Tuesday 12/15 EPL DFS and Best Bet

This article focuses on 12/15 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/15 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

We are all the way up to EPL Matchweek 13/38, our first mid week slate of the season.

This slate only has two games, with a 1:00pm ET start time on both sites.

Coming off a disappointing loss this weekend, Chelsea (-143) will be looking to rebound against Wolves (+420). Wolverhampton’s star striker Raul Jimenez unfortunately suffered a recent skull fracture and remains out.

The loss of Jimenez’s presence should make Wolves formation even more defensively oriented than it already has been so far this season. When you combine Chelsea’s strong defense and goaltending, I expect this one to be lower scoring. The tiny 2.4 expected goal total is not surprising.

Following Chelsea at Wolves, we have what the British might call a laugher. Manchester City (-1250) comes in a ridiculously heavy favorite and it is just a matter of who is in the lineup. Particularly given the fact that this is the late game, and Man City tends to have some of the world’s most unpredictable lineups.

Regardless, I will be looking to get as much Man City exposure as possible in this spot. West Brom has absolutely no speed on defense and should get exploited. Given that both Ferran Torres and Phil Foden rested last game, as well as their relative youth, and I would expect to see them back in the starting eleven.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Chelsea at Wolves – Timo Werner (+150), Olivier Giroud (+165), Tammy Abraham (+195), Christian Pulisic (+220), Kai Havertz (+300), Fabio Silva (+370), Pedro Neto (+425), Daniel Podence (+440), Mason Mount (+460)

West Brom at Manchester City – Sergio Aguero (-205), Gabriel Jesus (-137), Raheem Sterling (-112), Kevin De Bruyne (+100), Riyad Mahrez (+105), Ferran Torres (+114), Phil Foden (+123), Bernardo Silva (+180)

EPL Best Bet

*Two Leg Parlay – Manchester City (-1250) + Chelsea (-143) = (-121) total odds

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

With a two game slate here, the best bet is a fairly straight forward two team parlay, featuring a pair of the EPL’s best teams.

12/15 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $24
• 2. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16
• 3. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15
• 4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
• 5. Gabriel Jesus/Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $21 “Neither currently projected to start”
• 6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $18 “Not currently projected to start”
• 7. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $20
• 8. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $18
• 9. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $17 “Not currently projected to start”
• 10. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $16
• 11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
• 12. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $18
• 13. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $12
• 14. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $15
• 15. Fabio Silva – Wolves – $10
• 16. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $9
• 17. Matt Phillips – West Brom – $6 “Set pieces”

Defense

• 1. Reece James – Chelsea – $11
• 2. Nelson Semedo – Wolves – $8
• 3. Kyle Walker – Manchester City – $8
• 4. Conor Coady – Wolves – $8
• 5. Semi Ajayi – West Brom – $7

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $14
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $11

12/15 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $5,800 “Not currently projected to start”
2. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,300
3. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $8,000 “Not currently projected to start”
4. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $6,700
6. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $8,300
7. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $7,800 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,100 “Not currently projected to start”
9. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,200
10. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $6,100 “Not currently projected to start”

Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,500 “Set pieces”
2. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $7,000 “Set pieces”
3. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,200
4. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $6,800
5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,300
6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
7. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $8,300
8. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,100 “Not currently projected to start”
9. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,200
10. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $6,100 “Not currently projected to start”
11. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,100
12. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $5,000
13. Matt Phillips – West Brom – $4,400 “Set pieces”

Defense

1. Reece James – Chelsea – $5,700
2. Benjamin Mendy – Manchester City – $4,400
3. John Stones – Manchester City – $2,900
4. PUNT

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $5,800
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,500

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