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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Nine to Five Breakdown 07/07

CS:GO Slate Summary: Nine to Five (11am EST)

  • 2 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: sAw (-450) vs CR4ZY (+300)

While we wait for DreamHack to begin in August, we’ll be treading into some unfamiliar territory for those that haven’t been following CS:GO before the global pandemic took away all major sports from us. In the first matchup of the slate, we get a familiar face in sAw taking on CR4ZY; the former is the higher ranked team at #38 and are in better form having won 4 of their past 5 series. CR4ZY bans Dust2 first at a 72% rate and haven’t played there in 3 months so we can safely assume they’ll take it out of contention, while sAw bans Mirage first at an 88% rate. CR4ZY is likely going to turn to Nuke with their first pick, which they do 22% of the time, but sAw is riding a 7-map winning streak there and will cause them trouble; ultimately, this pick is the best of a bad scenario for the underdog. Although sAw’s typical first selection is Vertigo, I can see them turning to Inferno or Train here, where they have CR4ZY severely outmatched, but all three maps are viable options. Led by their awper stadodo, who has a 1.16 K/D and 0.71 kills per round over the past month, sAw should cruise to a 2-0 sweep and will feature 3 players in all of my CS:GO lineups. Primary rifle fraggers MUTiRis, rmn, and JUST will round out my 3-man stacks for sAw; below are their statistics over the past month:

  • MUTiRIS: 1.10 K/D, 0.73 kills per round
  • rmn: 1.08 K/D, 0.72 kills per round
  • JUST: 1.17 K/D, 0.74 kills per round

While all 3 make for compelling options to pair with stadodo, MUTiRiS leads the way on Nuke over the past month, with a stellar 1.49 K/D and 0.89 kills per round, albeit rmn and JUST are not far behind. The difference maker here is that rmn struggles on Inferno, where he has a 0.97 K/D and 0.58 kills per round over the past month whereas both MUTiRiS and JUST are over 1.00 and 0.7 kills per round, but he does still make for a great value play and should exceed his point/$ value.

Top Plays: Stadodo($8,000), MUTiRiS ($8,800), JUST ($7,200), rmn ($6,400)

CS:GO Matchup #2: AVEZ (+125) vs Illuminar (-175)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate is where things get more interesting, with AVEZ taking on Illuminar. While these two teams have played twice since late-May, Illuminar has played much more CS:GO over the past month so I’ll give them the edge here; they’re higher ranked than AVEZ at #54 in the world compared to #63 and are in better form than their counterparts. AVEZ bans Mirage first at a 73% rate while Illuminar bans Inferno at a 71% rate, so we’re unlikely to see those maps here. AVEZ typically selects Overpass first, which they do at a 56% rate, but Illuminar matches up well despite having played there 11 fewer times over the past 3 months. Illuminar should turn to Nuke with their first pick, which they do 35% of the time and have AVEZ clearly outmatched, although I can make an argument for them to select Dust2 as well. Snax is Illuminar’s awper and makes for a great target, averaging 0.71 kills per round and a 1.09 K/D over the past month. The next two options can be a combination of Innocent, reatz, Vegi, and mouz, but both Vegi and mouz are far from consistent; Innocent would probably be my first second-man in with a 1.07 K/D and 0.70 kills per round over the past month paired with reatz if you can afford the salary. If hedging this CS:GO matchup, your AVEZ stacks need to begin with team awper Markos, who is sporting a 1.18 K/D and 0.72 kills per round over the past month and is +24 on 72-48 in his last 3 maps played, and makes for a great one-off options in 3-2-1 lineup constructions if you need to save salary somewhere in your lineup.

Top Plays (ILL): Snax ($8,600), Innocent ($7,000), reatz($7,800)

Top Plays (AVEZ): Markos ($6,800)

CS:GO Captain Options

  • Pay up: stadodo ($12,000), MUTiRiS ($13,200), Snax ($12,900)
  • Mid-tier: JUST ($10,800), Innocent ($10,500)
  • Value: rmn ($9,600)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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