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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit Breakdown 06/29

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

  • 4 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: OG (-300) vs North (+225)

The first game of the CS:GO slate has plenty of intrigue due to the lack of projected ownership. With two heavy favorites in the later stages of the slate and some elite targets to choose from, making our pay up options from this game will be contrarian and can pay off in large field tournaments. OG bans Vertigo first at a 92% rate while North bans Mirage first 56% of the time; not only is it unlikely that we see either map, but both teams lose their best map in the process. I expect North to turn to Overpass with their pick, where they boast a 58% winning percentage on 12 maps played compared to OG’s 33% on 6 maps played. OG will then likely counter with Inferno, where they’re riding a 5-map winning streak and are now up to a 53% win rate on 15 maps played versus North’s 33% on 12 maps played; the map leftover is likely to be Train. The maps favor OG and they’re coming off an impressive win over BIG and have now won 5 series in a row behind mantuu and valde; I’ll likely be fading this game altogether considering the much better targets in the following 3 games, but if you’re playing it, you’ll have a huge ownership advantage; I’ll take OG here 2-1, but if North secures the victory, aizy ($9,400) will be the main reason.

Top Plays: mantuu($8,400), valde ($7,600)

CS:GO Game #2: Team Vitality (-300) vs Heroic (+225)

The second game of the CS:GO slate sees my second favorite target, Vitality, taking on Heroic. The latter has been playing great lately but haven’t faced a squad of Vitality’s caliber and are in tough to try to secure the victory. Heroic bans Overpass first at a 57% rate while Vitality bans Train 100% of the time. Heroic is likely going to turn to Mirage or Inferno with their selection, where they have better winning percentages than Vitality, whereas the latter will probably choose to play on Dust2, leaving Vertigo or Nuke as the map likeliest to be leftover. Vitality has now climbed to the #2 ranking in the world and are a threat to every opponent they play because of arguably the greatest player in the world, ZywOo. RpK has been stellar over the past 4 series, going +44 on 180-136 in 9 maps played, and makes for a great value play along with one of shox or apEX. Vitality sweeps here and produces some big DFS numbers.

Top Plays: ZywOo ($10,000), RpK ($6,200), shox ($7,000) or apEX($6,800)

CS:GO Game#3: Fnatic (-120 PK) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (-120 PK)

The third game of the CS:GO slate is a pick ‘em as indicated by Vegas odds and it really can go either way. Fnatic comes in as the #6 team in the world and have won 4 of 5, while NIP comes in at #13, have won 3 of their past 5, and are in better form over the past 3 weeks. NIP bans Dust2 first 90% of the time while Fnatic bans Vertigo at a 58% rate, so we can eliminate the possibility of seeing those two maps. NIP will likely turn to Overpass with their first pick despite Fnatic having a better winning percentage since they do so at a 38% rate, while Fnatic will probably counter with Inferno; the map likely to be leftover is Train. I’ll likely be fading this game because both squads are so inconsistent with their play, but if you want an edge in large field GPPs in terms of ownership, it’s certainly worth a look. Just make sure to have pieces of both sides in separate lineups to cover all your basis; if playing a single entry GPP, I highly recommend sticking to VIT and BIG, but if you want to roll out one team here, I’d choose FNC.

Top Plays(FNC): Brollan ($8,800), JW ($6,600), flusha ($7,200) or KRIMZ ($7,600)

Top Plays (NIP):nawwk ($7,200), twist ($6,800), Plopski ($7,400)

CS:GO Game#4: Godsent (+300) vs BIG (-450)

The last gameof the CS:GO slate sees my favorite stack, BIG, taking on Godsent. The formerhas been tearing up all competition ever since beating G2 in the DreamHackfinale and will look to continue their dominance here versus a Godsent teamthat is very inconsistent. Godsent bans Mirage first 92% of the time while BIGbans Train first at a 100% rate, so we can confidently remove those maps. Iimagine Godsent would differ from their typical selection of Nuke consideringBIG’s dominance there, so they’ll probably go with Overpass where they’reriding a 4-map winning streak and a 78% win rate on 9 maps played. BIG willsurely choose Dust2 where they have double the amount of maps played than theiropponent and boast a whopping 82% win rate compared to Godsent’s 36%. SinceGodsent is heavily outmatched on Inferno, the map likely to be leftover is Vertigo.All 5 players on BIG are viable, led by syrsoN, and the key to the slate willbe getting the value plays right. I’ll be heavily considering both tabseN andXANTERES as always, but lean tiziaN over k1to if going into the lower 6k range.

Top Plays: syrsoN($8,600), tabseN ($7,800), XANTERES ($7,400), tiziaN ($6,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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