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MLB GPP Picks 7/25 Slate
In this article I will be breaking down MLB GPP picks 7/25 slate. I will hit a few players from each position. If I am interested in a player on only one site, I will be site specific. I will be using DraftKings pricing for this article.
I am extremely happy that sports have returned and am ready to breakdown this 11 game MLB slate for Saturday afternoon. Chalk J.D Martinez hit again last night against an awful Orioles squad, same scenario will be in play tonight as Martinez will face Alex Cobb. As of now weather does not appear to be an issue for the second consecutive day. Don’t forget to join myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff in the discord chat rooms, as we breakdown the slate even further when starting lineups get solidified.
Pitchers – MLB GPP picks 7/25 slate
ZackWheeler – ($10,100)
I will goright back to a Phillies pitcher even though Nola wasn’t the best play lastnight. Wheeler’s best pitch to right handed batters is his slider, and the Marlinshave a ton of right handed bats. The Marlins entire lineup has a strikeoutpercentage of more than 20% against sliders last season. Only one Marlin isbelow 20% strikeout rate against curveballs as well, so this should be anamazing matchup even though Nola failed to hit value last night.
Lance McCullers– ($8,500)
Seattle ranout a lineup with six left-handed hitters last night, that screams Lance McCullers.Every season in the MLB McCullers has had a higher strikeout percentage againstleft-handed batters, the lowest percentage being 27.5%. Even though McCullersmissed last season, he has been excellent against lefties throughout his career.Facing a young Seattle offense should allow McCullers to have a successful returnto the diamond.
Jon Gray –($8,100)
Gray keepsthe ball on the ground with a 51.3% ground ball rate, which we love forpitchers in MLB DFS. He also had a strikeout rate of 24.5% last season,including that with the seven high strikeout hitters in this Texas lineup heshould be in a spot for success.
Dylan Bundy– ($7,700)
Bundy has a magnificentslider that is getting a swing rate of 27% against righties and 20% againstlefties. He will be facing Oakland who has seven guys in their lineup that hada strikeout percentage above 30 last season against sliders. His downfall hasbeen the homerun, but he’s playing in a big MLB ball park with loads of strikeoutupside.
Catcher
MitchGarver – ($5,300)
In the sectionbelow I tell you how I don’t spend up for catchers unless the numbers are toogood to pass up, that’s the case here. Garver absolutely tears up lefties with anISO of .415, a wOBA of .469, flyball rate of 53.8%, and hard hit rate at 57.7%.If you can find the salary to get to Garver this is a tough spot not to playhim.
WilsonRamos – ($3,100)
None of hisnumbers will just jump off the page at you but he’s a very good veteran hitter,with a low strikeout rate, facing a lefty with too cheap of a price tag on thisMLB slate. Catcher is typically my last position filled that is just how I constructmy lineups. I typically don’t roll out the high-end catchers so if you’relooking for a salary saver look at Ramos.
1stBase
MitchMoreland – ( $4,300)
Moreland didn’tstart opening day since they squared off against a left, he should start todaythough. I may fade J.D Martinez if he approaches above 20-30 percent today but Istill want Red Sox exposure against a very vulnerable Alex Cobb. Moreland onlyhas a 10% soft hit percent against righties, leaving 90 percent for medium andhard hit balls. He hits knuckle curves well with an ISO of .263 and hard hitpercent of 41.18%. and the short porch in right at Fenway he should be in linefor a solid day.
RhysHoskins – ($4,200)
We got alefty on the mound in this game that struggles mightily against righties,including a lovely flyball rate of 55.8%. Hoskins loves left-handed pitching ashe has a flyball rate of 48% and a hard-hit rate of 54% those numbers arefantastic to predict a homer. This is also an extremely comfortable price topay for a guy with massive homerun upside here.
2ndbase
OzzieAlbies – ($4,700)
Ozzie isexcellent against left-handed pitching he has an outstanding .451 wOBA, only12% strikeout rate, and his contact percentage is 83%. He only has 10% soft hitpercentage against lefties leaving 90% for medium and hard-hit baseballs. Ozziehas a good chance at hitting value with this left-handed pitching.
JasonKipnis – ($3,300)
He must playfirst so make sure you check your MLB team lineups, David Ross said Kipnis andHoerner will split time at second. Its another spot where Kipnis only has asoft hit percent of 12% leaving 88 for medium and hard hit. Add to that aflyball rate of 43.5% against a pitcher that is brutal against lefties, Kipnisshould pay off this price tag if he plays.
3rdbase
MiguelSano – ($4,800)
This pick isnot for the faint of heart and not for those that don’t like high risk. Sanostrikes out a ton we all know that, but his soft hit percentage is only 4.5%,an ISO of .367, and wOBA of .408 versus left handed pitching. I’ll take acouple shots at Sano here.
Matt Carpenter($3,700)
Matching upagainst Trevor Williams a pitcher that has issues with left-handed bats. He hasa soft hit percentage of just 13.7% against lefties, along with that is a strikeout rate of just 12.5%. Carpenter has only a 9.8% soft hit rate againstrighties leaving 90% for medium to hard hit. Williams is clearly worse againstlefties in nearly every category, should be a great day for Cardinals lefties.
Shortstop
CarlosCorrea – ($4,700)
There isnothing crazy special here I just want some Astros facing a pitcher that hasonly pitched in four games in the last two MLB season combined. After two seasonsoff I think Walker will need a couple outings to adjust and get things backfully. Correa also has the second highest ISO on the team against righties at.307.
Jean Segura– ($3,600)
Now Seguraisn’t a power hitter but I mentioned in the Hoskins section that righties hit CalebSmith well. Segura puts the ball in play and has an exceptionally low strikeoutrate of 11%. The Phillies should put up more than two runs in this game and I alsodon’t mind Scott Kingery as more of a power bat around this same price and sameteam.
Outfielders
CodyBellinger – ($5,300)
Bellinger isthe Dodgers leader in fly ball percentage and in hard hit percentage againstrighties which is why I chose him. Stack Dodgers lefties if you can afford it, oddsare you’ll hear me say that a ton this season. Samardzija had a hard-hitpercent of 40% along with a fly ball rate of 47%. Bellinger has a giant ISO of.328 against righties. This is no secret play but it wont be much longer untilBellinger blasts his first of the season.
LourdesGurriel Jr. – ($4,600)
Simple wayto put it Gurriel smashes lefties, with 114 plater appearances against leftieslast season he had a .367 ISO, .406 wOBA, and a 44% hard hit. With a 43.1%flyball rate against lefties, this seems like a good spot for a potentialGurriel homerun at a climate-controlled Tropicana Field. After missing the MLBseason opener ownership should be low as well.
KyleSchwarber – ($4,500)
The Cubs are facingCorbin Burnes who didn’t have the best season last year. I like the Cubs as astack on today’s MLB slate, but give an advantage to the lefties in the lineup.Burnes has a 47.7% hard hit rate, average exit velocity above 90mph, an ISO of.373 against lefties. Schwarber rakes righties with an ISO of .298 and a hard-hitpercentage of 41.7%.
YoenisCespedes – ($3,600)
Cespedes missedall of last years MLB season and only completed 38 games the season prior. So,although not a lot of recent data on him we know what kind of player he is. He ispriced way too cheap. He Is facing a left-handed pitcher and hit a bomb in hisfirst game back to give the Mets a 1-0 win. I’ll take him at this price before Itincreases.
Thanks for reading my article on MLB GPP picks 7/25 slate. That will wrap it up for this 11 game afternoon slate. It looks like we should have great weather throughout most of these games, making for a beautiful afternoon of Saturday baseball. We are happy that sports are back and the DFS grind is back in full swing. Jump in the Discord chat to join myself and the WinDaily staff for late news and later game lineup locks and adjustments. Thanks for reading my content and best of luck everyone!
