DFSGhost 
PGA Championship Ownership Projections
It’s time for the first major of the year in this pandemic era, and we have the ownership projections, crucial for picking the right players to hit that seven figure prize, as well as favorite picks to assist you with your lineup construction. Here is a look at the PGA Championship Ownership Projections.
Last week there was no DraftKings Milly Maker, in the 500 K contest the winning ownership came in at 8%. There are many pundits saying with this fields strength and soft soft pricing that you should only need one golfer at the 5% or under ownership plateau to take the big prize money, I’m going to disagree and suggest you will still need two low owned golfers to get all those zeros behind your prize number. Let’s take a look at The PGA Championship at Harding Park’s ownership numbers.
Earlier today Xander Schauffele was leading the ownership % race, and all of a sudden D.J. and Cantlay came roaring by, D.J. is the leading owned player at 21%, followed by Patrick Cantlay at 20.6% and Patrick “Sharps” Scott’s new choice for president in 2024, Colin Morikawa, who slid into third at 20.4%. Xander is next at 20%, please note choosing these players at 20%+ ownership means you must have them go top 5 or win to create enough value to win large GPPs, I do think Xander and Collin have a shot to do that.
Justin Thomas is next at 19%, Daniel Berger is at18%, Tommy Fleetwood is 17.5%, Abraham Ancer is 16.9%, Rory McILroy is 16.8%, Jon Rahm is 16%, Tony Finau is 15.7%, Tyrrell Hatton is 15.6% owned.
Coming in at 15% ownership are Brooks Koepka, Webb Simpson, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Jason Day. Hideki Matsuyama is 14.4%, Gary Woodland is 14.2%, Patrick Reed is 13%, Bryson DeChambeau is 12.7%, and falling to 11% is Rickie Fowler. Tiger is next at 10.8%, Victor Hovland is 10.5%, and Jordan Spieth is 10.4% owned. Scottie Scheffler is at 9.3%, Chez Reavie is 8.9%, Shane Lowry is 8.5%, and Sergio Garcia is 8% owned. Harris English comes in at 7%, Louis Oosthuizen is 6.7%, Justin Rose and Billy Horschel are at 6.6%, Marc Leishman is 6.5%, Bubba Watson is 6.2% along with Henrik Stenson. Ryan Palmer and Joaquin Niemann are 5.9% owned, Matt Kuchar is 5.4% and Corey Conners is 5.2%
The following golfers come in at 5% or below:
Cameron. Champ is 4.85%, Sungjae IM is 4.3% along with Paul Casey and Matthias Schwab. Matthew Wolf is 4% owned, Kevin Kisner is 3.9%, Lucas Glover is 3.6%, Phil Mickelson and and Joel Dahmen are at 3.5%, Tom Lewis is 3.3%, Christiaan Bezuidenhout is 3.1%: Brendan Steele and Richy Werenski are 2.8%, Matt Wallace and Kevin Na are 2.6%, Kevin Streelman is 2.4%, Brendan Todd is 2.3%, Nick Taylor is 2.1%.
The next group of golfers comes in under 2% ownership:
B. An, who contended all last week until Sunday comes in at 1.8% owned, along with Adam Hadwin, Emiliano Grillo and Ian Poulter. Michael Thompson is 1.6% owned, Doc Redman is 1.5% owned along with Mackenzie Hughes, Jim Furyk, Charl Schwartzel, Russel Henley and Dylan Frittelli. Max Homa has company at 1.2% that includes Harold Varner lll, Danny Willett, Luke List, Sebastian Munoz, Keegan Bradley, Taylor Gooch, Graeme McDowell, Jason Dufner, Wyndham Clark, TylerDuncan, and Brian Stuard.
Golfers under 1% ownership include:
Sung Kang, Denny McCarthy, Danny Lee, Joost Luiten, Bud Cauley, Si Woo Kim, Adam Long, Cameron Tringale, Rory Sabbatini, Zach Johnson, Brian Harmon, J.T. Poston, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Robert Macintyre, Cameron Smith, Bernd Wiesberger , Martin Kaymer, Mike Lorenzo Vera, Hao Tong Li, Vaughn Taylor, Troy Merritt, Matt Jones, Carlos Ortiz, Keith Mitchell, Tom Hoge, Kurt Kitayama, Mark Hubbard, Lucas Herbert, Andrew Landry, Steve Stricker, and Victor Perez, along with Lanto Griffin and of course, Jazz Janewattananond.
My picks for this week:
In the upper range I had JT last week, he won, I’m not coming off him now, I also like Xander, (except for his ownership) I was on Webb Simpson until his long time caddy bowed out with back issues.
In the mid range last week I had Daniel Berger, he tied for second, I’ll keep him for this week as well, I also like Collin Morikawa to do well. I also like Jason Day, the team and I were discussing with the cold weather and his back if he would be a good pick, his metrics have been in the elite group these last three tourneys, he’s worth a flier for that.
I also like Harris English, he’s been popping in my model frequently, along with Ryan Palmer, who shot a 65 last Sunday, I expect good things from him.
My out in left field play last week was Nick Taylor, he was a 6K plus play, he finished 35th, and brought value at that price. My left field play this week is X. Zang, a little known player from China who placed 10th and 12th at the Memorial and 3M tourneys, he has the metrics to make the cut, and at 6600, allows you to get another stud up top.
Every week Sia puts his ass…ets on the line and comes up with a Secret Weapon (SW) player that is in the 6 K range, isn’t owned by anyone, and brings value like a slot machine gone ballistic. It is incredibly difficult to find those nuggets every week but he gets it done and then some. Last weeks effort was a coin flip between Duncan and Hughes, and Duncan it was, and I supported that. This weeks SECRET WEAPON is Dylan Frittelli, (6800) with no ownership, (1.5%) and his metrics show he’s primed to deliver. SIA’s secret weapon is unleashed!
Thanks for check out our PGA Championship Ownership Projections. These projections and picks are delivered with the intent to assist you in your roster construction, and hopefully help you make the right decisions to capture a mega prize contest. I along with the other Win Daily Sports writers will be in the Discord channel to answer any questions and assist with any lineup issues. Please be sure to read all the Win Daily Sports golf articles, and check out Sia’s and Michaels live stream tonight at 830. There will be plenty of golf content to discuss along with other sports.
As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.
