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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit Breakdown 06/27

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit(12pm EST)

  • 4 matchups on DK
  • Best of 3 series

CS:GO Slate Overview

Game #1: Ninjas inPyjamas (-188) vs Heroic (+137)

The first game of the CS:GO slate has #13 ranked NIP taking on #24 Heroic. The former is not only the higher ranked team, but they are also in better form over the last month and have won 3 of their past 5, but Heroic are coming off some big wins against the likes of Fnatic and Ence so this should be a great series. Heroic bans Overpass first at a 55% rate, which is also NIP’s best map, while NIP bans Dust2 first 92% of the time; we can cross these maps off our list. Heroic will likely turn to Nuke with their selection, which they do 40% of the time and are riding a 7-map winning streak as opposed to NIP’s 4-map losing streak. NIP can go two ways with their selection; since their top map, Overpass, is banned, they’ll likely turn to Vertigo or Train, preferably the latter where they have a slight winning advantage over their counterpart. While NIP is a heavy favorite, Heroic has them outmatched on Mirage, Inferno, Nuke, and the two are close on both Vertigo and Train; give me the underdog here for GPPs in a 2-1 series win.

Top Targets: stavn($8,000), TeSeS ($6,200), niko ($6,600)

Game #2: OG (+333) vs BIG(-500)

The second game of the CS:GO slate sees my favorite target, BIG, taking on OG. BIG has been playing lights out since taking down G2 in the DreamHack finale and can honestly be considered one of, if not the best team in the world at the moment. G2 bans Train first at a 91% rate while OG bans Vertigo first at a 92% rate; both maps can confidently be removed from the process. I imagine OG would turn to Mirage or Nuke with their selection whereas BIG can turn to Dust2. No debate about it here, BIG sweeps in convincing fashion and will be in all of my lineups.

Top Targets: syrsoN($8,600), XANTERES ($7,200), tabseN ($7,800)

Value: tiziaN ($6,000) or k1to ($6,200)

Game #3: Team Liquid (-138)vs Evil Geniuses (+100)

The third game of the CS:GO slate has some great DFS appeal to it and will carry a ton of ownership on both sides. EG has climbed the world rankings up to their current position of #9 while TL comes in at #11; EG has won 4 of their past 5 series and have beat TL recently at BLAST Premier. TL bans Train first 100% of the time while EG bans Overpass first at a 50% rate, so we can remove those two maps from our process. I assume TL will turn to Mirage with their first pick where they have much more experience than their counterparts, whereas EG can either continue riding out their 6-map winning streak on Inferno with their pick or try their luck on Nuke despite having a poor track record there versus TL. This game will have plenty of appeal for our DFS lineups and is one of two games that I’m not opposed to playing players from both sides, but I’ll take the ‘dog and a red-hot CeRq to win the series 2-1.

Top Targets (EG): CeRq($7,200), Brehze ($7,000), Ethan ($6,800)

Top Targets (TL): EliGe($8,400), Twistzz ($6,800), NAF ($8,000)

Game #4: Cloud9 (+110) vs100 Thieves (-150)

The second game that I’m intrigued by plays on both sides, OHT takes on C9 in the last game of the CS:GO slate. OHT bans Overpass first at an 84% rate so C9 will lose the opportunity to play on their best map for the second consecutive series, whereas C9 bans Mirage first 84% of the time. OHT is likely to select Vertigo as their first map, which they do 50% of their series, whereas C9 can turn to any of Inferno, Train, or Dust2 with confidence here with Overpass banned in the first round. C9 continues to be led by floppy but have received quite the contribution from oSee over the past month, where he’s sporting a 1.27 K/D and 0.78 kills per round. On the flipside, OHT’s jks is the top player by a landslide on their roster with his 1.26 K/D and 0.78 kills per round and is an elite target himself; OHT’s secondary plays have been fairly inconsistent over the past 3 months, but jkaem (1.13 K/D and 0.74 kills per round) is another player to target on the afternoon slate, albeit I’ll be fading him on the main slate. As much love as I have for jks, give me another ‘dog here in C9 to win 2-1.

Top Targets (C9): oSee ($8,200),floppy ($7,600), Sonic ($6,200)

Top Targets (OHT): jks($7,800), jkaem ($6,600), Liazz ($5,800)

CS:GO Lineup Building

For the main CS:GO slate at 12pm EST, I’ll be locking in 3 BIG players in all of my lineups, primarily with syrsoN ($12,900) at captain due to the amount of viable value plays we have here today. For cash games, you’ll want 3 BIG players paired with CeRq ($7,200) and one of oSee ($8,200) or floppy ($7,600); round out your roster with a player with a safe floor. For GPPs, specifically large field tournaments, Heroic makes for a great 1-2 stack in the first game with the majority of the field likely to be on NIP and stavn ($8,000) is worth taking a shot on given his 1.23 K/D and 0.77 kills per round and everyone around him garnering more ownership.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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