The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2020 PGA Championship. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
As I referenced in my Range article, majors tend to force the cream to the top. The PGA Championship is no different as I’ll have seven of the top golfers in the nine and ten thousand range.
Players priced $10,000 and higher
Jon Rahm $10,500 (Model #1, PM Wave, Wind Rank 8th, Projected Ownership 16%)
Justin Thomas $11,300 (M4, AM, W1, 22%)
Xander Schauffele $10,000 (M11, AM, W15, 24%)
Brooks Koepka $11,100 (M15, AM, W40, 18%)
Players priced between $9,900 and $9,000
Patrick Cantlay $9,400 (M21, AM, W31, 21%)
Dustin Johnson $9,000 (M28, AM, W49, 19%)
Tiger Woods $9,200 (M45, AM, W19, 10%)
Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000
Collin Morikawa $8,600 (M7, AM, W7, 16%)
Matthew Fitzpatrick $8,100 (M8, AM, W25, 13%)
Jason Day $8,400 (M9, AM, W27, 14%)
Rickie Fowler $8,300 (M16, PM, W20, 10%)
Daniel Berger $8,800 (M20, AM, W41, 19%)
Tyrrell Hatton $8,000 (M36, AM, W12, 14%)
Hideki Matsuyama $8,200 (M39, PM, W14, 15%)
Players priced between $7,900 and $7,000
Billy Horschel $7,400 (M10, PM, W16, 9%)
Harris English $7,200 (M12, AM, W44, 9%)
Bubba Watson $7,400 (M13, PM, W18, 5%)
Chez Reavie $7,400 (M14, AM, W48, 7%)
Tony Finau $7,900 (M22, AM, W23, 14%)
Scottie Scheffler $7,300 (M24, AM, W39, 8%)
Corey Conners $7,000 (M25, AM, W17, 3%)
Sergio Garcia $7,600 (M32, PM, W4, 9%)
Joaquin Niemann $7,300 (M33, PM, W10, 5%)
Players priced between $6,900 and $6,000
Ryan Palmer $6,900 (M19, AM, W26, 9%)
Brendan Steele $6,900 (M27, AM, W11, 2%)
Nick Taylor $6,300 (M46, AM, W50, 1%)
**Players I’m still looking at as of this writing but haven’t decided on yet. I will post in the discord PGA Research Tab when I list my final exposure.**
Russell Henley $6,600 (M31, AM, W63, 2%)
Matthias Schwab $6,900 (M34, AM, W67, 2%)
Cameron Tringale $6,800 (M37, AM, W59, 2%)
Luke List $6,800 (M40, AM, W57, 2%)
Strategy for the 2020 PGA Championship
The list above is for my 150 max contests. I want to run through a few people and describe a few feelings I have on some stand outs, one way or another.
***The AM wave seems to have a decent advantage as it should avoid the possible 25 – 30 mph wind gusts in the afternoon. If you notice, most of my golfers are from the AM group. Most of that was by coincidence but there were a few players omitted because the fell into the PM group. With that said, some players made it into my player pool from that afternoon. I made a wind model and if the golfers were ranked in the top 20, they got moved to the player pool. ***
Tiger Woods is always interesting in DFS. As of right now hes projected for only 10% ownership (Make sure to check out Steven’s article as he has the up to date ownership). The ownership is the only reason I’m playing him as he does not rank well in my overall model. All the players in the 10K range have reasons to avoid them but Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau are the golfers I’m avoiding all together. Rory has just looked off since the restart, his whole game is just blah. DeChambeau should suit this course pretty well but I feel his “temper” might get the best of him.
Paul Casey ranks well in my model but looks broken with his entire short game. Granted it isn’t the most important part of the golfer’s game to suceed here (I think) but it’s got to be somewhat present. Casey’s wedges and putter look terrible. He will be low owned, like 5% owned so if you want to take a chance, ownership wise, here’s your chance. Adam Scott hasn’t played since the restart and even before that he missed time. He’s coming in with decent ownership and I think the rust will be too much for him coming in.
Cash Game Core
Patrick Cantlay
Collin Morikawa
Tony Finau
Single Entry / 3 Max GPP
10k – Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas & Xander Schauffele
9K – Patrick Cantlay
8K – Collin Morikawa, Matthew Fitzpatrick & Jason Day
7K – Harris English & Corey Conners
20 Max GPP
10K – Brooks Koepka
9K – Dustin Johnson
8K – Rickie Fowler & Daniel Berger
7K – Billy Horschel, Bubba Watson, Chez Reavie, Tony Finau & Scottie Scheffler
6K – Ryan Palmer, Brendan Steele & Nick Taylor
150 Max
9K – Tiger Woods
8K – Tyrrell Hatton & Hideki Matsuyama
7K – Sergio Garcia & Joaquin Niemann
6K – **Russell Henley, Matthias Schwab, Cameron Tringale & Luke List**
As a general rule of thumb that I follow when “normally” entering 150 max is the higher the golfer is priced, in general you should have more of them in your lineups. For example…
10K Player – 40%
9K Player – 30%
8K Player – 20%
7K Player – 10%
6K Player – 5%
These golfers are priced like they are for a reason (for the most part). Don’t kill good lineups because you have 30% of a 6K player. Could he go off and you’re way up on the competition, sure. There’s a better chance that they sink those lineups instead. With the PGA Championship, you may want to limit the lower priced golfers even more than usual.
Projected Ownership – FanShareSports
Monkey Knife Fight
Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Justin Thomas and I’m fading Rory McIlroy, so you can grab the Over for Thomas and the Under for McIlroy and make some more money! Check out how to play with our quick overview here.
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2020 PGA Championship. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
