DFSGhost 
CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)
- 3 games on DK and FD
- Best of 3 series
- Pricing is referred to DraftKings
CS:GO Slate Overview
CS:GO Game #1: MAD Lions (+137) vs Natus Vincere(-188)
MAD Lions have been playing some stellar CS:GO as of late and come in to face the #1 ranked team in the world, NAVI. The latter’s roster begins and ends with their dynamic duo of s1mple and electronic, with no disrespect to the other teammates; this team is only as good as how these two players play on a given day, as seen in their last loss to G2 earlier at DH where they got dominated because of s1mple’s struggles despite electronic’s heroic performance. Ultimately, I want exposure to both sides, as one can make an argument for s1mple being one of, if not the best player in the world, but with how well MAD has been playing, it wouldn’t surprise me to see them take this one 2-1. NAVI bans Vertigo at a 92% clip while MAD bans Inferno at a 56% rate, however they can also choose to ban NAVI’s map of preference, Dust2, so it is unlikely we see two of those three maps being played. MAD’s map statistics actually favor them in this one, as does their recent form compared to that of NAVI, but there’s no denying s1mple’s talent and his ability to take over a series.
Top Plays: s1mple ($10,200), electronic ($8,000)
Top Plays: Bubzkji ($7,800) with sjuush ($6,600) oracoR ($6,800)
CS:GO Game #2: Ninjas in Pyjamas (-120 PK) vs FaZe(-120 PK)
Had this game been played a month ago, we wouldn’t blink and just lock in FaZe. However, here we are, with NIP looking like the team they were 2 months ago and FaZe coming off a brutal loss to BIG. Ultimately, I think this one comes down to the ban phase, and I’m siding with NIP. Here’s why: NIP bans Dust2 at a 97% rate and hate playing there, while FaZe will likely ban Vertigo, where they’ve only played once and have a 74% first ban rate. FaZe will likely choose Mirage, where they have NIP’s number, but they’ll counter by picking Overpass, where FaZe has had limited success. This leaves Inferno, Nuke, and Train to be leftover, where NIP needs to ban Nuke from FaZe. If they do, they’ll take it 2-1, if everything goes as planned. If they somehow mess this up during the ban phase, FaZe will take it 2-1. Mentioned below is “Twist or REZ” which shocks me as I write it: REZ is the far superior player talent-wise but Twist has been playing much better over the past month. In the past 30 days, Twist has a better KD than REZ on Mirage (1.07 vs 0.80) and on Overpass (1.18 vs 0.98) so, surprisingly, I lean Twist over REZ. Both broky and rain struggle on Mirage, and with NiKo being the only player with a K/D over 1.00 on Overpass, I’ll lean with NiKo and coldzera for my 2-man FaZe stack, should you want exposure to that side of the series.
Top Plays: nawwk ($7,400), Plopski ($7,200), Twist($6,600) or REZ ($6,800)
Top Plays: NiKo ($9,400), coldzera ($7,000)
CS:GO Game #3: 100 Thieves (+120) vs FURIA (-170)
With all due respect to 100 Thieves, I don’t see them winning this series at all. Okay, maybe not “not at all”, but FURIA comes into the matchup as the better team overall, both in talent and form, and have the map advantages. FURIA will ban Dust2, which they do at a 97% rate, and 100 Thieves will likely counter by banning Overpass, which they do at a 91% rate. This leaves both teams getting their map of choice, Mirage and Vertigo, respectively. The issue for 100 Thieves is that they’ll get smoked on Mirage, whereas FURIA is no slouch on OHT’s map choice, Overpass, posting a 60% winning percentage. Of the three maps remaining, Train, Nuke, and Inferno, it is unlikely FURIA takes a chance on Train given the chance that they lose there, whereas the dominance they see over 100 Thieves on both Nuke and Inferno will be too hard to pass up, but again, anything can happen in the ban phase. I’ll take FURIA 2-1, but if there’s a chance for a 100 Thieves upset, the top plays there are also listed. Surprinsingly, KSCERATO is the worst performer on Mirage, with arT, yuurih, and HEN1 absolutely dominating that map with K/D ratios of 1.57, 1.74, and 1.61, respectively, compared to KSCERATO’s 1.14. On Overpass, all 4 players are relatively even, and I’ll ultimately side with the Big 3 because of arT’s struggles on Nuke, but should it not be the map leftover and the third map of the series, he could make an interesting salary saver. The 100 Thieves stack is ranked based on their statistics on how I think the maps will play out.
Top Plays: yuurih ($7,600), HEN1 ($8,200), KSCERATO($8,400), arT ($6,200)
Top Plays: jks ($7,200), Gratisfaction ($7,000), jkaem($6,400)
You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!
