The Match: Champions for Charity Event
The Match: Champions for Charity Event will be played between Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning against Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady tees off at 2pm EST on May 24th live on TNT.
Tiger/Phil Brady/Manning – Sia’s picks and plays for the event this weekend
The Match will be a match-play event, meaning each hole will be an independent contest. The format will be four-ball on the front nine (each player will play his own ball, and the best ball wins the hole) and Brady and Manning will get three handicap strokes on the nine. The back nine will be a Modified Alternate Shot format (everyone will tee off and the players will alternate playing the ball they choose).
This will be a fun EVENT for charity and give us ENTERTAINMENT much like the match Phil and Tiger played last November. If you’re looking to throw a few dollars on “The Match” I have you covered. Keep in mind that this is ultimately a charity event, so it may not be the spot to throw down the mortgage, but as you will see below, I think I’ve found a couple of angles worth taking.
Shop for the best line! After checking a couple of our favorite books, I saw some disparity between what you can get in terms of odds. So if there is a side you’re leaning to heavily, make sure to get the line you want!
I like Tiger and Peyton in this event. Tiger is better than Phil and Peyton is better than Tom Brady by approximately two strokes. Brady has also been in the midst of moving teams and cities, while Peyton has been presumably taking it easy, which likely includes several golf outings.
Tiger/Peyton v. Phil/Tom
-186 v. +160
-200 v +160
-220 v. +175
Most birdies – Tiger v. Phil (Tiger -145)
If you’re looking for a fun sweat that will last the entire match, this might be the bet for you. Phil is no stranger to going for the birdie, but I suspect Tiger will be locked in for most of the match as he is technically coming off a loss to Phil last November.
Woods and Manning to Win Hole #10 (-135)
Woods and Manning to Win Hole #11 (-135)
If you’re putting down a few bucks check out some of the lines over at DraftKings and FanDuel.
The front nine is likely to be the more playful nine. Once the golfers make the turn, it will truly be a team effort with the modified alternate shot format, and this is where you are likely to see the better golfers prevail. I wouldn’t be shocked if Tiger and Manning are trailing going into the back nine and then start to turn on the intensity. I like them to lock in for the first true team holes.
BallStreet Trading
Our friends over at BallStreet will be running a real-time market for “The Match.”
There will be both a free contest and a paid entry (no rake) contest for players to join. We recommend entering both as you have twice the opportunity to win a fairly nice cash prize considering it’s free and a low entry format.
Free contest prizes will be $20 to everyone in the top 10 with $2 prizes given out to the rest of the top 20%.
Paid entry will be $10 (no rake) with a $100 prize given to everyone in the top 10%.
Markets have been created for each team and trade based on the win probability as decided by the market. Remember there are no outside APIs, data or models creating the pricing. Only the other players in the market.
BallStreet has IPO’d the match in line with current implied odds of around 2:1 in favor of Woods and Manning. Markets opened with Woods and Manning at §65 and Mickelson and Brady §35.
The biggest factor will be how well Manning and Brady are on the day. Manning has a listed handicap of 6.4 while Brady is listed at 8.1. Couple this with the different aspects to the match (5th hole teams must only just a single club) and we have the chance for almost anything to happen.
The early trading seems to be buying up Mickelson and Brady looking for value but after tee off Sunday the real market begins. If you are planning on watching golf this weekend BallStreet could be a great compliment giving you a chance to check out one of the newest and most innovative startups in the space while winning a little money for your trouble.
Make sure to download the BallStreet app and follow along on their social medias all weekend!
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And make sure to pick some over/unders at Monkey Knife Fight!
If you have any questions make sure to hit me up on Twitter @SiaNejad or jump in our FREE Expert Discord Chat. Read more of my articles over at Win Daily Sports!