the Atlanta Falcons. The best play here from a GPP perspective is wide receiver Brandin Cooks ($5,400). Cooks is a superior wide receiver when playing in a dome and the Falcons are allowing the third-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position. He leads the team in total air yards and air yards market share.
For the Falcons, attacking the lower-priced wide receivers is the best move. Calvin Ridley ($5,300), Mohamed Sanu ($4,600), and tight end Austin Hooper ($5,300) are much more likely to return your investment in them. If Julio Jones ($8,000) is chalky you need to avoid him especially if Jalen Ramsey ends up shadowing him.
Dolphins at Bills
Could it be a revenge game for starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick? Most likely not. This game screams value from the Bills side with Josh Allen ($6,500), John Brown ($5,500), Cole Beasley ($4,700), and Dawson Knox ($3,300). I like Brown as he has the most upside. Brown has at least five targets in every single game this season and eight in three of five games. He has had at least 50 yards receiving in every game. The Dolphins allow the ninth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position.
Vikings at Lions
This is going to be a Dalvin Cook ($8,000) game. Detroit gives up the third-most fantasy points to the running back position. Any running back that has faced them this season with at least 14 carries has scored at least 20 fantasy points. I am fading both Adam Thielen ($6,900) and Stefon Diggs ($6,300) because the game flow should focus more on the Vikings running attack.
Lions running back Kerryon Johnson ($5,100) is at a very cheap price for a running back that sees close to 20 touches per game. Johnson is most certainly a volume play in Week 7.
Raiders at Packers
The Packers and Raiders are extremely beat up entering Sunday’s contest, especially at the receiver position. This should help consolidate targets to tight end Darren Waller ($4,700), and wide receiver Allen Lazard ($3,000). If Lazard starts the game his price makes it super easy for the rest of your lineup construction. He is shaping up to be the free square on the slate.
49ers at Redskins
The best play on the slate could be the 49ers DST ($4,100). We have seen in the past that paying up at defense can be worth it. Over the past four weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points to defenses than the Redskins. The 49ers defense has also been excellent, racking up 29 fantasy points over their last two games, and a minimum of seven points in each game this season.
Chargers at Titans
A.J. Brown was my sneaky start last week but did not pull through. I am heading back there this week against the Chargers. He is still playing more snaps, and Casey Heyward will surely shadow cover Corey Davis. Brown ranks 17th in the NFL in yards per route run (2.07) among players that have at least 23 targets. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill ($4,800) is my ultimate punt at the quarterback position in GPPs. If you look at his home/road splits Tannehill absolutely crushes it at home. In three of his last four home games as a starter, Tannehill has thrown for three touchdown passes. Before facing the “juggernaut” of Josh Rosen, Joe Flacco, and Devlin Hodges the Chargers had allowed multiple touchdowns to each quarterback they faced through the first three weeks. Derrick Henry ($5,800) is also in a smash spot at home. Los Angeles gives up the ninth most fantasy points to the running back position. They have allowed the third-most rushing attempts to running backs over the past two weeks.
Ravens at Seahawks
Quarterback Russell Wilson ($6,600) is averaging 27 DraftKings fantasy points per game. Running back Chris Carson ($6,500) is averaging 18.9 DraftKings fantasy points per game. The reason why I think that both of these guys are cash viable is they have the highest combined floors. Their total points combined over the first six weeks have averaged out to 46 fantasy points. If both end up scoring 23 fantasy points you will be happy with your cash lineup. The Ravens are also allowing 6.3 yards per play which is the third-highest mark in the NFL. DK Metcalf ($4,800) is also a great play for a cheaper wide receiver. Metcalf ranks second in the NFL in end zone targets and without Will Dissly, he should continue to get those looks from Wilson. Metcalf projects to face-off versus newly acquired cornerback Marcus Peters. He is somebody Metcalf beat deep earlier this season.
When opponents target the tight end position versus Seattle their passer rating is an astonishing 122.1. Mark Andrews ($4,900) continues to be an underpriced great value. Seattle is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points and fourth-most receiving yards to the tight end position. Andrews has at least seven targets in every single game this season. In games where Seattle has allowed at least seven targets to the tight end position, those tight ends have averaged 16.2 fantasy points.
Saints at Bears
The Bears have officially placed defensive lineman Akiem Hicks on injured reserve. This could potentially hurt the usually stout run defense for Chicago. Keep in mind over the last four weeks, the Bears have allowed the third-most fantasy points to the running back position. Alvin Kamara will miss this game, making Latavius Murray ($5,100) a great value. Murray also saw work in the passing game last week, making him cash viable in Week 7.
The Saints DST ($2,900) comes at a very favorable price and they get to face a turnover-prone quarterback in Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears also had to place starting guard Kyle Long on injured reserve, forcing either Ted Larsen or Rashaad Coward to start versus a furious New Orleans defensive line.
Wide receiver Anthony Miller ($3,800) also has the chance to have a productive game lining up against Patrick Robinso,n who is filling in for the suspended P.J. Williams in the slot. Miller leads the Bears in snaps from the slot position.
