DFSGhost 
CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)
- 3 games on DK and FD
- Best of 3 series
- Pricing is referred to DraftKings
CS:GO Slate Overview
CS:GO Game #1: Complexity (+110) vs Fnatic (-150)
The DH CS:GO slate has a lot riding on this first matchup, which will carry some decent ownership on both sides. Fnatic has a 44% first ban rate on Vertigo where Complexity is riding a 4-map winning streak, and Complexity has a 50% first ban rate on Inferno where they have only played once, so it is unlikely that we see those two maps available, unless Complexity chooses to ban Overpass over Inferno. The next phase is where it gets interesting; Complexity will likely pick Mirage, where they have a 78% winning rate and a 4-map win streak, whereas Fnatic can go with Train or whichever is left over between Overpass and Inferno. Should Complexity choose to take their chance by giving Fnatic their map of choice in Inferno, they might be able to surprise them given their 78% win rate and 4-map win streak. Fnatic has the deeper team and is higher ranked, but Complexity is in better form having won 7 of their last 8. We say it time and time again, Fnatic can be the best CS:GO teams in the world when they decide to play like it, but I’ll take the underdog here at lower ownership.
Top Plays: blameF ($8,600), k0nfig ($7,200), oBo ($7,000) or poizon ($6,600)
Hedge: Brollan ($8,600), JW ($6,800), KRIMZ ($7,800)
CS:GO Game #2: MAD Lions (-150) vs Team Spirit (+110)
The second series on the DH EU CS:GO slate is another great matchup between two talented squads. I’ll be siding with the underdog in Team Spirit here because they are in slightly better form than their counterpart and MAD is coming off a brutal loss to Ence. Spirit has a 71% first ban rate on Vertigo while MAD Lions have a 59% first ban rate on Inferno, so it is unlikely those two maps will be played on. That leaves Nuke, Train, Overpass, Mirage, and Dust2 as the maps available to be selected. It’s likely that Spirit selects Dust2 seeing as they pick it as their first map 34% of the time, but they are riding a 4-map losing streak on there and MAD actually posts a better winning percentage, so I’d like to see them go to Train instead. Elsewhere, Spirit has MAD outmatched on Overpass despite the lower winning percentage because of the frequency at which they play there and can put up a fight on both Dust2 and Nuke. Ultimately, the industry will be on MAD Lions, and rightfully so since that is what the statistics may indicate to some degree, but I’ll take mir ($7,400) outperforming Bubzkji ($8,000) and consequently leading his team to victory 2-1. The x-factor for me will be magixx ($6,200) as he has been on a tear lately, posting a 1.14 rating and 1.16 K/D in the last month.
Top Plays: mir ($7,400), chopper ($7,000), magixx($6,200) or poizon ($6,600)
One-Off: Bubzkji ($8,000)
CS:GO Game #3: Heroic (+137) vs Team Vitality (-188)
The third CS:GO series is a little clearer to predict, given the unstoppable force that is ZywOo. Heroic is in decent form, but the problem is that Vitality is in even better shape. Heroic’s map statistics aren’t all that bad, but the problem for them is that Vitality’s are even better. The only map I see Heroic possible stealing would be Nuke where they have a lofty 90% win rate in 10 games, but other than that, nothing else to see here folks; Vitality wins 2-1 and ZywOo will once again be in the winning CS:GO lineup.
Top Plays: ZywOo ($9,400), shox ($6,800)
CS:GO Slate Notes
Most of my CS:GO builds on DraftKings will have a 2-2-2 lineup construction format, picking two players from each predicted winner as listed above with some builds having a 3-2-1 lineup construction by playing ZywOo alone. On FD, either a 3-2-1 or 4-1-1 stack is the way to go for every tournament, and this CS:GO slate is no different. Make sure to have your highest upside player in the captain spot on FD since prices do not change, and that for me is ZywOo. On DK, you can make an argument for cheaper players to jam in studs, such as mir ($11,100) or Bubzkji ($12,000) from the second game, depending on if you’re favoring MAD or Spirit. Although players such as blameF ($12,600) and Brollan ($12,900) make for fine options in the first game, if you’re going to spending that much (12.5k +) at the captain spot, I prefer to just go up to ZywOo ($14,100) at that point.
You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!
