The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Inside is my player selection. Make sure to be on Discord Wednesday night to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
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Players priced $10,000 and above
Viktor Hovland $10,600 (Model #1, Projected Ownership 26%)
Tyrrell Hatton $10,000 (M#3, PO 19%)
Bryson DeChambeau $11,00 (M#12, PO 13%)
Patrick Reed $10,200 (M#25, PO 15%)
Players between $9,900 and $8,000
Sam Burns $8,400 (M#5, PO 23%)
Max Homa $8,500 (M#7, PO 7%)
Matthew Fitzpatrick $9,800 (M#13, PO 19%)
Hideki Matsuyama $9,400 (M#28, PO 4%)
Players between $7,900 and $7,000
Corey Conners $7,300 (M#2, PO 7%)
Cameron Tringale $7,700 (M#4, PO 14%)
Henrik Norlander $7,200 (M#6, PO 7%)
Charley Hoffman $7,600 (M#10, PO 11%)
Chris Kirk $7,000 (M#16, PO 11%)
Si Woo Kim $7,500 (M#20, PO 4%) – I just can’t quit Si *Insert Ric Flair WOOOO GIF*
Players priced $6,900 and below
Matthew NeSmith $6,900 (M#9, PO 15%)
Russell Knox $6,700 (M#19, PO 2%)
Kyle Stanley $6,500 (M#21, PO 6%)
Doug Ghim $6,600 (M#22, PO 1%)
John Huh $6,600 (M#24, PO 2%)
Harold Varner III $6,800 (M#26, PO 3%)
Strategy for the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational
As you can see from the player pool above, I think there is a ton of value in the lower levels this week at the API. I’ll be looking to load up on a three-man core this week for multiple entry tournaments and then just rotate through one high-priced golfer and two lower-tier players. If you don’t want to carry such high ownership on a few “locked” in players, this is a week where a stars and scrubs approach certainly fits.
Key Stats
Ball Striking
Tee 2 Green
Bogey Avoidance
Prox: 125 – 150
Cash Game Core (No one over $10,000, Less Risk)
Matthew Fitzpatrick $9,800
Sam Burns $8,400
Cameron Tringale $7,700
This core will leave you with $8,000 on average to fill out your roster for the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational. You could even fill in a $9,500 priced golfer and still have $7,300 on average to complete the rest of your build. Remember for cash games you just need to cash, winning the whole thing isn’t necessary. Raise the floor of your team by trying to stay out of the low 7K/6K range.
Single Entry / 3 Max GPP (Risk)
10K – Viktor Hovland & Tyrrell Hatton. Would run a 2:1 in a 3 Max with these two. Hovland will push 35% in SE/3Max.
8K – Max Homa
7K – Charley Hoffman
6K – Matthew NeSmith
20 Max GPP (More Risk)
10K – Patrick Reed
7K – Corey Conners, Henrik Norlander & Chris Kirk
6K – Kyle Stanley
150 Max GPP (Most Risk)
10K – Bryson DeChambeau
9K – Hideki Matsuyama
7K – Si Woo Kim
6K – Russell Knox, Doug Ghim, John Huh & Harold Varner III
As a general rule of thumb that I follow when “normally” entering 150 max is the higher the golfer is priced, you should have more of them in your lineups. For example…
10K Player – 40%
9K Player – 30%
8K Player – 20%
7K Player – 10%
6K Player – 5%
These golfers are priced like they are for a reason (for the most part). Don’t kill good lineups because you have 30% of a 6K player. Could he go off and you’re way up on the competition, sure. There’s a better chance that they sink those lineups instead. With the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational, I would try and create a higher-priced block of golfer 2/3 in the $8,500 and up range and then build off of that.
Projected Ownership – FanShareSports
Monkey Knife Fight – 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational
Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Patrick Reed and I’m fading Rory McIlroy so you can grab the MORE Birdie or Better for Reed and the LESS Birdie or Better for McIlroy and make some more money! Check out how to play with our quick overview here.
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2021 Genesis Invitational. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up-to-date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
