Mitchell Thoennes 
Welcome back to a new edition of NBA GPP Picks 2/21 as we have a seven-game slate to breakdown. I would have had a rather good night last night and my best lines had Herro that killed them. We are moving on to another slate tonight where Brooklyn vs LA Clippers has opened at a massive total of 240 points. It looks like as of now the main injury news we must worry about is in Sacramento with Barnes, Holmes, and Delon Wright is doubtful for Detroit.
This article will be using DraftKings pricing, and it meant for GPP’s/Tournaments. In my article, I will cover my two-favorite selections for each position for tonight’s slate. Let us roll into this seven-game slate and reveal tonight’s top plays!
Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/21
Point Guard
Shai Gilgeous Alexander – ($8,100)
This matchup does not look great when you first glance it at but since Jarrett Allen has started things changed. In the past five games, Cleveland has played at the ninth-fastest pace and ranks second-worst in defensive rating. His positional matchup is great too as Cleveland has given up the most fantasy points to point guards in the past five games. SGA just played 36 minutes last game, so the minutes are back after his absence. His average usage rate in his two games back is above 25%, which is lower than his season average by 4%.
Dennis Smith Jr. – ($4,000)
Since Delon Wright is listed as doubtful it is likely Smith Jr. Will get his first start of the season. He played 23 minutes last game when Wright got hurt in the second half and scored 23.5 fantasy points. That fantasy output was with Smith Jr not making a single shot from the field. Orlando is giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to point guards in the past ten games, which should favor DSJ. In the past three games, DSJ has average a fantasy point per minute and he should see at least 30 minutes here. Tough to ignore this value at starting point guard where Wright was playing 36 minutes per game recently.
Shooting Guard
Kyrie Irving – ($8,700)
Getting pieces of this game will be important with the massive total to open of 240. This price is nice for Kyrie especially with Durant remaining out, where Kyrie sees a 3% usage and assist rate increase. In the past two games, Irving has played with Durant out his usage rate has been 37.9% and 33.5%. The Clippers have struggled to guard point guards this year allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to them. We have seen Kyrie score over 56 fantasy points in two of his last four, so the ceiling is there.
Evan Fournier – ($6,300)
Last time out Fournier led the team in usage at 27.4% and this salary is too cheap for that. Detroit has given up the fifth-most fantasy points to shooting guards this year. Fournier has seen 30 minutes in both games since his return from injury. Orlando needs someone to shoot other than Vucevic and Fournier has done that in his return hoisting up 15 or more shots in both games. He has averaged over a fantasy point per minute with Cole Anthony and Aaron Gordon out. Fournier seems like a safe option given his salary.
Small Forward
Josh Jackson – ($5,800)
When Wright and Griffin are off the floor Jackson sees a usage increase of 4.5% which brings him to the team lead at 30.3%. He is averaging 1.25 fantasy points per minute during that time. Orlando has sacrificed the third-most fantasy points to shooting guards on the season. This price is fair as well with Jackson scoring at least 24 fantasy points in ten straight games and should benefit from the absence of Wright.
OG Anunoby – ($5,600)
In his two games since returning from his extended absence, Anunoby has logged 27 minutes. He also rested Toronto’s last game against the Wolves. Anunoby should see his minutes increase to at least 30 or without a restriction. When Lowry is off the floor Anunoby sees the biggest increase in usage at 3.5%. He also records .91 fantasy points per minute so if the minutes are above 30, he should pay off this salary. The 76ers have also played at the fourth-fastest over the past ten games.
Power Forward
Giannis Antetokounmpo – ($11,000)
Giannis has been playing big minutes lately recording 36 minutes or more in six straight games now. In those six games, Giannis scored under 65 fantasy points just once. Now tonight he draws an excellent matchup against the worst defensive-rated team in the league. His usage without Holiday is at 33% and his fantasy points per minute sit at 1.7. This matchup is too good, no one on the Kings can guard him especially if Barnes sits another game. Giannis should not have an issue scoring over 60 again tonight.
Michael Porter Jr – ($5,900)
Denver has several players out including two power forwards in Green and Millsap. When taking all Nuggets that have been ruled out off the floor Porter sees an 8.1% usage increase to 29.2% (small sample size). Atlanta is a fantastic matchup as they rank fourth-worst in defensive efficiency over the last ten games. It is tough to avoid Porter as the minutes should be safe around 30 given the injuries to Denver Power Forwards.
Center
Jarrett Allen – ($7,100)
The man has been a double-double machine since starting recording a double-double in four of his last five games. Allen recorded 34 minutes last game which resulted in a 43-fantasy point night. Oklahoma City has given up the most fantasy points to centers over the past five games. They rank in the bottom five in overall rebounding this season as well. Allen has been as consistent as it comes while starting scoring at least 36 fantasy points in four of his last five.
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Brook Lopez – ($4,300)
To start, his price is extremely cheap and he faces the team that has allowed the most fantasy points to center over the past ten games. If we look at Lopez’s numbers without Holiday is averaging .91 fantasy per minute. As we know the Kings are the worst defensive team in the league this season. Lopez has scored at least 21 fantasy points and has scored 35 once in his last five games (that was against Utah). The floor is solid here and there is plenty of ceiling with this price as well.
Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/21
Thanks for reading my content NBA GPP Picks 2/21 as we breakdown a seven-game slate. The Two extremely fast-paced games should be Brooklyn vs LA Clippers and Milwaukee vs Sacramento. Speaking of Sacramento, we have some injury news to keep an eye on over there. An effective way to keep up with the news is to join the Win Daily staff and me in the Discord Chat rooms. In there we answer questions you may have and further elaborate on our favorite plays over others. Another way to check out the top plays of the night is by checking the Projection Models. Enjoy what is left of your weekend and good luck on your lineups for tonight’s slate!
