We are going to start by breaking down the two matchups of the new LPL split scheduled to go off at 5 am and 7 am Eastern standard time on Tuesday The DraftKings and FanDuel slates lock at 5 am SHARP. The slate is two best of three-game series LPL (Chinese League) matches.
The first match is TEAM WE (WE) (-700) VS. LNG ESPORTS (LNG) (+395), and the second match is LGD GAMING (LGD) (-575) VS. ROGUE WARRIORS (RW) (+350). I am going to break down each game the way I feel it will play out. I will post my betting picks and favorite team immediately following the breakdown.
At the later stage of my article, I will have a list of my favorite captain’s/stars in order of preference. This article is for both Draftkings and FanDuel.
MATCH ONE: LPL SUMMER SPLIT
MATCH ONE: TEAM WE (WE) (-700) VS. LNG ESPORTS (LNG) (+395).
Let’s try not to get too cute here. WE has been performing rather well this split, but have not been an unstoppable force. They have shown that they can play and beat some of the better teams in the LPL, but not the best teams. Team WE is currently sitting in sixth place in the standings, holding a record of six wins and three losses, not bad for a team that was picked on all of the spring split. WE has forced a game three with two of the top five teams in the LPL (Suning and JD Gaming); unfortunately, they could not finish them. They did take the number four team in the LPL to the cleaners in a two to nothing sweep (Invictus Gaming).
WE has been consistent with beating the middle to lower-tier teams, and now they face off against the number fourteen team (LNG Esports). WE should, and I emphasize on SHOULD come out and sweep LNG without a problem.
LNG Esports has looked abysmal as of late. They came out firing on all cylinders this split. After their first loss of the season to Suning, they looked like they had everything together and put that loss behind them when they dismantled FPX and RNG in back to back games. Little did we know, two teams that we all thought were going to be top three would eventually both be sitting in a tie for ninth place after nine matches have been played. LNG was living in the clouds after those two wins and have not won a series since.
LNG has lost six consecutive matches with minimal production in those losses. I do not see LNG pulling a miracle upset here versus a -700ML favorite. I will have more exposure to the team that has been gelling recently (Team WE). My exposure will be 80% for WE and a measly 20% for LNG, just in case they decide to pull a rabbit out of their hat.
MY LPL DFS PICK: TEAM WE (WE) (-700)
MATCH TWO: SUMMER SPLIT.
MATCH TWO: LGD GAMING (LGD) (-575) VS. ROGUE WARRIORS (RW) (+350).
This match has many people a little confused about who to pick, with good reason. LGD has been a surprise team of this split. They have been battling it out and beating some of the better teams in the LPL. They have shown that they know how to win and win together. In most of their wins this split, four out of five of their players have produced high DFS scores. Their kill participation is above average, and they are becoming a team that is starting to excel at capturing neutral objectives. When LGD is on fire, I don’t believe many teams can shut them down.
RW has been a team that has been disappointing the entire season so far, up until they just destroyed DMO. Yes, I know, its DMO. They showed signs of teamwork and showed they could put everything together and finally win a series. The problem here is that they allow a ton of kills. They are the biggest kill feeder in the LPL. On the other side, they also produce a ton of kills. Recently, RW has been killing everyone in their path, but just could not finish a team off. They have had multiple games where they outscored their opponents but still lost the match. That exact scenario is what I believe is going to happen at least in one of the games and could cause for RW to hold their value.
If RW forces a game three, they can most definitely be the benefactor of 40 overall kills, and from a losing team with cheap DFS salaries that could lead to a takedown. I will have an even 50/50 split of this game. I am going heavy on the fact that this goes to a third game. If by chance, LGD sweeps RW, the production will not be there. This is a high-risk move I will be taking. I am banking on LGD winning the series, but RW being a better value play. This could lead to a potential game stack (not always recommended). I will still try and stick to the usual 4/3 stack.
MY LPL DFS PICK: 50/50 SPLIT LGD TO WIN AND RW TO PRODUCE WELL.
FAVORITE CAPTAINS / STARS:
JIUMENG (WE) (ADC)
KRAMER (LGD) (ADC)
ZWUJI (RW) (ADC)
XIYE (LGD) (MID)
TEACHERMA (WE) (MID)
WUMING (RW) (MID)
LIGHT (LNG) (ADC)
SLATE SUMMARY: LPL SUMMER SPLIT
I will be building fifteen ESPORTS DFS lineups. My exposure in my LOL LPL DFS lineups will consist of 80% WE, 50% LGD, 50% RW, and 20% LNG. Most of my stacks will be four/three. I will prioritize using ADC and MID in my captain spot.
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