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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/14/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack (8am EST)

  • 2 series on DK and FD
  • Best of 5

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: G2 (-350) vs BIG (+250)

In the finals of CS:GO DreamHack EU, G2 takes on BIG in a Best of 5 where the former will start the series with a 1-0 lead since they came from the upper side of the bracket. Since 4 maps will be played in this series, we only need to attempt two ban predictions, one from each side, with one map being left over at the end of the ban phase. I see BIG banning Train, which they do at a 74% rate, and G2 will likely ban Overpass, which they have not played on in a month. This leaves Nuke, Inferno, Vertigo, Dust2, and Mirage to be four of the five maps picked from each side. G2 has their opponent outmatched on Nuke, Mirage, and Inferno, while BIG grades out better on both Dust2 and Vertigo. Ultimately, I think G2 comes away with the victory here but do not rule out BIG just yet; they’ve looked to be in great form lately and can easily pull off the upset, but my lean remains G2, with my targets listed below in order of preference. The first two, huNter- and nexa are my top tier targets, with kennyS being the clear third wheel in this one. But given his level of inconsistency, I’m not opposed to going AmaNeK and use the saving to get the studs from the second series; jaCkz is not in my player pool. If playing a one-off from this series, I would prefer syrsoN or tabseN, but lean syrsoN because of his price. Neither k1to or tizian are in my player pool.

Top Plays(G2): huNter- ($8,800), nexa ($7,000), kennyS ($8,000) or AmaNeK ($5,600)

Top Plays(BIG): syrsoN ($7,400), tabseN ($8,200), XANTERES ($6,600)

CS:GO Game #2: FURIA (-225) vs Team Liquid (+175)

The second series is between FURIA and Team Liquid in the finals of CS:GO DreamHack NA. Like the first series, this one will be a Best of 5, with FURIA coming into the series with a 1-0 lead having come from the upper side of the bracket. FURIA is in top form having won 6 series in a row and 7 of their last 8, including beating TL 2-1 in the group stage. FURIA will surely ban Dust2 and I imagine Team Liquid countering by banning Train. This leaves Nuke, Inferno, Vertigo, Overpass, and Mirage to be four of the five maps selected by the two squads. Although TL is a talented team and have EliGe back in top form, I don’t see FURIA losing a Best of 5 here; FURIA grades out better than TL on all five maps in terms of winning percentage in the last month, albeit the percentages are fairly close. Ultimately, I want all three of KSCERATO, HEN1 and yuurih, but similarly to strategy in the section above concerning the first game, arT makes for a decent target as well if you need the saving; he will struggle on Inferno if it gets chosen, but he performs well on the other four maps compared to VINI, who is not in my player pool. Given his price tag on DK, his 1.28 K/D and 0.73 kills per round on all five maps combined over the last month, which he leads the team in all three, HEN1 is a lock for me tomorrow. If you’re choosing a 3-2-1 lineup construction, a one off from this series is in play, with all 3 TL players listed being viable options depending on the salary you can afford, but neither nitr0 nor Stewie2K are in my player pool.

Top Plays (FURIA):HEN1 ($6,800), yuurih ($7,600), KSCERATO ($8,400), arT ($5,800)

Top Plays(TL): EliGe ($8,600), NAF ($7,800), Twistzz ($6,800)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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