1/7 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 1/7 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

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Top Three Lines

Washington One – Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, Nicklas Backstrom, Add-On: John Carlson

This spot jumps out as Washington is a heavy -290 favorite with a large 4.20 implied goal total. It makes the most sense to turn to the top line here. Over the last month, the total goals between both of them and the second line are about even. However, the supporting stats tell a different story, perhaps best exemplified by the top lines 129 SATF over the last ten games, as opposed to the second lines 72 by comparison. The first line is creating more chances and is due for a big game. Tom Wilson is extremely cheap on FanDuel so I am more likely to use them there.

Montreal One – Tomas Tatar, Phillip Danault, Ilya Kovalchuk

The Canadiens, much like the Avs below, were nothing short of straight ass last night. However, it’s those two magic words once again, Red Wings. The second line was sort of chalky last night, along with Ilya Kovalchuk individually. However, you can also turn to the top line, as the addition of Kovalchuk offers up some additional savings and should be very popular once again. I think he is even fine as a one-off just to go stars and scrubs or perhaps one scrub and stars. All skaters on either line are also on one of the two power-play units.

Colorado One – Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog

The Avalanche totally burned us last night, but sometimes you have to have a short memory in DFS. The Rangers have actually been a little better over the last month. Be sure to check who is the third man in the top line at the morning skate, as last night the Avs swapped Mikko Rantanen up at the expense of Joonas Donskoi. Perhaps this was only due to being down against the Islanders, or it is a sign of things to come. If it is a permanent shift back to their main top line of the last couple of years, it will make the other two skaters even more dangerous. Colorado has a healthy 3.53 implied goal total so the oddsmakers in Vegas agree that a bounce-back is likely. They are facing Igor Shesterkin who has been good in the minors but will be making his NHL debut in net. Best of luck kid!

Honorable Mention: Boston One – David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron

If you’ve been rolling with me all season, you already know Boston One is always in play.

1/7 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Forwards

1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $8,500
2. Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,100
3. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,400
4. Ilya Kovalchuk – Montreal Canadiens- $3,500
5. Clayton Keller – Arizona Coyotes – $4,900

Defensemen

1. Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $7,200
2. John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $6,900
3. Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,500
4. Jeff Petry – Montreal Canadiens – $5,200
5. Brady Skjei – New York Rangers – $3,600

Goalies

1. Braden Holtby – Washington Capitals – $8,500
2. Tuukka Rask – Boston Bruins – $7,600

1/7 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Forwards

1. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $5,700
2. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $9,200
3. Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,500
4. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,800
5. Ilya Kovalchuk – Montreal Canadiens – $3,000

Defensemen

1. Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $6,800
2. John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,100
3. Jeff Petry – Montreal Canadiens – $4,900
4. Ben Chiarot – Montreal Canadiens – $4,000
5. Connor Murphy – Chicago Blackhawks – $3,900

Goalies

1. Braden Holtby – Washington Capitals – $8,000
2. Jordan Binnington – St. Louis Blues – $8,600

1/7 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Nathan MacKinnon/Alex Ovechkin/David Pastrnak – Over 2.5 Points – The 2.5 point bet is down to an 11/14 hit rate but let’s look to get back in the win column with three of the slate’s biggest stars.

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