Andrew Erickson Welcome to my video that will be released every Thursday. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian plays for Thursday night football. So who is ready for some Thursday night football action between the Chargers and Raiders? All prices discussed are via DraftKings in their Thursday night Showdown Slate.
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Thursday Night Football Value and Punt Plays
Running back Jalen Richard ($3,000) is by far the cheapest player that will see significant snaps. Richard led the Raiders in receiving yards last week (59) and set a new season-high with 70 total yards. He is primarily used on third-downs and obvious pass-catching formats so he does have value in formats that reward receiving production. The matchup also favors a pass-catching running back. Over the past four weeks, the Chargers have allowed the fourth-most receptions, seventh-most targets, and sixth-most yards to running backs. In his two games, last year versus the Chargers Richard averaged 5.5 receptions for 52.5 receiving yards. Easy 10-12 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. Great punt play for DFS.
Favorite Stack
With the Chargers favored in the game with a total of 49.0 points, the best builds are about incorporating the Los Angeles key offensive players. This Oakland pass defense is downright putrid as they have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks over the past four weeks. The Raiders at home have also have been attacked through the air; they have allowed the third-most passing attempts per game (38.7). Philip Rivers ($10,000) is locked in for at least 300 passing yards and two passing touchdowns at least. You will want to definitely stack Rivers with his two best receivers Keenan Allen ($9,000) and Mike Williams ($7,400). Over the past four weeks, the Raiders have allowed the most fantasy points to the wide receiver position.
You can also add Melvin Gordon ($7,200) and/or Austin Ekeler ($7,000) in multiple builds to the stack. Over the past four weeks, the Raiders have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to the running back position. Specifically, they have allowed second-most passing touchdowns to running backs over the past four weeks. Both should be involved in the passing game on Thursday night football.
Then I would recommend adding in Josh Jacobs ($9,400) from the Raiders. Jacobs has continued to smash at home like we saw last week. 23.4 fantasy points per game at home versus just 11.7 points per game on the road. The matchup is also great versus the Chargers, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points and fifth-most rushing attempts to running backs over the past four weeks.
Thursday Night Football Contrarian Plays
Ekeler is priced just $200 less than Gordon, so he is going to see less ownership with Gordon coming off his best game of the season. With no Arden Key and the Raiders’ defense just generally horrible, the Chargers D/ST ($6,300) is also worth a look. Trent Brown and Rodney Hudson are dealing with injuries and the Chargers D/ST has seven sacks over their past two games. On the side for kickers, Mike Badgley ($5,700) is back and healthy so he would be the option to go with. The Chargers are third in the NFL in field-goal attempts per game with Oakland ranking third to last in that category.
Get ready for Thursday night football! Be sure to check out Monkey Knife Fight as well and wage the overs on Philip Rivers and unders on Derek Carr.
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